Ragged-Peacock — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$198

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 07-19 11:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

46% 100% +$0

Crypto

22% — —

Sports

19% 0% $-10

Other

13% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	2	$30	38	0	+38	open	—	06-02 21:12
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	1	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	06-02 21:10
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	1	$13	20	0	+20	open	—	05-03 19:07
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?	1	$12	37	0	+37	open	—	06-02 21:20
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	06-02 21:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	04-20 02:07
world cup final any player to score a hat trick 20260716194352297	1	$10	168	0	+168	open	—	07-19 11:31
Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	05-03 19:09
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$10	83	0	+83	No	$-10	04-20 20:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$9	11	0	+11	open	—	05-03 19:10
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	1	$8	11	0	+11	open	—	04-20 02:08
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$8	18	0	+18	open	—	04-20 02:09
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	04-20 02:11
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-03 19:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	04-20 02:08
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	1	$6	35	0	+35	open	—	04-20 20:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$6	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-03 18:56
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-03 19:12
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-20 02:11
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$5	17	0	+17	open	—	04-20 02:09
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$5	19	0	+19	open	—	04-20 02:10
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	1	$4	44	0	+44	open	—	04-20 20:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 11:31:25	world cup final any player to score a hat trick 20260716194352297	Yes	BUY	168	6¢	$10	0xc0c408…
06-02 21:39:54	Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x32a815…
06-02 21:20:09	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	37	32¢	$12	0xfe7b05…
06-02 21:12:15	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xe69dec…
06-02 21:10:25	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0xbe72ba…
06-02 21:09:11	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xee9fdd…
05-03 19:13:42	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xb358f3…
05-03 19:12:54	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x1c5120…
05-03 19:10:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0x3a6705…
05-03 19:09:24	Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x4ca27c…
05-03 19:07:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x328597…
05-03 18:56:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x25a3a0…
04-21 00:31:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xafe437…
04-20 20:15:20	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0xea1b05…
04-20 20:15:00	Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	16¢	$6	0x90694d…
04-20 20:14:42	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x148f62…
04-20 02:11:36	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x880283…
04-20 02:11:04	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x89bb83…
04-20 02:10:06	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x7da47a…
04-20 02:09:36	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	17	28¢	$5	0x074796…
04-20 02:09:04	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0xacc000…
04-20 02:08:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x280516…
04-20 02:08:00	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0xdc4661…
04-20 02:07:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x1e296c…