Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

25.8%

Resolved

Trades

124

lifetime

Volume

$1.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$39

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 06-01 15:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

41% — —

Politics

32% 100% +$37

Other

21% 0% $-50

Tech

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No		+40	$29	84¢	$34	+$5	06-01 15:35
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+6	$5	88¢	$6	+$1	06-01 09:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Lakers vs. Rockets	5	$172	381	0	+381	open	—	04-26 22:25
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	7	$112	86	82	+4	open	—	03-24 15:40
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	13	$96	146	146	+0	open	—	03-14 12:29
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals	2	$80	140	0	+140	open	—	04-25 23:16
Celtics vs. 76ers	6	$59	220	0	+220	open	—	04-26 03:38
will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	3	$53	28	28	+0	open	—	03-13 01:16
SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5	1	$50	99	0	+99	Over	$-50	05-11 15:03
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)	1	$49	93	0	+93	open	—	04-26 12:39
ucl rma1 ben 2026 02 25 rma1	5	$49	104	0	+104	open	—	02-25 19:59
will there be between 18 and 21 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	5	$47	48	0	+48	open	—	02-27 05:14
nba den phx 2026 03 24	4	$40	124	0	+124	open	—	03-24 15:43
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)	4	$40	81	0	+81	open	—	04-26 03:36
us forces enter iran by march 7	4	$40	43	0	+43	open	—	03-05 01:24
Lakers vs. Rockets	1	$37	67	0	+67	open	—	04-25 00:39
Pistons vs. Magic	4	$37	83	0	+83	open	—	04-25 04:37
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	1	$37	52	0	+52	open	—	04-26 03:45
nba lac hou 2026 02 11 total 210pt5	2	$35	66	3	+63	open	—	02-11 19:14
Iran leadership change by December 31?	6	$29	40	0	+40	open	—	06-01 15:35
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	4	$29	30	0	+30	open	—	04-25 04:25
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	1	$26	38	0	+38	open	—	03-08 23:43
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	3	$23	16	16	+0	open	—	03-13 01:20
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	3	$23	12	12	+0	open	—	02-28 02:38
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795	1	$21	45	0	+45	open	—	03-08 20:09
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	1	$20	26	0	+26	open	—	03-25 08:15
epl ars che 2026 03 01 ars	2	$20	41	0	+41	open	—	03-01 16:59
cs2 prv sfe 2026 03 01	2	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	03-01 10:29
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 11 887	1	$19	29	0	+29	open	—	03-08 20:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$17	54	0	+54	Yes	+$37	05-01 23:27
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	2	$16	9	9	+0	open	—	03-10 15:58
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	03-19 19:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 15:35:13	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xd9780f…
06-01 15:34:48	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x76f832…
06-01 15:34:46	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xd89cc8…
06-01 15:34:45	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x9442ee…
06-01 15:34:43	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x2573be…
06-01 15:34:41	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x41acf0…
06-01 09:39:33	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0xb4ef4a…
05-11 15:03:45	SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	99	50¢	$50	0x874308…
05-04 23:25:34	New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xe45c90…
05-01 23:27:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	32¢	$17	0xb9d2cf…
05-01 23:17:00	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x2b579e…
04-26 22:25:44	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x50d6ad…
04-26 22:24:46	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	47	45¢	$21	0x8eea2d…
04-26 22:24:44	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	110	45¢	$50	0x74a838…
04-26 22:24:44	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	110	45¢	$50	0x42d344…
04-26 22:24:44	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	110	45¢	$50	0x3b3367…
04-26 12:53:24	Will FC Lorient win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x2cebf3…
04-26 12:39:08	Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)	Raptors	BUY	93	53¢	$49	0x0ed5b6…
04-26 03:45:40	LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	52	70¢	$37	0xef7238…
04-26 03:38:56	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xce681e…
04-26 03:38:48	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x888597…
04-26 03:36:50	Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)	Raptors	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x9aeabc…
04-26 03:34:46	Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)	Raptors	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x7b2901…
04-26 03:34:10	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x2fc68d…
04-26 03:33:48	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x3b5171…
04-26 03:33:02	Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)	Raptors	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x4634a4…
04-26 03:32:58	Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)	Raptors	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x4f13f9…
04-26 03:31:22	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xfcd102…
04-26 03:30:46	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x270fdb…
04-25 23:16:18	Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals	Kansas City Royals	BUY	55	56¢	$31	0xcac430…
04-25 23:15:58	Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals	Kansas City Royals	BUY	85	58¢	$49	0x6aef8e…
04-25 04:37:32	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0x5fc05f…
