Sharp-Disposal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$42

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.60K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

$89

1 position

First seen

2026-04-24

last 06-08 03:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

35% 100% +$8

Crypto

32% 100% +$12

Politics

28% — —

Sports

5% 100% +$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+110	$89	82¢	$89	+$1	06-02 06:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$381	200	200	+0	open	—	05-12 04:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	2	$128	66	66	+0	open	—	05-28 23:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$89	110	0	+110	open	—	06-02 06:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 4-10?	2	$76	40	40	+0	No	+$3	05-08 17:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	2	$76	40	40	+0	open	—	04-30 15:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	1	$75	78	0	+78	open	—	05-26 11:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?	1	$59	66	0	+66	open	—	06-02 04:33
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24?	1	$58	64	0	+64	open	—	05-18 15:32
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	3	$52	57	0	+57	open	—	05-24 12:45
dota2 vpp balu 2026 06 08	1	$50	57	0	+57	open	—	06-08 03:47
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	1	$46	53	0	+53	open	—	05-15 08:03
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Marie Bouzkova	1	$42	49	0	+49	open	—	05-28 23:47
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	2	$41	50	0	+50	open	—	05-15 08:15
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 in May?	2	$36	50	50	+0	open	—	05-15 07:53
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	2	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	05-18 15:37
cs2 nemi1 bw 2026 06 04	1	$34	43	0	+43	open	—	06-04 04:21
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	1	$32	38	0	+38	open	—	05-12 02:04
wta marcink hennema 2026 06 03	1	$31	39	0	+39	open	—	06-04 04:17
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$28	30	0	+30	open	—	04-24 04:38
Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx	1	$27	39	0	+39	open	—	05-21 10:48
Thunder vs. Lakers	1	$25	30	0	+30	Thunder	+$5	05-12 02:01
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	1	$24	36	0	+36	Spurs	+$12	05-08 17:24
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahce	1	$23	24	0	+24	Zalgiris Kaunas	+$1	04-30 16:12
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 11-17?	1	$20	24	0	+24	open	—	05-12 02:07
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Real Madrid	1	$20	22	0	+22	Hapoel Tel Aviv	+$2	04-30 15:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	1	$18	22	0	+22	No	+$4	05-10 13:14
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	1	$16	19	0	+19	Spurs	+$4	05-13 00:40
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	1	$15	23	0	+23	open	—	05-14 08:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	1	$14	19	0	+19	Yes	+$5	05-10 13:13
Beijing Ducks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigers	1	$14	20	0	+20	Beijing Ducks	+$5	05-12 02:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 03:47:09	dota2 vpp balu 2026 06 08	VP.Prodigy	BUY	57	89¢	$50	0x522be6…
06-04 04:21:24	cs2 nemi1 bw 2026 06 04	Nemiga	BUY	43	79¢	$34	0xdc227d…
06-04 04:17:16	wta marcink hennema 2026 06 03	Petra Marcinko	BUY	39	79¢	$31	0x9edcac…
06-02 06:51:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	87	81¢	$71	0x82cbe3…
06-02 04:33:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?	No	BUY	66	89¢	$59	0x0e16b4…
06-02 04:29:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	81¢	$18	0x25653b…
05-28 23:47:39	Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Marie Bouzkova	Mirra Andreeva	BUY	49	86¢	$42	0x92e8a9…
05-28 23:38:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x2f2471…
05-26 11:18:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	78	96¢	$75	0x75757d…
05-24 12:45:56	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Aurora	BUY	18	92¢	$16	0xf77d2a…
05-24 12:45:24	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Aurora	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x44adc9…
05-24 12:45:08	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Aurora	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0xc889f3…
05-21 10:48:34	Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynx	Minnesota Lynx	BUY	39	70¢	$27	0x32a02a…
05-21 10:37:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	66	95¢	$63	0x01d0d0…
05-18 15:37:46	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x605bed…
05-18 15:32:38	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	64	91¢	$58	0x916f1c…
05-15 08:15:59	Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Team Spirit	BUY	35	82¢	$29	0x42e5d6…
05-15 08:04:59	Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Team Spirit	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0xea14fa…
05-15 08:03:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	53	87¢	$46	0xe70fde…
05-15 07:53:40	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0xac4dde…
05-14 21:41:47	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0xf0e434…
05-14 15:09:02	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x9c102e…
05-14 08:17:33	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0x9d831e…
05-13 00:43:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	84¢	$14	0x55d656…
05-13 00:40:29	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	19	81¢	$16	0x2b6d13…
05-12 04:37:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$197	0xd148bb…
05-12 02:12:22	Beijing Ducks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigers	Beijing Ducks	BUY	20	73¢	$14	0xba517a…
05-12 02:07:18	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 11-17?	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xe82a17…
05-12 02:04:51	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	38	83¢	$32	0xdd53e9…
05-12 02:01:30	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xb1fc0c…
05-10 13:14:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	22	80¢	$18	0x4ca912…
05-10 13:13:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	19	76¢	$14	0x108def…
05-08 17:24:21	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	36	66¢	$24	0x5d4764…
05-08 17:18:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xb4a2c0…
05-05 03:00:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0x362eb8…
05-01 11:34:50	Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin	Liaoning Flying Leopards	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x383d2a…
04-30 16:12:44	Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahce	Zalgiris Kaunas	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0xd156c4…
04-30 15:56:14	Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Real Madrid	Hapoel Tel Aviv	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x05a6a5…
04-30 15:49:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x14357a…
04-29 12:54:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x12c911…
04-24 04:38:40	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xb70c12…
04-24 04:34:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	No	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0x14ef09…