Exalted-Lipid — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$71

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.5%

Resolved

Trades

604

lifetime

Volume

$49.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$82

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-15 14:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

50% 80% $-71

Politics

50% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	34	$6.0K	3,603	2,904	+699	open	—	01-22 12:38
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	13	$2.4K	1,333	1,333	+0	open	—	03-26 03:05
netanyahu out by march 31 854	8	$1.8K	1,300	600	+700	open	—	03-16 19:24
will phan van giang be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	7	$1.7K	900	900	+0	open	—	01-22 11:40
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	6	$1.5K	1,600	0	+1,600	open	—	03-01 01:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	17	$1.5K	1,264	1,264	+0	open	—	05-10 12:42
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	10	$1.4K	1,900	1,900	+0	open	—	03-23 15:46
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?	16	$1.3K	1,370	1,370	+0	open	—	05-14 14:45
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	4	$1.3K	1,150	1,150	+0	open	—	05-12 10:29
will iran strike turkey in march	9	$1.2K	700	700	+0	open	—	03-26 22:34
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	6	$1.2K	800	550	+250	open	—	03-27 08:53
will tran cam tu be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	6	$1.2K	600	600	+0	open	—	01-21 06:33
will the us invade iran by march 31	6	$1.0K	600	600	+0	open	—	03-10 10:50
israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	1	$991	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	02-28 08:47
fact check maduro capture staged	3	$969	500	500	+0	open	—	02-24 14:55
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	8	$942	600	600	+0	open	—	03-12 05:13
us forces enter iran by january 31	6	$925	500	500	+0	open	—	01-17 02:04
Iran leadership change by March 13?	11	$899	500	500	+0	open	—	03-11 00:32
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	13	$850	919	980	-61	open	—	04-14 21:22
will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	6	$840	500	400	+100	open	—	04-04 01:17
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	37	$814	2,604	2,001	+603	open	—	04-26 08:47
houthi strike on israel by march 6 2026	9	$730	400	400	+0	open	—	03-07 06:56
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?	4	$720	758	600	+158	open	—	05-15 14:39
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	19	$719	500	500	+0	open	—	03-29 22:35
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	7	$660	400	400	+0	open	—	05-08 05:22
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	10	$654	768	755	+13	open	—	05-15 09:57
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	8	$600	337	337	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 09:00
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	2	$584	811	811	+0	open	—	05-13 12:55
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	3	$580	400	200	+200	open	—	04-06 03:06
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?	7	$536	576	576	+0	Up	$-100	05-13 14:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 14:39:05	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	108	92¢	$99	0xfed92b…
05-15 09:57:05	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	SELL	200	23¢	$46	0x391a45…
05-15 09:46:40	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	SELL	297	24¢	$71	0xb80579…
05-15 05:37:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	213	48¢	$102	0x908e29…
05-15 05:07:45	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	SELL	15	54¢	$8	0x84e658…
05-15 05:07:38	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x189927…
05-15 05:06:01	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	SELL	13	54¢	$7	0x2ecd75…
05-15 03:52:14	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	SELL	220	54¢	$119	0xa29558…
05-15 01:15:57	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	545	54¢	$295	0x9cd90f…
05-15 00:43:38	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	SELL	600	51¢	$306	0x87b96d…
05-15 00:34:10	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	SELL	9	34¢	$3	0x3f87e9…
05-15 00:15:10	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	600	50¢	$300	0xcad191…
05-15 00:13:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$0	0x261384…
05-15 00:13:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x0c2801…
05-14 14:45:22	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	SELL	283	45¢	$127	0x81bd01…
05-14 14:08:25	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	283	53¢	$150	0x7f54ac…
05-14 14:05:07	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	168	78¢	$131	0x7a6ca9…
05-14 14:05:06	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	9	78¢	$7	0xd30c86…
05-14 14:05:06	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	9	78¢	$7	0x63f4f1…
05-14 14:05:04	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0x87a159…
05-14 13:59:47	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xf7c395…
05-14 13:59:47	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	95	78¢	$74	0xe4db6c…
05-14 13:52:05	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0xef623c…
05-14 13:52:05	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0xba0a56…
05-14 13:52:05	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0x6eba27…
05-14 13:52:05	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	SELL	18	20¢	$4	0x0868d8…
05-14 13:52:03	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x55801a…
05-14 13:48:46	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	SELL	14	21¢	$3	0x5fa5dc…
05-14 10:33:00	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0x52c064…
05-14 10:32:35	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	13	43¢	$6	0x2f6df9…