04-25 04:31:00	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0xa19d63…
04-25 04:26:12	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0x16860b…
04-25 04:25:52	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$5	0xd016bb…
04-25 04:25:52	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xb6225c…
04-25 04:25:48	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0xdb0b23…
04-25 04:25:46	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0xcda39f…
04-25 04:25:44	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x9e3918…
04-25 00:39:50	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	67	55¢	$37	0x8fe792…
03-25 08:15:05	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0xe22d5c…
03-24 15:43:05	nba den phx 2026 03 24	Suns	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xc77537…
03-24 15:42:25	nba den phx 2026 03 24 spread away 5pt5	Suns	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x6e8453…
03-24 15:42:03	nba den phx 2026 03 24	Suns	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xbf302f…
03-24 15:41:35	nba den phx 2026 03 24	Suns	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xde82ad…
03-24 15:41:35	nba den phx 2026 03 24	Suns	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xb21f51…
03-24 15:40:49	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	65	78¢	$51	0xba58dc…
03-19 19:42:45	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	Yes	BUY	89	2¢	$2	0x103729…
03-19 19:42:37	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x491a5b…
03-19 19:38:07	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	6	97¢	$5	0xaf1e42…
03-14 20:39:25	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	56	59¢	$33	0x41c274…
03-14 20:36:27	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x344c86…
03-14 20:35:37	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xa99c3f…
03-14 18:23:25	Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x28d0f7…
03-14 12:29:21	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	SELL	16	32¢	$5	0x2cab76…
03-14 12:29:13	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	SELL	17	32¢	$5	0x268e8d…
03-14 12:29:07	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	SELL	17	32¢	$5	0xbf9867…
03-14 12:29:03	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x16bbfb…
03-14 12:29:01	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	SELL	17	32¢	$5	0xbc2411…
03-14 12:28:53	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	SELL	17	32¢	$5	0x9e835d…
03-14 12:28:45	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	SELL	17	32¢	$5	0xf16f54…
03-14 12:28:39	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	SELL	17	32¢	$5	0x3aecc3…
03-14 12:19:41	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xc508bb…
03-14 12:19:27	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0x99fab8…
03-14 02:56:53	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	6	96¢	$5	0xbac6a8…
03-14 02:52:49	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	SELL	17	32¢	$5	0x95420a…
03-13 02:38:01	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	117	34¢	$40	0x5ee1ba…
03-13 02:31:41	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x24d6ba…
03-13 01:20:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	17	74¢	$12	0x666a1d…
03-13 01:20:07	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	16	79¢	$12	0xa7e71c…
03-13 01:16:17	will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	No	SELL	28	92¢	$26	0x9c20ca…
03-10 16:21:01	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x3db638…
03-10 16:17:49	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7d2ac9…
03-10 16:07:53	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xac413a…
03-10 16:05:15	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xb890d3…
03-10 15:59:37	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x217090…
03-10 15:58:39	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xccc78b…
03-10 15:55:15	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd4f60c…
03-09 00:25:07	will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	No	BUY	12	94¢	$12	0xc9f629…
03-09 00:07:51	will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xab3554…
03-08 23:43:55	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0xdba7bd…
03-08 23:43:05	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	BUY	38	70¢	$26	0x903fe6…
03-08 20:09:23	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795	Yes	BUY	45	47¢	$21	0xe6191e…
03-08 20:04:35	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 11 887	Yes	BUY	29	66¢	$19	0x6c642d…
03-08 07:45:57	Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xdaf5fa…
03-05 01:27:19	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0xe6864c…
03-05 01:24:29	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x6d0e8d…
03-05 01:24:19	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x85ca00…
03-05 01:24:17	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x4485f8…
03-05 01:24:13	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x4bffda…
03-04 21:59:57	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x8b4d25…
03-04 21:56:53	will there be between 14 and 17 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf42bcb…
03-03 12:34:19	will there be between 14 and 17 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf7224f…
03-03 12:30:03	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x7c666f…
03-01 16:59:49	epl ars che 2026 03 01 ars	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xefd16f…
03-01 16:25:27	epl ars che 2026 03 01 ars	No	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x8dc95a…
03-01 10:29:55	cs2 prv sfe 2026 03 01	PARIVISION	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x487da6…
03-01 10:29:31	cs2 prv sfe 2026 03 01	PARIVISION	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x94dc67…
03-01 01:55:11	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x2da68a…
03-01 01:10:01	nba lal gsw 2026 02 28 spread away 3pt5	Lakers	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x17281f…