Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$261

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.0%

Resolved

Trades

267

lifetime

Volume

$2.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 03-10 05:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

75% 30% -$217

Politics

25% 14% -$43

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-10).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	10	$270	781	201	+580	Yes	-$27	03-10 05:21
highest temperature in seoul on january 26 neg 1c	12	$270	232	232	-0	Yes	+$9	01-26 06:56
highest temperature in seoul on january 27 neg 1c	14	$179	137	137	+0	Yes	+$87	01-27 06:34
highest temperature in london on january 26 6c	6	$167	104	104	+0	Yes	-$1	01-26 21:16
highest temperature in atlanta on january 26 36 37f	7	$113	112	112	+0	Yes	+$5	01-26 05:52
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$87	249	249	+0	No	-$3	03-01 09:23
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	12	$77	331	331	+0	No	-$6	03-04 12:31
highest temperature in london on january 29 7c	7	$73	62	62	+0	Yes	+$27	01-29 12:38
highest temperature in london on march 6 2026 20c	12	$70	2,371	15	+2,356	No	-$40	03-05 17:15
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$64	87	87	+0	No	-$2	03-09 05:14
highest temperature in london on january 26 7c	10	$64	80	80	+0	No	+$3	01-26 15:04
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	9	$53	1,812	0	+1,812	Yes	-$53	02-01 17:08
highest temperature in seoul on january 26 neg 2c	4	$49	93	0	+93	No	-$49	01-26 06:26
highest temperature in atlanta on january 28 44 45f	5	$42	108	30	+78	No	-$25	01-27 13:18
highest temperature in london on january 29 8c	4	$40	62	62	+0	No	-$20	01-29 12:39
highest temperature in atlanta on january 29 46 47f	3	$38	20	31	-11	Yes	+$13	01-30 01:49
highest temperature in atlanta on january 26 38 39f	7	$37	74	74	+0	No	-$15	01-26 05:52
highest temperature in atlanta on january 28 46 47f	4	$34	81	0	+81	No	-$34	01-27 13:19
highest temperature in seoul on january 28 neg 2c	7	$34	48	48	+0	Yes	+$7	01-28 05:36
highest temperature in london on january 28 8c	6	$32	69	44	+25	No	-$6	01-28 05:19
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	11	$31	450	450	+0	Yes	-$5	02-28 07:29
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$29	95	95	+0	No	$0	03-07 07:35
highest temperature in london on january 26 8c	11	$28	275	275	+0	No	-$13	01-26 14:02
highest temperature in seoul on january 29 neg 1c	2	$27	21	21	+0	Yes	+$15	01-29 12:40
highest temperature in miami on january 26 86 87f	4	$27	31	31	-0	Yes	+$1	01-26 11:48
highest temperature in london on january 30 10c	5	$27	40	40	+0	No	-$5	01-30 01:47
highest temperature in london on january 25 7c	9	$23	79	79	+0	No	+$7	01-25 08:12
highest temperature in seoul on january 28 neg 1c	2	$23	25	25	+0	No	+$6	01-28 05:43
highest temperature in atlanta on january 25 42forhigher	5	$22	102	102	+0	No	-$4	01-25 23:45
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	8	$22	114	114	+0	Yes	-$2	02-28 20:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-10 05:21:29	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	580	3¢	$17	0x20d39f…
03-09 05:14:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	40	40¢	$16	0x711452…
03-07 07:36:41	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0x54dd45…
03-07 07:35:27	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	SELL	95	15¢	$15	0xf0c157…
03-07 05:17:01	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	BUY	95	16¢	$15	0x69809e…
03-06 10:57:17	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	47	32¢	$15	0xa55b76…
03-05 19:51:41	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	47	40¢	$19	0x9b8db0…
03-05 17:15:23	highest temperature in london on march 6 2026 20c	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xd2daed…
03-05 16:19:43	highest temperature in london on march 6 2026 20c	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcc24af…
03-05 16:18:43	highest temperature in london on march 6 2026 20c	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe5ea20…
03-05 16:18:43	highest temperature in london on march 6 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	294	2¢	$5	0x4a3595…
03-05 16:18:41	highest temperature in london on march 6 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	294	2¢	$5	0x30b1e7…
03-05 16:18:39	highest temperature in london on march 6 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	294	2¢	$5	0xb29c8f…
03-05 16:18:37	highest temperature in london on march 6 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	296	2¢	$5	0x303661…
03-05 16:18:33	highest temperature in london on march 6 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	294	2¢	$5	0xc88d57…
03-05 16:18:33	highest temperature in london on march 6 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	296	2¢	$5	0xae8770…
03-05 16:18:33	highest temperature in london on march 6 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	294	2¢	$5	0x358c02…
03-05 16:18:31	highest temperature in london on march 6 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	294	2¢	$5	0x952ffd…
03-05 16:18:27	highest temperature in london on march 6 2026 20c	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe00bdd…
03-04 12:31:19	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	148	13¢	$18	0x13eeb0…
03-04 12:27:35	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	78	13¢	$10	0x929b19…
03-04 12:20:57	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xb4026f…
03-04 12:20:35	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	60	11¢	$6	0xa5d2ff…
03-04 10:33:47	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	184	9¢	$17	0x74d075…
03-04 10:26:17	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	24	11¢	$3	0xccaa25…
03-04 10:23:11	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x5a0c8a…
03-04 10:22:49	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xc3862a…
03-04 10:22:25	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	35	13¢	$5	0x328a38…
03-04 10:22:19	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x4e4f3d…
03-04 10:21:43	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0xa947a3…
03-04 10:21:13	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0xf32fba…
03-03 02:27:05	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x811fe8…
