Realized P&L
+$5
Unrealized P&L
+$21
Hit rate
90.4%
Resolved
8
Trades
378
lifetime
Volume
$470
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$32
7 positions
First seen
2026-04-06
last 06-14 14:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
59% 71% +$2
Crypto
22%
Other
17%
Sports
2% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +15 $4 92¢ $14 +$10 06-02 21:42
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +30 $2 23¢ $7 +$5 06-03 04:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +23 $4 29¢ $7 +$3 06-04 04:27
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes +20 $2 12¢ $2 +$0 06-02 20:15
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +10 $1 20¢ $2 +$1 06-07 01:13
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +30 $-0 $0 +$1 06-12 20:59
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +5 $-1 $0 +$1 06-11 02:17