Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

47.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$103

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-03-17

last 09-21 10:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

55% 67% -$6

Politics

45% 22% -$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No		+11	$10	92¢	$10	$0	05-17 16:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	1	$10	14	+14	open	—	09-21 10:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027?	1	$10	28	+28	open	—	09-21 10:25
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	1	$10	17	+17	Yes	-$10	03-17 08:08
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	1	$10	24	+24	Yes	-$10	03-27 18:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$10	34	+34	No	-$10	03-17 08:12
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	1	$10	14	+14	No	+$4	03-17 08:14
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$10	13	+13	No	+$3	03-17 08:30
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	05-17 16:58
Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?	1	$10	10	+10	No	+$0	09-21 10:29
Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	1	$5	9	+9	open	—	09-21 10:38
Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	1	$1	3	+3	open	—	09-21 10:36
Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	1	$1	6	+6	open	—	09-21 10:37
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	04-04 18:18
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	04-04 18:42
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	04-04 18:43
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	-$1	04-04 18:42
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	04-09 05:20
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	-$1	04-04 18:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-21 10:38:12	Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xded14d…
09-21 10:37:36	Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc0fb1a…
09-21 10:36:00	Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x7218f0…
09-21 10:35:41	Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xb80a0f…
09-21 10:29:33	Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x706caf…
09-21 10:25:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027?	No	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x0c664e…
05-17 16:58:45	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xc38863…
04-09 05:20:31	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x50e894…
04-04 18:43:55	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x9f87f9…
04-04 18:42:21	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xefb7c9…
04-04 18:42:13	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x05f550…
04-04 18:42:01	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xf0c532…
04-04 18:18:29	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x8c3ea3…
03-27 18:17:57	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x2712bf…
03-17 08:30:51	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x1cfbf1…
03-17 08:14:19	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x61a899…
03-17 08:12:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x814a97…
03-17 08:08:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xd614aa…