Grand-Octopus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

83.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$375

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$25

1 position

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-28 08:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

78% — —

Crypto

15% 81% $-1

Tech

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026?	No		-28	$-25	88¢	$-25	+$0	05-28 08:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	11	$230	153	123	+31	open	—	05-12 06:57
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?	4	$44	32	32	+0	open	—	05-11 10:47
Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026?	1	$25	0	28	-28	open	—	05-28 08:42
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 14?	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-13 10:44
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 17, 2026?	2	$8	30	30	+0	open	—	05-15 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	Down	+$0	05-08 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-09 15:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-09 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Up	+$1	05-09 15:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$3	10	0	+10	Up	$-3	05-10 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	$-0	05-09 09:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$1	1	1	+0	Down	$-1	05-08 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-08 21:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-08 23:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-08 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-08 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-08 23:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-08 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-08 23:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-08 21:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-08 22:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-08 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	$-1	05-08 23:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-08 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-08 20:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	$-1	05-08 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	$-1	05-08 22:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-08 22:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 08:42:26	Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026?	No	SELL	28	90¢	$25	0x4e8b92…
05-15 11:53:22	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0x5aea5c…
05-15 11:01:57	Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0xe537c2…
05-13 10:44:32	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 14?	No	SELL	5	87¢	$5	0x6af9b6…
05-13 09:36:29	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 14?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x030955…
05-12 06:57:01	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	No	SELL	34	84¢	$29	0xe6979f…
05-12 06:56:38	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	No	SELL	25	84¢	$21	0xca46ae…
05-12 06:32:18	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	No	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0x0fb60f…
05-12 04:15:22	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	No	BUY	60	85¢	$51	0xaf5f4a…
05-12 03:31:39	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x410a4c…
05-12 03:31:27	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	No	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x0614f8…
05-12 02:54:47	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x44d4e5…
05-12 02:23:55	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	No	BUY	17	82¢	$14	0x835a41…
05-12 02:16:20	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	No	SELL	42	82¢	$34	0xf0c216…
05-12 01:45:04	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	No	SELL	18	82¢	$15	0xe4dc63…
05-12 01:09:52	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xfa953e…
05-11 10:47:49	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	71¢	$8	0x806e8b…
05-11 07:02:13	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0x5f8217…
05-11 06:27:11	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x9b1211…
05-11 03:30:14	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xc58689…
05-10 22:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x9dfed5…
05-09 15:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x80e900…
05-09 15:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xfa7add…
05-09 15:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x38a448…
05-09 09:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xb706e8…
05-09 09:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xc8b8c9…
05-09 00:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xc6cb09…
05-08 23:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xf9b112…
05-08 23:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7d001f…
05-08 23:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x500736…
05-08 23:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x65bbb3…
05-08 23:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x234311…
05-08 23:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa0b5f4…
05-08 23:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xbb1fc4…
05-08 23:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9b2b3d…
05-08 23:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x795f1f…
05-08 22:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xd011af…
05-08 22:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe5f7ae…
05-08 22:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa06944…
05-08 22:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x825912…
05-08 22:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xe58afa…
05-08 22:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xa45ef9…
05-08 22:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x747685…
05-08 22:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x2af05f…
05-08 21:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc67bb3…
05-08 21:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x0ec405…
05-08 21:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xc19969…
05-08 21:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x0f2f99…
05-08 21:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd9a505…
05-08 21:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x476a52…
05-08 21:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3a1137…
05-08 21:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x3d2cc7…
05-08 21:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xff9d27…
05-08 20:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x2acb16…
05-08 20:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x7e6333…
05-08 20:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x2ad9d0…
05-08 14:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xe410b2…
05-08 13:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x899970…
05-08 13:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x562fdf…
05-08 07:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8ec9f0…
05-08 07:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x21f4b5…