Short-Deduction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$58

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.5%

Resolved

Trades

464

lifetime

Volume

$1.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 05-10 12:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 50% $-58

Other

23% — —

Politics

14% 100% +$0

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$63	38	37	+1	open	—	04-29 02:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	5	$43	25	25	+0	open	—	04-30 07:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 29?	6	$30	29	29	+0	open	—	04-29 16:12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	3	$23	27	27	+0	open	—	05-06 12:57
highest temperature in hong kong on april 18 2026 29c	3	$23	15	14	+0	open	—	04-18 15:16
highest temperature in hong kong on april 18 2026 30c	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	04-18 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	1	$20	39	0	+39	Down	$-20	05-07 07:43
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	4	$20	25	25	+0	open	—	05-04 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	5	$19	27	15	+12	open	—	05-03 13:42
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	6	$18	11	11	+0	open	—	04-29 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	3	$17	21	10	+11	open	—	04-30 07:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	5	$17	21	12	+9	Down	+$2	05-08 06:47
highest temperature in hong kong on april 19 2026 29c	5	$16	16	12	+4	open	—	04-19 04:51
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	8	$16	24	24	+0	open	—	04-23 06:58
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	2	$16	56	56	+0	open	—	05-10 12:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$15	29	0	+29	open	—	04-30 06:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$15	24	0	+24	Down	$-15	05-08 07:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$15	26	0	+26	open	—	04-30 07:41
highest temperature in hong kong on april 22 2026 28c	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	04-22 02:53
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	6	$12	15	15	+0	open	—	04-23 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$12	19	0	+19	open	—	04-30 06:58
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	04-30 02:15
highest temperature in seoul on april 22 2026 17c	3	$11	7	6	+0	open	—	04-22 04:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$11	22	0	+22	open	—	05-01 01:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?	1	$11	19	0	+19	open	—	04-30 07:49
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-29 04:45
btc updown 5m 1776574200	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	04-19 04:53
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	04-28 04:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	Up	$-10	05-07 07:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	1	$10	18	0	+18	Up	$-10	05-07 07:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 12:56:22	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	56	10¢	$6	0xfe5de4…
05-08 07:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xc99ce2…
05-08 07:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x0b0bb3…
05-08 07:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0xae0479…
05-08 06:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xfd61c2…
05-08 06:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xbfea2a…
05-08 06:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x9f735f…
05-08 06:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0xf8634c…
05-08 06:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xfdecae…
05-08 06:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x76c5d7…
05-08 06:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x7cbd03…
05-08 06:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5b019e…
05-08 06:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x63ad56…
05-08 05:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xbdd252…
05-08 05:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x56d03f…
05-08 05:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x2ee79e…
05-08 04:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x8b04a5…
05-08 04:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xed3b28…
05-08 04:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2d46b5…
05-08 03:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xab1dc3…
05-08 03:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x7e574e…
05-07 07:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x24b555…
05-07 07:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xca463c…
05-07 07:28:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x81953a…
05-07 07:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xac9564…
05-07 07:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xb7f9d6…
05-07 06:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb06653…
05-07 06:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa7e98f…
05-07 00:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xcd6613…
05-06 13:00:40	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xfddcea…
05-06 12:58:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x974b16…
05-06 12:57:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x79adbe…
05-06 12:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xbd3924…
05-06 11:59:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x8d6167…
05-06 09:13:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x2b07a8…
05-06 09:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x467c76…
05-06 08:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x5d7227…
05-06 08:47:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0x07ffe3…
05-06 08:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x92e035…
05-05 10:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x6d9790…
05-05 10:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xecfec4…
05-05 10:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd7ce79…
05-05 10:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x1ef9d6…
05-05 09:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x74e006…
05-05 09:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x92651a…
05-04 13:43:46	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0xa37b46…
05-03 16:34:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x902f54…
05-03 14:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9bc8dc…
05-03 13:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x17c73d…
05-03 13:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0x0ebb97…
05-03 13:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x86d0ec…
05-03 13:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0x6c031a…
05-03 13:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x8c6864…
05-03 13:26:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x20ab6f…
05-01 01:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xd0e922…
05-01 01:01:20	Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0xbed2de…
05-01 00:59:22	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x3a22b9…
05-01 00:57:34	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	13	32¢	$4	0x7dc5c9…
05-01 00:57:32	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	19	20¢	$4	0xb6a5c1…
04-30 07:49:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	19	58¢	$11	0x1ed7a5…
04-30 07:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x73acd3…
04-30 07:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x9314de…
04-30 07:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x53db72…
04-30 07:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x65fc50…
04-30 07:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x300c46…
04-30 07:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0x0c2790…
04-30 07:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9694bd…
04-30 07:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x3c1885…
04-30 07:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0xc8c62c…
04-30 07:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	13	90¢	$12	0xa49e3c…
04-30 07:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x472b92…
04-30 07:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x382692…
04-30 07:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x937ce6…
04-30 06:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	62¢	$12	0x64ea69…
04-30 06:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xd5376f…
04-30 02:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x45c0ae…
04-30 02:39:28	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x940045…
04-30 02:15:08	Spread: Pistons (-10.5)	Magic	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xa63861…
04-29 22:33:38	Spread: Pistons (-10.5)	Magic	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xadfa5c…
04-29 22:32:10	Magic vs. Pistons	Magic	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x3b5b1b…
04-29 22:32:00	1H Spread: Pistons (-5.5)	Magic	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xbea73e…
04-29 16:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x3ccee2…
04-29 16:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x5aa6e6…
04-29 16:12:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 29?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x6a1557…
04-29 16:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xeff76b…
04-29 15:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x012bbc…
04-29 15:43:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xffbca1…
04-29 15:40:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 29?	No	SELL	16	37¢	$6	0x5bedfe…
04-29 15:13:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 29?	Yes	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x7388c5…
04-29 15:12:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x40f019…
04-29 15:12:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	No	SELL	9	47¢	$4	0x63bb58…
04-29 15:05:10	James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x6589e9…
04-29 15:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xe83264…
04-29 14:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xbdf524…
04-29 14:17:08	James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xb998b2…
04-29 11:17:32	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xca4148…
04-29 11:17:26	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x177967…
04-29 10:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x13c49d…
04-29 10:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x700ab9…
04-29 09:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x163108…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	249	$174.9K	5,748	06-01 00:13
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	225	$90.0K	14,422	05-08 07:24
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	224	$83.3K	13,573	05-08 07:24
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	223	$78.9K	23,184	05-08 07:24
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	223	$74.6K	21,480	05-08 07:24
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	220	$16.2K	4,320	05-08 07:24
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	215	$479.7K	18,977	05-08 07:24
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	215	$156.9K	10,422	05-08 07:22