Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.47K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$372

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 06-08 13:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

77% 100% +$1,472

Other

14% — —

Tech

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1	$1.3K	1,401	+1,401	open	—	01-30 11:38
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	1	$700	946	+946	open	—	03-29 15:46
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$550	797	+797	open	—	03-29 15:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$500	1,562	+1,562	Yes	+$1,062	05-02 06:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?	1	$500	909	+909	Yes	+$409	05-02 06:22
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$400	521	+521	open	—	03-29 15:50
will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	1	$400	492	+492	open	—	06-08 13:14
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$300	698	+698	open	—	02-02 09:12
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	1	$300	448	+448	open	—	06-08 13:16
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	1	$300	536	+536	open	—	02-02 09:12
will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	1	$200	541	+541	open	—	06-08 13:15
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	1	$200	426	+426	open	—	06-08 13:16
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$200	667	+667	open	—	02-02 09:12
spx opens up or down on february 2 2026	1	$200	211	+211	open	—	02-02 09:13
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	1	$100	543	+543	open	—	06-08 13:15
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$100	1,053	+1,053	open	—	03-29 15:46
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	1	$50	172	+172	open	—	06-08 13:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 13:16:30	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0x28c8dc…
06-08 13:16:15	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	426	47¢	$200	0xc34660…
06-08 13:16:03	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	448	67¢	$300	0xe75019…
06-08 13:15:21	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	543	18¢	$100	0x0795a5…
06-08 13:15:03	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	541	37¢	$200	0xac7943…
06-08 13:14:48	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	492	81¢	$400	0x437076…
05-02 06:22:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?	Yes	BUY	909	55¢	$500	0x9f16bb…
05-02 06:21:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,562	32¢	$500	0x781b5b…
03-29 15:50:06	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	521	77¢	$400	0xed0bef…
03-29 15:46:54	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	946	74¢	$700	0xbd7288…
03-29 15:46:00	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	1,053	9¢	$100	0x446e04…
03-29 15:45:02	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	797	69¢	$550	0xd3f2c8…
02-02 09:13:14	spx opens up or down on february 2 2026	Down	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x2c7c06…
02-02 09:12:42	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	667	30¢	$200	0x50c16a…
02-02 09:12:26	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	536	56¢	$300	0xa79856…
02-02 09:12:16	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	698	43¢	$300	0xc8506a…
01-30 11:38:04	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,401	95¢	$1,331	0x7991e1…