Impartial-Confidence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$75

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-10 02:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 58% $-129

Sports

26% 33% +$54

Politics

19% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)	2	$266	167	167	+0	Flyers	+$67	05-10 01:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	2	$200	109	109	+0	open	—	05-09 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	9	$184	176	117	+59	Up	$-46	05-10 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	7	$124	82	82	+0	Up	+$4	05-10 02:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$100	193	0	+193	Down	$-100	05-10 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	4	$40	53	0	+53	Up	+$13	05-10 02:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	5	$32	53	37	+16	Up	$-8	05-10 02:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	4	$31	30	30	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 02:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$25	51	0	+51	Down	$-25	05-10 02:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$25	46	0	+46	Down	+$21	05-10 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	3	$15	27	0	+27	Up	+$12	05-10 02:16
Thunder vs. Lakers	1	$10	32	0	+32	Thunder	$-10	05-10 01:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	+$3	05-10 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	Down	$-5	05-10 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-10 01:54
Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 6.5	1	$3	6	0	+6	Under	$-3	05-10 01:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 02:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xaad896…
05-10 02:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x6f32fc…
05-10 02:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	37	33¢	$12	0xb7acd8…
05-10 02:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xd7c167…
05-10 02:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x59496b…
05-10 02:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0xdf5122…
05-10 02:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xcb08ea…
05-10 02:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x78ceea…
05-10 02:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x8250f8…
05-10 02:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	105	65¢	$68	0xdab64d…
05-10 02:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xf152e8…
05-10 02:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xd9347e…
05-10 02:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xf02e51…
05-10 02:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x3e82c3…
05-10 02:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xe3496a…
05-10 02:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x687a37…
05-10 02:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x7adadd…
05-10 02:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x447861…
05-10 02:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xb1a3d5…
05-10 02:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	29	96¢	$28	0xb3dbb0…
05-10 02:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xbcb40a…
05-10 02:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	33	77¢	$26	0x938dae…
05-10 02:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x5fbedd…
05-10 02:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x2dd2f2…
05-10 02:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	30	55¢	$16	0xd3b643…
05-10 02:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd1ebea…
05-10 02:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd000f7…
05-10 02:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x08b1f0…
05-10 02:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xfdbcf8…
05-10 02:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x136553…
05-10 02:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x31df78…
05-10 02:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x5dded2…
05-10 02:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x6832b1…
05-10 02:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	193	52¢	$100	0x87686e…
05-10 02:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x0b4d0d…
05-10 02:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x13202f…
05-10 01:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xf111a1…
05-10 01:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x758e8c…
05-10 01:52:25	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x2ccfee…
05-10 01:46:56	Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)	Flyers	SELL	167	100¢	$166	0x51fe9f…
05-10 01:40:12	Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x2911a5…
05-09 20:16:16	Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)	Flyers	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xc29fd2…
05-09 20:15:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	109	92¢	$100	0x8d1935…
05-09 06:39:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xd3ac4d…