Exalted-Lipid — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$199

Unrealized P&L

-$13

Hit rate

50.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$716

lifetime

Avg / trade

$143

Open exposure

$42

1 position

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-13 14:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

70% 50% +$199

Politics

30% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No		-63	$-29	66¢	$-42	$-13	05-08 05:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?	1	$200	526	-526	Up	+$200	05-13 14:53
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$199	200	-200	Yes	$-1	05-08 05:22
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$188	200	-200	open	—	05-08 05:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$100	100	-100	open	—	05-08 05:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$29	63	-63	open	—	05-08 05:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 14:53:19	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?	Down	SELL	526	38¢	$200	0x4808a7…
05-08 05:23:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x6e78db…
05-08 05:23:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	63	46¢	$29	0xaaaf20…
05-08 05:22:55	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	200	94¢	$188	0xfa7be1…
05-08 05:22:45	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0xa756da…