Odd-Pith — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

26.8%

Resolved

Trades

739

lifetime

Volume

$236.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$320

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-23 09:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

57% 100% +$2

Politics

38% — —

Tech

4% — —

Sports

0% — —

Crypto

0% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	41	$129.0K	83,645	83,645	+0	open	—	05-31 16:54
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	33	$37.5K	23,332	23,332	+0	open	—	04-24 18:36
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	12	$26.6K	17,236	17,236	+0	open	—	05-28 15:21
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	7	$4.1K	2,580	2,580	+0	open	—	06-27 23:45
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	2	$3.7K	3,230	3,230	+0	open	—	05-28 15:11
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	10	$3.6K	2,738	2,738	+0	open	—	06-10 18:00
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	20	$3.1K	1,784	1,784	+0	open	—	04-14 03:21
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 19	3	$2.9K	1,660	1,660	+0	open	—	06-19 20:11
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	7	$2.5K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	05-28 15:06
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	19	$2.4K	2,207	1,807	+400	open	—	07-01 00:09
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	11	$2.1K	1,120	1,120	+0	open	—	06-06 14:43
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	11	$1.5K	801	801	+0	open	—	03-31 23:27
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	23	$1.2K	1,252	1,252	+0	open	—	06-10 21:20
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	9	$1.1K	1,428	0	+1,428	open	—	04-17 15:16
us forces seize another oil tanker by april 15	3	$989	510	510	+0	open	—	04-15 18:43
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	2	$946	2,200	2,200	+0	open	—	05-24 03:38
nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	6	$854	1,463	1,413	+50	open	—	06-14 03:25
will trump say objective or goal 3 times during address to the nation	33	$813	598	598	+0	open	—	04-01 21:17
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 65 89	18	$809	770	770	+0	open	—	04-07 17:43
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	3	$765	450	450	+0	open	—	04-11 21:38
spx opens up or down on march 30 2026	11	$686	730	730	+0	open	—	03-29 16:38
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	1	$500	650	0	+650	open	—	05-31 01:05
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	5	$469	322	315	+7	open	—	06-26 00:27
Nothing Ever Happens: April	2	$465	540	540	+0	open	—	04-02 04:21
will trump say oil or gas 3 times during address to the nation	11	$426	300	300	+0	open	—	04-01 22:07
will trump say operation epic fury during address to the nation	9	$408	229	229	+0	open	—	04-01 22:22
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$384	580	580	+0	open	—	03-25 21:45
cbb lou mst 2026 03 21	2	$360	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-21 20:00
will spacex file for an ipo by april 3 2026	9	$354	536	570	-34	open	—	03-26 15:08
will 35 39 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	15	$332	547	613	-67	open	—	03-24 01:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 09:55:21	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875 539 124	No	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0xbef7d0…
07-22 00:25:52	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x6aa160…
07-20 00:39:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xeb6de6…
07-19 22:01:07	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	154	3¢	$5	0x3e95d3…
07-18 22:21:13	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xc23f30…
07-18 22:16:58	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xb40089…
07-18 17:49:27	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	220	21¢	$46	0xae324a…
07-15 17:36:17	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0x73a25e…
07-14 18:46:29	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0xcca984…
07-12 03:45:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x51f878…
07-10 20:52:22	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xa6a4c7…
07-01 00:10:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xa78f38…
07-01 00:09:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x03b7af…
06-30 23:10:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	300	35¢	$105	0x0e35a4…
06-30 23:06:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x08ca01…
06-30 23:05:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xde6a18…
06-30 23:03:08	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	BUY	40	29¢	$12	0xd80056…
06-30 23:02:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	BUY	27	29¢	$8	0xbc2ea6…
06-27 23:45:32	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	SELL	318	85¢	$271	0xd332a3…
06-27 20:59:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	SELL	1,951	82¢	$1,600	0x0b9c29…
06-27 20:39:55	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x663663…
06-27 20:34:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	SELL	8	82¢	$7	0xc415ad…
06-27 20:09:32	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	SELL	35	82¢	$29	0xeba401…
06-27 20:06:20	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	SELL	266	82¢	$218	0x887990…
06-27 06:39:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	2,580	75¢	$1,935	0xde447b…
06-26 21:59:04	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xb9174e…
06-26 04:44:35	will the announcers say messi 20 times during the jordan vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260625200914419	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x7c65f6…
06-26 00:27:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x064167…
06-25 23:16:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	30	68¢	$20	0x958fd1…
06-25 22:35:55	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	SELL	282	82¢	$231	0xfc84c4…
06-25 22:31:23	will the announcers say messi 20 times during the jordan vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260625200914419	No	BUY	62	5¢	$3	0x5ef0e7…
06-25 22:20:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	SELL	33	82¢	$27	0x4e49d9…
06-25 22:02:49	will the announcers say messi 20 times during the jordan vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260625200914419	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xaaae00…
