Coarse-Headache — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$135

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 07-27 09:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 47% $-25

Politics

4% — —

Other

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	4	$21	19	9	+10	Down	+$2	05-07 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	1	$20	26	0	+26	Up	$-20	05-07 21:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$17	20	20	+0	Down	$-3	05-08 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	3	$17	14	6	+7	Up	+$2	05-07 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	3	$10	14	0	+14	Up	+$1	05-07 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	3	$10	12	0	+12	Up	+$2	05-07 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$7	9	0	+9	Down	+$2	05-07 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	2	$6	16	0	+16	Up	$-6	05-06 07:48
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	2	$5	18	0	+18	open	—	05-27 19:33
btc updown 5m 1785143100	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-27 09:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-09 18:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Up	$-2	05-07 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$2	05-07 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$2	11	0	+11	Down	$-2	05-07 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$2	9	0	+9	Up	$-2	05-06 20:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$2	7	0	+7	open	—	05-07 07:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$2	05-05 19:40
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	1	$2	0	53	-53	open	—	07-27 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$1	17	0	+17	Down	$-1	05-07 16:10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$1	0	4	-4	open	—	07-27 09:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-27 09:10:28	btc updown 5m 1785143100	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x25f733…
07-27 09:09:13	btc updown 5m 1785143100	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xc0d4d2…
07-27 09:08:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0x88e4df…
07-27 09:08:18	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	3¢	$2	0xd09e51…
05-27 19:33:58	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xb89b47…
05-27 19:21:24	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x48d7f4…
05-09 18:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x44f5ba…
05-08 13:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x33242b…
05-08 13:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x78f8bf…
05-07 21:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa18498…
05-07 21:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x89eaae…
05-07 21:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	9	74¢	$7	0xa1ba04…
05-07 21:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x83b805…
05-07 21:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xd98c7a…
05-07 21:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0xcdd3db…
05-07 21:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xb04ce0…
05-07 21:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x98f4e7…
05-07 18:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xa3d721…
05-07 18:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xfec8f6…
05-07 18:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xec56ba…
05-07 18:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xa594eb…
05-07 18:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xc98334…
05-07 18:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x5c67b9…
05-07 18:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x8a8bbb…
05-07 18:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x39e057…
05-07 18:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb1ad98…
05-07 18:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x970f83…
05-07 16:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x9417d3…
05-07 16:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0x7728cc…
05-07 16:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x13f92f…
05-07 07:07:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x921382…
05-06 20:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x7e4dcb…
05-06 07:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x38ea20…
05-06 07:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xfb9770…
05-05 19:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x8a90e6…