Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

105

lifetime

Volume

$1.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$125

1 position

First seen

2026-01-15

last 07-10 05:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

59% 0% —

Other

32% 0% —

Sports

8% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes		+200	$126	62¢	$125	$-1	07-10 09:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	2	$208	400	400	+0	open	—	03-09 06:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$172	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	02-11 05:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	1	$126	200	0	+200	open	—	07-10 09:32
iran leadership change by june 30 2027	6	$118	140	140	+0	open	—	07-10 04:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$104	200	200	+0	open	—	05-09 05:11
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	4	$72	40	40	+0	Yes	+$0	05-09 04:09
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	6	$52	60	60	+0	open	—	05-09 05:17
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	1	$50	100	0	+100	open	—	02-12 19:55
iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	4	$44	40	40	+0	open	—	07-10 08:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$30	100	0	+100	open	—	05-09 07:43
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	2	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	07-09 08:05
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	5	$22	100	100	+0	open	—	07-10 07:05
Will Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?	5	$22	80	80	+0	open	—	05-09 07:36
will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	2	$17	14	14	+0	open	—	02-11 02:37
iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	6	$16	100	100	+0	open	—	07-10 08:08
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	2	$16	50	50	+0	open	—	07-10 02:04
will jp morgan jpm q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt85b	2	$14	20	20	+0	open	—	07-09 09:29
israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	3	$14	20	20	+0	open	—	07-09 09:14
will delta air lines say absorption during earnings call 20260709172401003	6	$14	28	28	+0	open	—	07-10 02:48
iran military action against a gulf state on july 11 20260708212322936	5	$13	40	40	+0	open	—	07-10 09:24
will the announcers say gianni or infantino during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901502	2	$13	20	20	+0	open	—	07-10 02:22
trump calls nicki minaj hot again in 2026 20260708230616939	2	$10	20	20	+0	open	—	07-09 14:18
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 540 559	1	$10	34	0	+34	open	—	01-15 14:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	2	$10	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	05-09 05:42
will the announcers say crossbar during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901508	3	$9	20	20	+0	open	—	07-10 00:54
israel military action against greater beirut by july 21 20260708204650549	4	$9	40	40	+0	open	—	07-10 00:12
iran successfully targets shipping by july 12	2	$8	20	20	+0	open	—	07-10 05:47
will the announcers say suspension or suspended during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543753	2	$8	20	20	+0	open	—	07-10 08:17
iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	2	$7	20	20	+0	open	—	07-10 04:02
will delta air lines say american express or amex during earnings call 20260709172400995	2	$7	30	30	+0	open	—	07-10 02:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 09:32:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0x04f08c…
07-10 09:24:19	will delta air lines say fleet during earnings call 20260709172401002	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x172796…
07-10 09:24:07	iran military action against a gulf state on july 11 20260708212322936	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xf90106…
07-10 09:23:52	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x535cbe…
07-10 09:12:14	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x139387…
07-10 08:42:53	iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0xea569b…
07-10 08:37:11	iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x83c2a4…
07-10 08:17:14	will the announcers say suspension or suspended during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543753	No	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x53b093…
07-10 08:09:02	will the announcers say suspension or suspended during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543753	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x479711…
07-10 08:08:47	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x30652a…
07-10 07:41:05	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0xeab38b…
07-10 07:40:04	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	Yes	BUY	38	5¢	$2	0x1e6778…
07-10 07:12:04	spy closes above 745 on july 10 2026	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xad0ad9…
07-10 07:05:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x110365…
07-10 07:02:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x0f9af1…
07-10 05:47:37	iran successfully targets shipping by july 12	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x4de904…
07-10 05:36:08	will the announcers say trump during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901501	Yes	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0xecb4f7…
07-10 05:30:35	will the announcers say trump during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901501	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x39b1cd…
07-10 05:23:23	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xf9d027…
07-10 05:22:35	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x3a7978…
07-10 04:52:07	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0x40bc77…
07-10 04:41:07	will the announcers say trump during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901501	Yes	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0x75033d…
07-10 04:34:17	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x1e210b…
07-10 04:28:17	will the announcers say trump during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901501	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x88b6d9…
07-10 04:02:02	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x036854…
07-10 03:58:26	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x1c78ed…
07-10 03:45:56	iran military action against a gulf state on july 27 20260708212322952	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x7c7eae…
07-10 03:44:28	iran military action against a gulf state on july 27 20260708212322952	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x0c71fb…
07-10 03:23:22	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	SELL	50	71¢	$36	0x3f82af…
07-10 03:21:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x01775d…
07-10 03:19:37	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0xf15f35…
07-10 03:16:05	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	47	12¢	$6	0x3d6275…
07-10 03:01:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0x2b942c…
07-10 02:59:41	iran military action against a gulf state on july 11 20260708212322936	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xa3ce68…
07-10 02:48:31	will delta air lines say absorption during earnings call 20260709172401003	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x8f9a78…
07-10 02:46:56	will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt6b	No	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0xc63c13…