06-25 19:28:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	BUY	305	65¢	$198	0x81b922…
06-25 18:43:47	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x80825c…
06-24 02:26:14	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	57	3¢	$2	0xe3b3de…
06-24 00:03:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	15	74¢	$11	0x01c26a…
06-24 00:03:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	85	74¢	$63	0x224a55…
06-23 23:45:47	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	52	71¢	$37	0x96b247…
06-23 23:45:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0x4e3fbc…
06-23 23:43:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	37	71¢	$26	0xe14405…
06-23 22:36:14	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	1,100	80¢	$880	0xa4a2e5…
06-23 22:10:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0x8cb677…
06-23 21:57:47	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	1,000	77¢	$770	0xdefc9f…
06-22 15:56:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x80bddc…
06-21 17:59:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	599	47¢	$282	0xc57be5…
06-21 17:26:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	11	47¢	$5	0x20b584…
06-21 17:04:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	61	47¢	$29	0x587f01…
06-21 16:54:08	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0xee8082…
06-20 19:22:02	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x94255a…
06-20 17:21:01	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	34	6¢	$2	0xade606…
06-19 20:11:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 19	No	SELL	1,660	99¢	$1,640	0x72f757…
06-18 23:52:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x321e04…
06-18 22:39:02	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	341	29¢	$99	0x7fe8e0…
06-18 21:26:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	210	33¢	$69	0x360ea9…
06-18 18:39:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0x3781a5…
06-18 18:39:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xfaa800…
06-18 18:30:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	56	28¢	$16	0x165ba2…
06-18 18:28:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	16	28¢	$5	0x2e65a6…
06-18 16:41:25	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,070	4¢	$45	0x9f0d95…
06-18 16:41:16	will reya launch a token by june 30 2026	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x5b1c83…
06-18 16:05:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	40	31¢	$12	0xffe2a7…
06-17 15:05:02	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0c8c97…
06-17 13:31:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x23b06f…
06-17 12:49:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x3f8192…
06-17 12:48:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x15c8ae…
06-16 17:14:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 19	No	BUY	1,653	75¢	$1,240	0x1e815f…
06-16 16:30:17	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 19	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x4dd513…
06-14 22:27:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x1b68f6…
06-14 03:25:34	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Spurs	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xa5ce86…
06-14 02:54:18	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	SELL	1,413	25¢	$353	0x0f5eea…
06-14 01:08:15	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	150	27¢	$40	0xfa27b5…
06-12 02:28:48	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x60cdf4…
06-11 03:37:54	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	1,111	36¢	$400	0x8056a4…
06-11 03:27:51	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe38cf3…
06-10 23:47:18	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	SELL	200	28¢	$56	0xa32318…
06-10 23:22:24	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	181	26¢	$47	0x48bd5c…
06-10 23:21:49	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xf20a32…
06-10 23:21:19	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x5b6bdc…
06-10 23:21:13	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x660a62…
06-10 23:21:09	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x75c1d9…
06-10 23:21:06	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0xb4cf84…
06-10 21:20:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	No	SELL	995	54¢	$537	0x493f86…
06-10 21:08:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	No	SELL	7	54¢	$4	0x9bb809…
06-10 18:56:57	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xa9b58e…
06-10 18:00:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	67¢	$670	0xf0be98…
06-10 14:50:49	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0x3ba137…
06-10 11:10:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	No	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0x5a20aa…
06-10 11:10:15	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	No	SELL	200	55¢	$110	0x7aab35…
06-10 09:40:13	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	No	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0xd2439d…
06-10 09:40:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	No	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x67074c…
06-10 09:40:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	No	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x0ce5c6…
06-10 09:40:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	No	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x0ae522…
06-10 09:40:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	No	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x7f4c62…
06-10 09:24:48	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	No	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x59120a…
06-10 09:24:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	No	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0xefbbb1…
06-10 09:01:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	No	SELL	38	55¢	$21	0x732a86…
06-10 08:59:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	No	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0xa7708a…
06-10 08:59:48	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	No	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x4d9414…
06-10 08:59:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	No	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0xa5533a…