Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.5%

Resolved

Trades

3,199

lifetime

Volume

$36.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-02

last 06-22 13:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

56% 100% +$1

Other

28% 50% $-1

Crypto

9% — —

Tech

5% — —

Sports

2% 0% $-25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	111	$8.6K	8,157	7,970	+186	open	—	03-20 20:18
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	37	$3.3K	3,509	3,509	+0	open	—	03-08 00:05
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	34	$2.8K	2,543	2,543	+0	open	—	03-18 11:48
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	16	$1.4K	2,052	1,652	+400	open	—	03-06 19:52
gpt 5pt4 released by march 5	22	$1.2K	1,379	1,379	+0	open	—	03-05 15:24
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	24	$1.1K	631	1,831	-1,200	open	—	05-23 14:10
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	26	$1.1K	1,264	1,284	-20	open	—	04-05 11:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	18	$850	808	984	-176	open	—	03-16 04:01
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	172	$813	829	882	-53	open	—	04-07 23:22
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	163	$724	666	796	-130	open	—	04-07 23:23
will bitcoin reach 74k april 6 12	126	$656	635	695	-60	open	—	04-10 20:42
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	6	$596	493	493	+0	open	—	03-17 16:03
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	17	$592	346	812	-467	open	—	05-30 19:34
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	85	$492	467	537	-70	No	$-2	04-07 23:22
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	10	$482	498	498	+0	open	—	03-04 03:46
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	78	$471	450	466	-16	open	—	04-10 20:42
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	14	$448	353	353	+0	open	—	03-12 22:59
James Comey arrested by April 29?	11	$408	337	509	-172	open	—	04-29 04:17
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	9	$407	340	340	+0	open	—	03-25 01:39
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	20	$362	150	480	-330	open	—	06-02 23:12
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	4	$342	352	352	+0	open	—	03-05 12:10
nba okc den 2026 04 10	60	$328	306	366	-60	open	—	04-10 04:16
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	2	$306	200	200	+0	open	—	03-03 16:15
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	2	$286	200	200	+0	open	—	03-03 15:21
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	50	$279	262	292	-30	open	—	04-10 20:41
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	2	$251	200	200	+0	open	—	03-12 20:09
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	59	$248	234	264	-30	open	—	04-07 18:05
andrew tate of tweets march 3 march 10 2026 0 99	8	$226	253	253	+0	open	—	03-06 04:02
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	8	$213	291	291	+0	open	—	03-10 13:38
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	9	$205	0	411	-411	open	—	05-23 04:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 13:39:49	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	12	43¢	$5	0xb04b63…
06-22 13:34:47	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0xb9c89e…
06-22 13:34:44	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x1a5bfd…
06-22 13:24:50	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xec203c…
06-22 13:04:52	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x651b31…
06-22 12:51:23	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x1ee212…
06-22 12:51:23	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x1ee212…
06-22 12:27:37	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x44676a…
06-21 08:09:50	will tread launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0xc3cbbe…
06-21 07:19:50	will tread launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x4fc3e8…
06-21 06:26:02	will tread launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x37fabe…
06-21 06:25:19	will tread launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xb34a7d…
06-21 06:25:07	will tread launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xa6d68f…
06-21 06:25:01	will tread launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x68ab9d…
06-21 06:24:50	will tread launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x5da43d…
06-20 21:34:05	will titan launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xf9f1fe…
06-20 15:44:38	will titan launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x4620e9…
06-19 18:35:07	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	14	23¢	$3	0xe10954…
06-19 16:21:13	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x9ef179…
06-19 15:58:20	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x46547b…
06-19 15:58:20	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x46547b…
06-19 14:14:08	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x376e8b…
06-18 23:20:43	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0x661244…
06-18 23:20:22	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	28	48¢	$13	0x92f792…
06-18 22:21:46	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x7e53c9…
06-18 21:39:05	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	SELL	31	51¢	$16	0xc4a9fe…
06-18 15:06:47	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	66	31¢	$20	0x49c223…
06-18 14:32:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	32	32¢	$10	0xbeaf47…
06-18 14:31:32	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x7f5b83…
06-18 14:31:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x39dd39…
06-18 14:30:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xa6d938…
06-18 14:30:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	34	32¢	$11	0x191052…
06-18 14:29:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0xb081d3…
06-18 14:27:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x79dd2c…