07-10 02:44:55	will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt6b	No	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x911e51…
07-10 02:44:07	will delta air lines say absorption during earnings call 20260709172401003	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xed55c9…
07-10 02:39:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xa278ac…
07-10 02:27:50	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xd9275e…
07-10 02:22:11	will the announcers say gianni or infantino during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901502	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xe19f62…
07-10 02:16:38	will delta air lines say american express or amex during earnings call 20260709172400995	No	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0x67c546…
07-10 02:14:16	will delta air lines say american express or amex during earnings call 20260709172400995	No	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x369a96…
07-10 02:13:26	will the announcers say trump during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901501	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x01eda0…
07-10 02:12:14	will delta air lines say fleet during earnings call 20260709172401002	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xb1b92f…
07-10 02:05:19	will delta air lines say absorption during earnings call 20260709172401003	Yes	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x23cc27…
07-10 02:04:08	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0xec19ed…
07-10 01:54:19	spy closes above 745 on july 10 2026	No	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x333def…
07-10 01:40:53	will delta air lines say absorption during earnings call 20260709172401003	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x87dec2…
07-10 01:40:43	will delta air lines say absorption during earnings call 20260709172401003	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x2bf94a…
07-10 01:40:41	will delta air lines say absorption during earnings call 20260709172401003	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x922dc6…
07-10 01:27:59	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x0ae35f…
07-10 01:11:50	iran successfully targets shipping by july 12	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x8fa44b…
07-10 00:54:07	will the announcers say crossbar during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901508	Yes	SELL	8	15¢	$1	0x2824bf…
07-10 00:27:05	will the announcers say crossbar during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901508	Yes	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0x75f224…
07-10 00:17:49	wti closes above 70 on july 10 2026	No	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xf72fb0…
07-10 00:17:26	wti closes above 70 on july 10 2026	No	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x388265…
07-10 00:16:26	iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xaa365b…
07-10 00:13:41	iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xeb7957…
07-10 00:12:59	israel military action against greater beirut by july 21 20260708204650549	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x0cf112…
07-10 00:12:44	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xf91aaf…
07-10 00:06:55	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xbb417e…
07-10 00:04:35	israel military action against greater beirut by july 21 20260708204650549	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xb097db…
07-09 23:49:17	iran military action against a gulf state on july 11 20260708212322936	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xf2905e…
07-09 23:31:01	iran military action against a gulf state on july 11 20260708212322936	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x0ea7c8…
07-09 23:27:53	iran military action against a gulf state on july 11 20260708212322936	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x3ff176…
07-09 23:14:23	will the announcers say gianni or infantino during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901502	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xf83117…
07-09 23:02:49	will the announcers say crossbar during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901508	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x21fda1…
07-09 14:18:26	trump calls nicki minaj hot again in 2026 20260708230616939	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0xc6fd41…
07-09 09:29:55	will att t q2 total revenue be above 32pt2b 20260703212929590	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xf1f1f3…
07-09 09:29:41	will jp morgan jpm q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt85b	No	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xd1ed1a…
07-09 09:29:28	wti closes above 71 on july 9 2026	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xa9a074…
07-09 09:28:59	will att t q2 total revenue be above 32pt2b 20260703212929590	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xd56513…
07-09 09:28:58	will jp morgan jpm q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt85b	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x04ba5e…
07-09 09:28:22	wti closes above 71 on july 9 2026	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xd747f5…
07-09 09:14:59	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x12c36a…
07-09 08:47:10	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xe718d6…
07-09 08:47:10	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x27ef47…
07-09 08:43:58	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0xc4285c…
07-09 08:41:43	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x8b6ef0…
07-09 08:41:40	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x54d119…
07-09 08:31:56	trump calls nicki minaj hot again in 2026 20260708230616939	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x230c0c…
07-09 08:24:04	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x1393ff…
07-09 08:22:52	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	No	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x5eeff3…
07-09 08:08:20	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xddaf92…
07-09 08:07:23	israel military action against greater beirut by july 21 20260708204650549	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x02d58f…
07-09 08:06:14	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	40	26¢	$10	0xf533a5…
07-09 08:05:53	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x44c8ec…
07-09 08:03:47	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0x3d263c…
07-09 07:54:37	israel military action against greater beirut by july 21 20260708204650549	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xebb60c…
07-09 07:31:58	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x62a995…
07-09 07:11:28	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xadefce…
05-09 07:43:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x3a085e…
05-09 07:36:29	Will Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	10¢	$4	0x23641a…
05-09 07:35:45	Will Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	14¢	$5	0xecd9db…
05-09 07:35:00	Will Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xe21786…
05-09 07:01:08	Will Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0xae6a46…
05-09 06:59:05	Will Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0xc12393…
05-09 05:42:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xd4d7a5…
05-09 05:32:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xef573f…