05-14 10:32:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	250	43¢	$108	0x8c4e31…
05-14 10:31:39	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0x69ee94…
05-14 10:12:36	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	60	23¢	$14	0x803ae6…
05-14 10:11:32	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x0dee0a…
05-14 10:11:19	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	170	43¢	$73	0x3b8d64…
05-14 09:12:09	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	SELL	48	39¢	$19	0x102066…
05-14 09:02:36	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	SELL	11	47¢	$5	0x5074b5…
05-14 09:02:33	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	SELL	367	47¢	$172	0xbfd126…
05-14 07:09:30	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xedf934…
05-14 07:09:26	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	370	47¢	$174	0x597009…
05-14 07:09:26	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2cc2bb…
05-14 07:00:12	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	392	47¢	$184	0xc3c4b3…
05-14 06:42:33	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	392	50¢	$196	0xe7474f…
05-13 14:53:19	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	SELL	526	38¢	$200	0x4808a7…
05-13 14:13:25	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	115	57¢	$65	0xbbf733…
05-13 14:13:25	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0x4da903…
05-13 14:13:23	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0xa7c7a9…
05-13 14:13:23	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	196	57¢	$112	0x9c5bd0…
05-13 12:55:41	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	SELL	811	35¢	$284	0x554517…
05-13 10:06:12	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	BUY	811	37¢	$300	0xf072f5…
05-13 04:43:13	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0xa408bd…
05-13 03:42:57	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0xd6a718…
05-12 10:57:52	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	446	27¢	$119	0xbc9129…
05-12 10:55:39	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	446	25¢	$111	0x576a4c…
05-12 10:29:31	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	350	88¢	$307	0x6ac330…
05-12 10:16:36	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	350	86¢	$300	0x67519e…
05-12 08:40:56	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	800	44¢	$352	0xb276e8…
05-12 07:27:14	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	800	38¢	$300	0x8bcfae…
05-11 09:00:26	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	62	89¢	$55	0xbc41ac…
05-11 08:52:10	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	91	89¢	$81	0x85fda9…
05-11 08:51:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x7055a9…
05-11 08:51:02	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	105	89¢	$93	0x6b5513…
05-11 08:33:30	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0x017b0b…
05-11 08:28:47	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	48	89¢	$42	0xe4a176…
05-11 08:26:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	18	89¢	$16	0x9e7374…
05-11 08:14:38	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	337	89¢	$300	0x50e7d8…
05-10 12:42:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	448	68¢	$304	0x28f609…
05-10 12:37:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	448	67¢	$300	0x17f42c…
05-10 04:43:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	88	72¢	$64	0xc9dcad…
05-10 04:43:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0x72921c…
05-10 04:37:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0x8246b5…
05-10 04:33:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0x18c16a…
05-10 04:28:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0x61f01c…
05-10 04:28:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0x363a30…
05-10 04:27:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0xf85507…
05-10 04:27:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	72¢	$36	0x273ae8…
05-10 04:23:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0x9d6932…
05-10 04:18:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0x5cb17b…
05-10 04:14:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	203	72¢	$146	0xce6217…
05-09 21:14:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	417	72¢	$300	0xb18d37…
05-08 14:29:30	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	61	4¢	$2	0xf548bc…
05-08 14:29:18	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	200	4¢	$8	0xaa1a29…
05-08 14:28:55	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	31	4¢	$1	0x0a0602…
05-08 14:27:33	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x7be660…
05-08 14:27:31	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x8a8cca…
05-08 14:27:26	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x4f5e63…
05-08 14:27:24	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x04362b…
05-08 14:27:20	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x7feeac…
05-08 14:27:19	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x2d5993…
05-08 14:27:17	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xe407db…
05-08 14:23:47	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	200	4¢	$8	0x29cc38…
05-08 14:23:43	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	200	4¢	$8	0xe00cbb…
05-08 14:23:43	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	200	4¢	$8	0x2f8a48…
05-08 14:23:03	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	200	4¢	$8	0xb83674…
05-08 14:22:56	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x200eaf…
05-08 14:22:51	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x40a3e8…
05-08 14:20:48	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0xfbfbb7…
05-08 14:20:48	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xad9780…
05-08 14:20:48	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0x0163af…
05-08 14:20:36	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	56	5¢	$3	0x98ba0d…