Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$138

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

17.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$548

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-10-15

last 10-20 16:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

90% 33% -$121

Politics

10% 50% -$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will grand theft auto vi launch trailer get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1	11	$104	114	109	+5	No	-$17	10-16 09:51
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	1	$93	100	0	+100	No	-$93	10-18 15:38
Will Seoul have between 50-70mm of precipitation in October?	2	$47	65	65	+0	open	—	10-15 13:52
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026?	4	$41	58	58	+0	No	-$9	10-15 14:17
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Goiás?	2	$37	22	22	+0	No	+$0	10-17 12:00
Will Chevron (CVX) Q3 oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) be above 4.1M?	2	$26	21	21	+0	No	-$3	10-16 07:47
Will Eli Lilly (LLY) Q3 Mounjaro sales be above $10B?	2	$24	20	20	+0	Yes	-$5	10-16 07:47
Will Corning (GLW) Q3 Optical Communications sales be above $2.3B?	3	$23	30	29	+1	Yes	-$6	10-16 08:39
will paper trail be nominated for best animated short film at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	2	$20	26	26	+0	open	—	10-15 20:18
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Goiás?	2	$17	80	0	+80	Yes	-$17	10-17 10:30
will the black ball be nominated for best costume design at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	1	$15	30	0	+30	open	—	10-16 09:55
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.40% in October?	2	$15	11	11	+0	Yes	-$1	10-19 14:44
Will Meta (META) Q3 capital expenditures (including principal payments on finance leases) be above $40B?	1	$15	31	0	+31	No	+$16	10-16 07:55
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 19, 2026?	1	$13	20	0	+20	open	—	10-17 11:12
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% in October?	2	$12	30	30	+0	No	-$1	10-17 15:38
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.43% in October?	2	$12	9	5	+4	Yes	$0	10-16 12:35
will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt50 in october	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	10-16 14:01
will the 5 year treasury yield hit 5pt14 in october	1	$8	11	0	+11	No	+$3	10-16 03:20
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.46% in October?	1	$8	9	0	+9	Yes	+$1	10-15 14:34
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.85% in October?	1	$6	90	0	+90	No	-$6	10-16 12:40
will the 30 year treasury yield dip below 5pt30 in october	2	$2	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	10-20 16:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 16:25:32	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.30% in October?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x7d43db…
10-19 14:44:32	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.40% in October?	Yes	SELL	11	60¢	$7	0xf69c56…
10-18 15:38:23	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x65eaed…
10-17 15:38:42	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% in October?	Yes	SELL	30	19¢	$6	0x70f6cb…
10-17 12:00:29	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Goiás?	No	SELL	22	85¢	$19	0x7ab697…
10-17 11:12:18	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x8e4bde…
10-17 10:30:21	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Goiás?	No	BUY	60	21¢	$13	0xa900b6…
10-17 10:30:21	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Goiás?	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x9e13f1…
10-17 10:30:11	Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Goiás?	No	BUY	22	85¢	$19	0xa5e6ff…
10-16 15:36:24	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.40% in October?	Yes	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0xc7476e…
10-16 14:01:24	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt50 in october	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x5d2e8e…
10-16 12:40:24	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.85% in October?	Yes	BUY	90	7¢	$6	0x494ad5…
10-16 12:35:31	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.43% in October?	Yes	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x99188d…
10-16 09:55:22	will the black ball be nominated for best costume design at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	No	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x69394e…
10-16 09:51:51	will grand theft auto vi launch trailer get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1	No	SELL	48	26¢	$13	0xc4376a…
10-16 09:51:31	will grand theft auto vi launch trailer get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1	No	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0xdd4e3d…
10-16 08:39:37	Will Corning (GLW) Q3 Optical Communications sales be above $2.3B?	Yes	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0x5d0ee8…
10-16 07:55:16	Will Meta (META) Q3 capital expenditures (including principal payments on finance leases) be above $40B?	No	BUY	31	47¢	$15	0xa7bbbb…
10-16 07:47:51	Will Eli Lilly (LLY) Q3 Mounjaro sales be above $10B?	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x4299fd…
10-16 07:47:39	Will Eli Lilly (LLY) Q3 Mounjaro sales be above $10B?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x15e9c2…
10-16 07:47:28	Will Chevron (CVX) Q3 oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) be above 4.1M?	No	SELL	21	54¢	$11	0x428dd7…
10-16 07:39:19	Will Corning (GLW) Q3 Optical Communications sales be above $2.3B?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x3d4171…
10-16 07:33:40	Will Corning (GLW) Q3 Optical Communications sales be above $2.3B?	Yes	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x8f19ce…
10-16 06:29:51	Will Chevron (CVX) Q3 oil-equivalent barrels per day net production (koebd) be above 4.1M?	No	BUY	21	69¢	$14	0xfd2a4c…
10-16 05:59:21	will grand theft auto vi launch trailer get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x760dda…
10-16 05:59:21	will grand theft auto vi launch trailer get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1	No	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x282962…
10-16 03:20:33	will the 5 year treasury yield hit 5pt14 in october	No	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0xcbf4f6…
10-16 00:34:40	will grand theft auto vi launch trailer get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x0dc24f…
10-16 00:04:33	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt50 in october	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xabd90f…
10-16 00:01:33	will the 30 year treasury yield dip below 5pt30 in october	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x92afc6…
10-15 23:48:40	will grand theft auto vi launch trailer get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1	No	BUY	32	46¢	$15	0x958ad4…
10-15 23:37:01	will grand theft auto vi launch trailer get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1	No	SELL	15	47¢	$7	0x2f7966…
10-15 22:51:03	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	24	61¢	$15	0x8881c2…
10-15 22:06:05	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	25	62¢	$16	0x3fb1fb…
10-15 21:54:05	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	25	58¢	$14	0xe28d2f…
10-15 21:52:48	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x181d57…
10-15 20:18:27	will paper trail be nominated for best animated short film at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	Yes	SELL	26	22¢	$6	0xd01fac…
10-15 20:17:42	will paper trail be nominated for best animated short film at the 99th academy awards 20261013180153422	Yes	BUY	26	56¢	$15	0x93ff14…
10-15 14:34:04	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.43% in October?	Yes	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0xdb2faf…
10-15 14:34:04	Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.46% in October?	Yes	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0xa7eb74…
10-15 14:34:02	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% in October?	Yes	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0xb12666…
10-15 14:17:32	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	28¢	$11	0xc63413…
10-15 14:15:37	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x235b9c…
10-15 14:13:53	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x9abf45…
10-15 13:59:20	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x3325ef…
10-15 13:52:17	Will Seoul have between 50-70mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	SELL	65	34¢	$22	0x3c7511…
10-15 13:42:08	Will Seoul have between 50-70mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	65	38¢	$25	0x257731…