Dearest-Ingrate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.62K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-27

last 06-09 09:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

52% — —

Other

32% — —

Sports

17% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No		+11	$6	62¢	$7	+$1	05-29 23:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	6	$207	105	105	+0	open	—	06-07 08:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	6	$127	118	107	+11	open	—	05-29 23:26
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	4	$125	77	77	+0	open	—	06-07 04:43
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	4	$119	61	61	+0	open	—	04-25 17:47
Will Alberta join the US?	7	$76	174	174	+0	open	—	06-04 01:10
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$73	43	41	+2	open	—	04-22 01:46
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$73	38	38	+0	open	—	04-26 09:58
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	3	$71	36	71	-35	open	—	05-31 10:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	2	$70	36	36	+0	open	—	05-19 18:50
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$69	35	35	+0	open	—	04-18 01:53
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	3	$69	35	35	+0	open	—	04-15 00:25
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$69	36	36	+0	open	—	04-17 07:06
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$67	34	34	+0	open	—	04-11 15:00
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$67	34	34	+0	open	—	03-27 07:59
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	3	$64	33	33	+0	open	—	05-30 22:25
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$62	30	33	-3	open	—	05-23 07:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	3	$60	35	35	+0	open	—	06-06 21:21
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$0	04-20 01:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	7	$46	80	80	+0	open	—	06-09 09:34
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	1	$34	0	35	-35	open	—	05-25 03:00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	1	$12	36	0	+36	open	—	05-21 17:31
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$9	37	37	+0	No	+$0	04-24 11:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 09:34:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	35	29¢	$10	0xba780f…
06-09 09:13:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0xd276db…
06-09 09:05:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	17	29¢	$5	0xb98a3d…
06-09 08:10:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	11	29¢	$3	0x04e49d…
06-09 08:04:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x9bf16a…
06-08 15:38:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	11	29¢	$3	0xf86b36…
06-08 15:38:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x4bfb6a…
06-07 08:28:58	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x9cd2e0…
06-07 06:45:48	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x5b0d7a…
06-07 04:43:52	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	40	81¢	$33	0x65789e…
06-07 00:20:16	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0x8bb9e0…
06-06 21:21:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	35	85¢	$30	0x5d8185…
06-06 18:34:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xe9e606…
06-06 18:34:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	34	85¢	$29	0xdc0fe8…
06-06 16:53:34	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	37	81¢	$30	0x8a86a6…
06-06 13:30:00	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	40	81¢	$32	0x33e751…
06-05 20:35:34	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	36	99¢	$35	0x8a7606…
06-05 18:14:43	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0xf10a68…
06-04 01:10:16	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	81	5¢	$4	0xf8bfcf…
06-04 00:47:25	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0xd5cb1d…
06-04 00:47:25	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	56	5¢	$3	0xa10ac7…
06-03 13:34:12	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	60	4¢	$3	0x3edc85…
06-03 11:31:18	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	60	4¢	$3	0x11d5a9…
06-02 08:35:29	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	36	99¢	$35	0x502464…
06-02 07:28:42	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0xbb6f4c…
06-01 17:45:53	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	33	96¢	$32	0x072991…
06-01 12:58:12	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0xdf2ff7…
05-31 10:56:02	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	35	3¢	$1	0xacf611…
05-30 22:25:30	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x71935d…
05-30 22:25:30	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	29	97¢	$28	0x6382e5…
05-30 21:11:28	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x892f41…
05-30 21:09:27	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0x84d7e0…
05-30 19:34:38	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x475f70…
05-29 23:26:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	51	57¢	$29	0x6629cd…
05-29 23:26:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x60c2b8…
05-29 19:52:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	37	57¢	$21	0x5ed04c…
05-29 19:52:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0x5b0c54…
05-28 20:41:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	51	56¢	$29	0xedcb6f…
05-28 20:41:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	62	56¢	$35	0x288209…
05-25 03:00:13	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0x04f9e6…
05-23 07:26:27	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x761424…
05-23 07:26:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	22	98¢	$21	0x6f253b…
05-23 07:25:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xa2bd7d…
05-21 17:31:39	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	34¢	$12	0xdc6106…
05-19 18:50:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	36	98¢	$35	0x852074…
05-19 17:39:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x8e0b4f…
04-26 09:58:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	38	96¢	$36	0xa57eb1…
04-26 09:57:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	38	96¢	$36	0xe5b832…
04-25 17:47:54	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0xc8ef42…
04-25 16:27:06	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0xec2f82…
04-24 11:06:14	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	37	12¢	$4	0x24e53a…
04-24 09:37:22	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	37	12¢	$4	0x924814…
04-23 01:26:14	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	37	98¢	$36	0xaf51fa…
04-22 23:37:22	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0x1a7eb5…
04-22 01:46:08	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0xf4f880…
04-22 01:45:38	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	33	87¢	$29	0x26f820…
04-22 01:45:04	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	43	87¢	$38	0x91ac45…
04-20 01:20:06	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0x649d4a…
04-20 01:05:20	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x2ac628…
04-18 01:53:38	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xd9ef5c…
04-18 01:53:38	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xce3b32…
04-18 01:53:38	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x13a4b1…
04-17 22:37:04	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xa32c0e…
04-17 07:06:06	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	36	96¢	$34	0xca5b24…
04-17 02:28:10	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	36	96¢	$34	0x48f5b6…
04-15 00:25:54	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0xdf281e…
04-14 18:21:26	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x4c9774…
04-14 18:21:26	Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x44732b…
04-11 15:00:35	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xa233a9…
04-11 13:13:39	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x2de40d…
03-27 07:59:41	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xdc27b1…
03-27 07:59:41	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x91775c…
03-27 05:24:05	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x991bf4…
03-27 05:24:05	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x538fa7…