Honest-Woodchuck — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.62K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.6%

Resolved

175

Trades

849

lifetime

Volume

$49.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$58

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-25 19:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Other

54% 46% -$101

Crypto

26% 44% -$1,288

Politics

15% 17% -$334

Sports

6% 38% +$107

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$6.1K	4,726	4,726	+0	No	-$127	05-29 22:05
Tea FDV above $200M one day after launch	7	$3.1K	1,654	1,654	+0	No	+$89	05-28 20:38
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	20	$2.4K	1,288	1,288	+0	Argentina	+$75	07-04 00:43
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?	2	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$20	07-04 03:28
fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 total 0pt5	4	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	Over	+$89	07-04 03:24
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 1pt5	18	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	Over	+$120	07-03 22:33
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	18	$1.5K	964	956	+8	Yes	-$63	05-30 17:58
mlb tor atl 2026 06 04	12	$1.3K	810	810	+0	Toronto Blue Jays	+$113	06-05 01:26
over 140m committed to the ranger public sale 611 967 715 556 645	6	$1.3K	700	700	+0	No	+$91	01-10 15:10
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 4pt5	2	$1.1K	700	700	+0	Under	+$63	07-11 22:20
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 0pt5	3	$993	566	566	+0	Over	+$138	07-05 22:05
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 0pt5	3	$953	550	550	+0	Over	+$146	07-06 21:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 16:30 UTC	60	$934	878	878	+0	Up	-$3	07-18 16:34
over 160m committed to the ranger public sale 697 445 524 768 983	2	$928	500	500	+0	No	+$58	01-10 15:10
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$918	500	500	+0	No	+$37	05-30 17:49
fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 total 0pt5	2	$870	1,000	0	+1,000	Over	+$130	07-04 17:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	8	$850	600	500	+100	Up	+$60	05-30 12:34
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 0pt5	2	$803	404	404	+0	Over	+$3	07-11 21:38
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 5pt5	6	$752	800	0	+800	Under	+$48	07-14 18:57
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 penalty shootout	9	$724	400	400	+0	No	+$68	07-11 23:46
mlb tor atl 2026 06 04 total 8pt5	2	$656	400	400	+0	Over	-$32	06-05 01:56
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	2	$504	352	352	+0	No	+$4	04-30 11:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:00 UTC	28	$491	900	0	+900	Up	-$491	07-18 17:03
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	10	$476	400	400	+0	Switzerland	-$4	07-07 21:10
mlb tor atl 2026 06 04 total 9pt5	3	$473	294	264	+30	Under	+$49	06-05 02:09
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	6	$435	300	300	+0	Argentina	+$27	07-07 17:47
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 4pt5	1	$430	500	0	+500	Under	+$70	07-14 18:56
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 penalty shootout	6	$426	600	0	+600	No	+$174	07-15 20:06
Arcium FDV above $300M one day after launch?	3	$410	450	450	+0	Yes	+$14	06-22 12:10
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	4	$401	240	240	+0	Under	+$41	05-30 17:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 19:21:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	60	36¢	$22	0xee2eb4…
10-24 20:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x5ca79f…
10-24 20:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x69c8de…
10-24 19:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xd7241a…
10-02 12:53:20	Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?	Yes	SELL	87	8¢	$7	0xe6c8b2…
10-02 12:52:29	Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?	Yes	SELL	28	9¢	$2	0x4049f6…
10-02 12:45:56	Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?	Yes	SELL	29	33¢	$10	0x42ea90…
10-02 12:29:26	Over $50M committed to the Jumper public sale?	Yes	BUY	144	20¢	$29	0x02fe63…
09-10 14:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	90	18¢	$16	0xa0239a…
09-09 00:24:22	Over $1M committed to the Linera public sale?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xa323f7…
09-09 00:14:09	Over $1M committed to the Linera public sale?	No	SELL	150	99¢	$148	0x82fc28…
09-09 00:12:22	Over $1M committed to the Linera public sale?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x8d20b8…
09-09 00:07:43	Over $1M committed to the Linera public sale?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xe140ca…
09-08 23:55:54	Over $1M committed to the Linera public sale?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x7b3c59…
09-08 23:49:33	Over $1M committed to the Linera public sale?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x0d91e2…
09-08 23:48:09	Over $1M committed to the Linera public sale?	No	BUY	80	77¢	$62	0xd1b46c…
09-07 21:33:21	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0x48ee21…
09-06 19:41:49	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	180	28¢	$50	0xc538f1…
09-06 14:27:42	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	70	27¢	$19	0xf74a13…
09-06 11:53:40	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	60	32¢	$19	0xfe5780…
09-06 10:36:33	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x42ff0e…
09-06 10:36:31	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x7fc348…
09-06 10:13:55	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	47	31¢	$15	0xde3796…
09-06 10:05:39	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x1732b1…
09-06 10:04:27	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	53	31¢	$16	0x1652e4…
09-06 09:52:52	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x704a2b…
09-06 09:52:28	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xf53a95…
09-06 09:14:31	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	12	31¢	$4	0xc37bf4…
09-06 09:13:55	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	17	31¢	$5	0x517704…
