Haunting-Crowd — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

33.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$46

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-15

last 06-02 19:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

52% — —

Other

31% 67% $-1

Sports

13% 0% $-3

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes		+2	$1	0¢	$0	$-1	06-01 17:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	04-21 20:16
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$3	9	0	+9	No	$-3	04-16 19:57
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-16 20:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	06-02 19:20
T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Ireland vs Pakistan	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-31 20:02
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-26 22:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-17 23:00
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02?	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	04-26 22:47
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-26 22:48
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	04-16 00:43
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-23 19:54
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	04-26 22:51
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-26 22:51
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	04-28 03:10
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-26 22:47
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-14 21:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	04-20 02:34
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	$-1	04-26 22:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-22 23:42
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	04-28 03:10
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	06-01 17:34
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-23 19:54
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	04-22 23:43
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-26 22:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 19:20:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa7174f…
06-01 17:34:53	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7a46b2…
05-31 20:02:29	T20 Ireland Tri-Series, Women: Ireland vs Pakistan	Pakistan	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3f4180…
05-23 19:54:55	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xcd406e…
05-23 19:54:38	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x395090…
05-14 21:52:22	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x8db5d8…
04-28 03:10:30	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x7b6218…
04-28 03:10:12	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x9d6e04…
04-26 22:51:18	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x8abde9…
04-26 22:51:04	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x90ebb6…
04-26 22:50:44	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x54e018…
04-26 22:48:32	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x21c8f6…
04-26 22:47:48	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xe4f708…
04-26 22:47:30	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x9207f9…
04-26 22:47:14	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc4c008…
04-26 22:46:04	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe93256…
04-22 23:43:00	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2ca06d…
04-22 23:42:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x0fa35c…
04-21 20:16:56	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0xa0eadb…
04-20 02:34:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x037aea…
04-17 23:00:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb54695…
04-16 20:21:42	Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x5c3990…
04-16 19:57:58	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x02e72b…
04-16 00:43:12	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x556f4e…
04-16 00:42:50	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xdb4be2…
04-15 00:35:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0xd691c3…