06-18 14:27:02	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0x857e08…
06-18 14:25:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x1d0222…
06-18 14:25:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	52	30¢	$16	0xaf2876…
06-18 14:16:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	35	28¢	$10	0x81f3ae…
06-18 14:16:44	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x84a571…
06-18 14:16:40	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xb10aec…
06-18 14:12:32	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	100	68¢	$68	0x86268f…
06-02 23:12:48	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x10d8cd…
06-02 23:12:35	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	63	69¢	$43	0x6fa93d…
06-02 19:31:30	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0x96d2b2…
06-02 18:58:07	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	No	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0x1b4114…
06-02 18:49:30	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	No	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x99e3a5…
06-02 17:55:33	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0x20daba…
06-02 16:58:54	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	No	SELL	33	24¢	$8	0x625d1f…
06-02 16:58:54	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x625d1f…
06-02 16:56:41	Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x9c5b1b…
06-02 14:15:41	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	9	68¢	$6	0xb1be70…
06-02 12:34:53	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	64	67¢	$43	0x70a345…
06-02 12:34:53	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	1	67¢	$0	0x4a5f27…
06-02 12:20:25	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x22edc2…
06-02 12:20:03	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x1c6088…
06-02 12:14:32	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x78ad60…
06-02 04:24:20	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0x769c3c…
06-02 04:24:08	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	38	66¢	$25	0xf42969…
06-02 04:23:45	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	1	66¢	$0	0x1f1645…
06-02 04:19:38	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x4ca3c8…
06-02 04:18:53	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xbe595d…
06-02 03:35:06	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	50	66¢	$33	0xe4d436…
06-01 23:15:52	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	No	SELL	48	34¢	$16	0x8ee9f3…
06-01 23:15:52	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x8ee9f3…
06-01 23:12:43	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	No	SELL	49	34¢	$17	0x3cb744…
06-01 23:08:52	Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	13	72¢	$9	0x258846…
06-01 23:08:31	Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	27¢	$0	0x764a9b…
06-01 22:38:06	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	47	61¢	$29	0x1d559f…
06-01 17:35:47	Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	27¢	$3	0x75e13c…
06-01 17:19:46	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	50	59¢	$30	0x5673ec…
06-01 13:01:25	Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x2ba918…
06-01 11:01:08	Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x7a7319…
06-01 07:23:05	Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x4d9aa6…
06-01 05:22:25	Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	13	67¢	$9	0xf6ea09…
06-01 05:22:23	Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0x07f1f5…
05-31 22:58:07	Will City Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xbdb0b5…
05-31 22:41:07	Will City Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0xea76e9…
05-31 13:35:58	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0xfa4d80…
05-31 12:05:47	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xee6c37…
05-31 12:05:47	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	42¢	$0	0x6524ed…
05-31 12:05:27	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	Yes	SELL	8	42¢	$3	0x9eb0fc…
05-31 11:03:15	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	No	SELL	9	40¢	$3	0xb327f3…
05-31 11:03:15	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	Yes	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0xb327f3…
05-31 11:03:08	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	No	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0xe2a95c…
05-31 11:02:47	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	No	BUY	18	52¢	$9	0x680ecc…
05-31 11:02:47	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	Yes	SELL	15	52¢	$8	0x680ecc…
05-31 10:58:33	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x065ac6…
05-31 10:58:12	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0x055f64…
05-31 10:56:55	Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x0b4df6…
05-30 19:34:21	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	Yes	SELL	22	45¢	$10	0x152612…
05-30 19:32:37	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	22	56¢	$12	0x90f3e2…
05-30 19:32:37	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	No	SELL	78	44¢	$34	0x90f3e2…
05-30 19:32:18	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	No	SELL	22	44¢	$10	0x0eab8f…
05-30 19:29:28	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	46¢	$46	0xd04275…
05-29 17:00:41	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	No	SELL	100	27¢	$27	0x752c75…
05-29 16:54:58	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	66¢	$66	0x79e9e6…
05-29 06:44:30	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	Yes	SELL	21	71¢	$15	0x34cdc7…
05-29 06:44:30	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	No	BUY	96	30¢	$29	0x34cdc7…
05-29 06:44:07	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0x806780…
05-29 06:42:35	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	26	11¢	$3	0x12cec5…