09-06 08:37:33	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0xa8427e…
09-04 16:45:06	over 10m committed to the ethos public sale	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x5d8109…
09-04 16:43:49	over 7pt5m committed to the ethos public sale	Yes	SELL	122	98¢	$120	0x027c74…
09-04 16:31:00	over 7pt5m committed to the ethos public sale	Yes	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0x47bdf5…
09-04 13:44:16	over 7pt5m committed to the ethos public sale	Yes	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0x2bfba3…
09-04 13:35:52	over 7pt5m committed to the ethos public sale	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x616b22…
09-04 13:35:22	over 7pt5m committed to the ethos public sale	Yes	BUY	28	64¢	$18	0xc08e35…
09-04 13:34:10	over 7pt5m committed to the ethos public sale	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x1d9d8e…
07-18 22:51:24	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	316	4¢	$14	0x0c1bfe…
07-18 22:48:30	Will France vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	316	9¢	$30	0x036157…
07-18 21:58:31	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 corners second half total 4pt5	Over	SELL	53	53¢	$28	0x5471b0…
07-18 21:56:43	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	SELL	32	1¢	$0	0x704b85…
07-18 21:56:42	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	SELL	154	1¢	$2	0xf640ac…
07-18 21:56:40	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	SELL	77	1¢	$1	0x466a61…
07-18 21:56:39	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x49fe1f…
07-18 21:56:34	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	SELL	77	1¢	$1	0xcb3535…
07-18 21:56:34	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	SELL	77	1¢	$1	0x1b5a1f…
07-18 21:56:31	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	SELL	154	1¢	$2	0x59239e…
07-18 21:56:06	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	SELL	300	2¢	$7	0x5a8920…
07-18 21:54:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	9,887	0¢	$10	0x6a2f55…
07-18 21:20:57	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	300	28¢	$84	0xfaf826…
07-18 21:09:07	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 corners second half total 4pt5	Over	BUY	53	56¢	$30	0x463199…
07-18 21:02:28	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	BUY	620	56¢	$347	0x10b1f1…
07-18 17:54:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x33ef77…
07-18 17:50:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5e0c8d…
07-18 17:28:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xef0d87…
07-18 17:28:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	121	32¢	$39	0xe55f3b…
07-18 17:28:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0xd78dba…
07-18 17:28:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xc2ab60…
07-18 17:28:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	32¢	$0	0xbd19a7…
07-18 17:28:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	74	32¢	$24	0x61f01e…
07-18 17:28:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	147	32¢	$47	0x5b8d7d…
07-18 17:28:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	66	32¢	$21	0x1e4d91…
07-18 17:28:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	81	32¢	$26	0x9b44d7…
07-18 17:28:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	69	32¢	$22	0xfff891…
07-18 17:28:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0xe2e3ad…
07-18 17:28:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xd5e7a6…
07-18 17:28:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x9e7f05…
07-18 17:28:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0xd93ea6…
07-18 17:03:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	128	56¢	$72	0x5f965f…
07-18 17:03:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	41	56¢	$23	0x225776…
07-18 17:03:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	13	56¢	$8	0xeb60ce…
07-18 17:03:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xd5a1df…
07-18 17:03:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xa494f6…
07-18 17:03:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x91fd0c…
07-18 17:03:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x796cf4…
07-18 17:03:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5953e3…
07-18 17:03:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x557de9…
07-18 17:03:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3ce67e…
07-18 17:03:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x03fe8d…
07-18 17:03:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xfc5760…
07-18 17:03:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xf430d2…
07-18 17:03:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xdf1e80…
07-18 17:03:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0xba3fc8…
07-18 17:03:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xb69a9a…
07-18 17:03:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	77	56¢	$43	0xaf5923…
07-18 17:03:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	374	53¢	$196	0xa55a0a…
07-18 17:03:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x8a2a79…
07-18 17:03:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	90	56¢	$50	0x4a5765…
07-18 17:03:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x49aa74…
07-18 17:03:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x3ef633…
07-18 17:03:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x3947e8…
07-18 17:03:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x365fd4…
07-18 17:03:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x2f3a40…
07-18 17:03:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x22d11a…
07-18 17:03:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x1db3bb…
07-18 17:03:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x022463…
07-18 16:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	38	53¢	$20	0xd9e3bd…
07-18 16:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	33	53¢	$17	0x69b8ca…
07-18 16:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0x3bee1b…
07-18 16:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0x2d7ed1…