Slight-Messy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

74.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$133

Open exposure

$28

1 position

First seen

2026-04-20

last 07-08 10:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

71% 50% $-6

Politics

27% — —

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		+29	$28	96¢	$28	+$0	07-08 10:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$322	0	322	-322	open	—	06-01 07:28
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	1	$255	365	0	+365	open	—	05-19 10:08
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)	1	$195	275	0	+275	open	—	05-14 05:51
Thunder vs. Lakers	1	$150	195	0	+195	Thunder	+$45	05-09 07:15
Avalanche vs. Kings	1	$136	350	0	+350	open	—	04-26 06:37
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$50	120	0	+120	Pistons	$-50	05-05 12:30
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	1	$46	68	0	+68	open	—	06-05 06:26
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$28	29	0	+29	open	—	07-08 10:26
nba atl nyk 2026 04 20	1	$16	51	0	+51	open	—	04-20 07:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 10:26:35	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0x9b4bfe…
06-05 06:26:34	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Spurs	BUY	68	67¢	$46	0xa0e9db…
06-01 07:28:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	322	100¢	$322	0xcef428…
05-19 10:08:24	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	365	70¢	$255	0x71f4ef…
05-14 05:51:27	Spread: Sabres (-1.5)	Canadiens	BUY	275	71¢	$195	0xfb0e86…
05-09 07:15:24	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	195	77¢	$150	0xe62885…
05-05 12:30:06	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	120	42¢	$50	0xbd60b3…
04-26 06:37:52	Avalanche vs. Kings	Kings	BUY	350	39¢	$136	0x2aa0ca…
04-20 07:41:00	nba atl nyk 2026 04 20	Hawks	BUY	51	32¢	$16	0x97f202…