Hopeful-Silk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-09 09:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

57% — —

Politics

34% 0% $-0

Tech

5% — —

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	2	$617	311	311	+0	open	—	03-21 03:21
will catarina martins win the 2026 portugal presidential election 582	2	$352	176	176	+0	open	—	01-01 13:00
will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	2	$265	133	133	+0	open	—	03-21 03:21
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$204	105	105	+0	open	—	01-01 13:01
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	4	$108	100	100	+0	open	—	06-28 07:02
Will Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	2	$90	45	45	+0	open	—	01-01 12:44
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	2	$82	50	50	+0	open	—	06-28 07:00
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	2	$61	31	31	+0	open	—	07-09 09:38
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	2	$26	13	13	+0	open	—	04-24 14:55
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	2	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	07-09 09:38
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	2	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	04-09 09:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?	1	$13	20	0	+20	open	—	06-03 16:36
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	04-24 15:06
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	04-19 09:25
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	02-06 12:53
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 400 419	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-12 07:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-10 09:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$-0	05-10 08:06
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 140 164	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-04 13:28
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 260 279	1	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	02-06 12:54
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	04-24 15:07
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-12 12:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-12 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-10 12:34
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 260 279	1	$4	9	0	+9	open	—	02-17 11:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 09:38:37	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x7c6fdd…
07-09 09:38:26	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x8561b9…
07-09 08:57:20	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x06290d…
07-09 08:56:53	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x10b9f9…
06-28 07:02:37	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	SELL	50	54¢	$27	0x165963…
06-28 07:02:02	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x319f7a…
06-28 07:00:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	Yes	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0xc2cc44…
06-28 06:59:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	Yes	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x7e4c9e…
06-28 06:38:19	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0x66604c…
06-28 06:37:44	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0xe4405c…
06-03 16:36:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xb9ff00…
05-12 12:58:46	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0ea5b4…
05-12 12:54:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x19fb6e…
05-10 12:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9ae372…
05-10 09:13:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	6	86¢	$6	0x0cf4b0…
05-10 08:12:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xae1281…
05-10 08:06:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x369e98…
05-10 07:47:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbbe6bf…
04-24 15:07:44	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfadaaf…
04-24 15:06:52	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf74458…
04-24 14:59:22	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7a88b0…
04-24 14:55:02	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x842c1f…
04-21 12:45:40	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x812320…
04-19 09:25:08	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xb7f0c6…
04-19 07:48:46	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x727c4a…
04-12 07:13:13	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 400 419	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x7c7c29…
04-10 02:09:29	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 400 419	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfa34f4…
04-09 09:35:03	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xb9ce0d…
04-09 09:01:59	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x460eb5…
04-04 13:28:23	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 140 164	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9ccdcf…
03-21 03:21:13	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	No	SELL	133	100¢	$132	0x5fce39…
03-21 03:21:03	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	311	99¢	$308	0x3e58f4…
03-21 03:18:07	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	No	BUY	133	100¢	$132	0x01f94b…
03-21 03:17:55	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	311	99¢	$309	0x0e1290…
02-17 11:39:39	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 260 279	Yes	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x6a01a0…
02-06 12:54:23	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 260 279	No	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x441dff…
02-06 12:53:59	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x3616a0…
02-05 08:33:43	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xcf7e31…
01-01 13:01:11	will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	SELL	105	97¢	$102	0x41adb1…
01-01 13:00:59	will catarina martins win the 2026 portugal presidential election 582	No	SELL	176	100¢	$176	0x37c5d4…
01-01 12:44:41	will catarina martins win the 2026 portugal presidential election 582	No	BUY	176	100¢	$176	0x688487…
01-01 12:44:29	will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	No	BUY	105	97¢	$102	0xfde1ec…
01-01 12:44:01	Will Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x2d80bf…
01-01 11:44:55	Will Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x4fed51…