03-03 02:25:11	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	85	59¢	$50	0x73f263…
03-01 10:42:27	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	85	63¢	$54	0x7b079f…
03-01 10:27:53	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	78	60¢	$47	0x37f3fb…
03-01 10:26:29	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	11	60¢	$7	0xd3d53e…
03-01 09:29:35	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0xa0124a…
03-01 09:29:09	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x2908be…
03-01 09:25:33	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	27	67¢	$18	0x144dd6…
03-01 09:23:59	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	60	69¢	$41	0x484db1…
03-01 09:23:27	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	249	17¢	$42	0x2aa50c…
03-01 09:20:41	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	29	66¢	$19	0x1fdf22…
03-01 09:01:03	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xa5eb4d…
03-01 08:54:53	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	249	18¢	$45	0x816fc0…
03-01 08:51:43	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3257ff…
02-28 20:55:15	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	64	10¢	$6	0x441dff…
02-28 20:53:27	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x2a8ff7…
02-28 20:52:47	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0xec70b8…
02-28 20:52:45	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xa59803…
02-28 20:52:45	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x7c13df…
02-28 20:52:45	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x485b24…
02-28 20:45:09	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0xbb06cd…
02-28 20:40:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0xbf1d7d…
02-28 07:29:07	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	400	1¢	$4	0xe348e1…
02-28 07:18:55	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xde093f…
02-28 07:18:55	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xdaeee5…
02-28 07:18:55	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x8e6b59…
02-28 07:18:55	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	22	2¢	$0	0x6f9c58…
02-28 07:18:55	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x34de6d…
02-28 07:17:01	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x08acef…
02-28 07:16:21	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xfa057f…
02-28 07:12:11	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xc07e0e…
02-23 03:56:32	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0xcddba7…
02-22 14:47:06	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x78101d…
02-01 17:08:36	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0x3ce623…
01-31 01:39:02	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0x6877a3…
01-31 00:56:56	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x57cfd4…
01-30 23:15:08	highest temperature in seoul on february 1 1c	Yes	BUY	4	35¢	$2	0x9f64ff…
01-30 23:15:06	highest temperature in seoul on february 1 1c	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xe68e9e…
01-30 23:15:06	highest temperature in seoul on february 1 1c	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x8bdceb…
01-30 17:24:46	highest temperature in atlanta on january 30 50 51f	Yes	SELL	30	13¢	$4	0x6cd6a6…
01-30 17:16:38	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x9d3080…
01-30 10:51:36	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0x66e58a…
01-30 06:23:42	highest temperature in miami on january 30 72 73f	Yes	SELL	16	8¢	$1	0x52200d…
01-30 05:08:46	highest temperature in seoul on january 30 neg 2c	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x3cb688…
01-30 05:06:18	highest temperature in seoul on january 30 neg 2c	Yes	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0xf38138…
01-30 05:03:24	highest temperature in miami on january 30 72 73f	Yes	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0xe49c87…
01-30 05:00:24	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x10cdcd…
01-30 01:49:18	highest temperature in atlanta on january 29 46 47f	Yes	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x3b9aa8…
01-30 01:47:46	highest temperature in london on january 30 10c	Yes	SELL	24	26¢	$6	0x4e2f23…
01-30 01:47:10	highest temperature in london on january 30 10c	Yes	SELL	16	27¢	$4	0x4aba9a…
01-30 01:46:12	highest temperature in london on january 30 9c	Yes	SELL	38	10¢	$4	0xf7cb57…
01-29 12:40:40	highest temperature in seoul on january 29 neg 1c	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xb3fb78…
01-29 12:39:00	highest temperature in london on january 29 8c	Yes	SELL	21	15¢	$3	0x70d42c…
01-29 12:38:28	highest temperature in london on january 29 8c	Yes	SELL	41	16¢	$7	0xa7bd34…
01-29 12:38:02	highest temperature in london on january 29 7c	Yes	SELL	62	80¢	$50	0x20d648…
01-28 17:29:18	highest temperature in london on january 30 10c	Yes	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0xe69e22…
01-28 17:28:54	highest temperature in london on january 30 9c	Yes	BUY	25	30¢	$8	0xed9f8a…
01-28 17:15:16	highest temperature in atlanta on january 30 48 49f	Yes	BUY	25	30¢	$8	0x9aeeda…
01-28 16:10:08	highest temperature in atlanta on january 30 50 51f	Yes	BUY	26	24¢	$6	0x849f8d…
01-28 16:10:06	highest temperature in atlanta on january 30 50 51f	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x056eb2…
01-28 15:45:20	highest temperature in atlanta on january 29 44 45f	Yes	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x553e1a…
01-28 15:44:42	highest temperature in atlanta on january 29 48 49f	Yes	SELL	30	18¢	$5	0xc974f6…
01-28 15:40:50	highest temperature in seoul on january 29 neg 1c	Yes	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0x6e1c5e…
01-28 15:36:34	highest temperature in london on january 28 9c	Yes	SELL	660	0¢	$1	0x10bb93…
01-28 15:35:26	highest temperature in london on january 28 9c	Yes	SELL	115	0¢	$0	0xe1749c…
01-28 15:28:39	highest temperature in london on january 30 9c	Yes	BUY	13	35¢	$4	0x55788b…
01-28 15:26:55	highest temperature in london on january 28 9c	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$1	0x3add55…
01-28 15:26:03	highest temperature in london on january 30 10c	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x29cdee…
01-28 15:25:17	highest temperature in london on january 30 10c	Yes	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0x6fecb5…