Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

88.5%

Resolved

Trades

117

lifetime

Volume

$543

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$14

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 10-23 03:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Other

72% 74% -$5

Politics

21% 69% -$8

Crypto

7% 60% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	+15	$9	66¢	$10	+$0	10-23 03:18
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	+5	$4	40¢	$2	-$2	08-11 02:25
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+10	$2	19¢	$2	$0	08-10 14:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 85 in august 2026	11	$43	40	40	+0	Yes	+$4	08-16 10:30
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 90 114	2	$42	25	25	+0	Yes	+$6	03-09 14:19
next white house press secretary announced by september 30 2026	4	$26	30	30	+0	No	+$2	08-22 22:57
will gas hit high 4pt50 by march 31	2	$21	29	29	+0	No	+$1	03-09 08:49
will khamenei tweet again by march 5	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	03-06 07:50
will khamenei tweet again by march 7 216	5	$19	21	21	+0	Yes	+$2	03-06 13:58
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 13	2	$18	28	28	+0	No	+$2	03-12 12:08
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$17	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	03-08 11:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	2	$16	20	20	+0	No	+$2	09-14 02:08
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	2	$15	10	10	+0	No	+$1	03-07 04:58
Will Yen Bailey be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?	2	$15	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-18 22:50
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 300 319	2	$14	58	0	+58	No	-$14	03-10 05:38
will russia enter mykolaivka by september 30 2026 20260805154948090	3	$14	26	26	+0	Yes	+$2	08-23 15:12
us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	2	$13	20	20	+0	No	+$1	08-21 03:52
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	08-18 07:05
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	4	$11	16	16	+0	No	+$1	03-22 10:45
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?	3	$11	30	30	+0	Yes	+$1	08-31 01:55
will gas hit high 5pt00 by march 31	2	$11	13	13	+0	No	+$1	03-09 08:24
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	03-06 06:16
us forces enter iran by march 7	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$1	03-06 06:17
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 65 89	2	$10	12	12	+0	No	+$0	03-08 09:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 05:00 UTC	2	$10	6	6	+1	Up	+$1	03-07 05:02
will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	3	$10	12	12	+0	No	+$2	03-08 08:44
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	1	$9	15	0	+15	open	—	10-23 03:18
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	2	$9	30	30	+0	open	—	09-04 03:05
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	08-13 03:36
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	2	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-25 18:52
will iran strike israel on march 6	2	$7	5	5	+0	No	+$0	03-06 08:19
will iran strike israel on march 7	2	$7	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	03-07 08:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 05:05 UTC	2	$6	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	03-07 05:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 03:18:11	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0x774006…
10-23 03:11:32	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xf54561…
10-19 14:48:59	France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0xedd541…
10-18 23:45:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	No	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x881052…
10-17 12:41:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	No	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xf24f30…
10-16 15:57:57	will wti dip to 95 in october 2026 from october 15	No	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xbe32ce…
10-16 03:41:13	will wti dip to 95 in october 2026 from october 15	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x18ea86…
09-14 15:20:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	Yes	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0xaafdfc…
09-14 15:19:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x83e549…
09-14 02:08:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x0b2fcd…
09-12 12:24:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xd9f1b0…
09-04 03:05:33	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	17¢	$5	0xe75caf…
09-02 08:02:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf9a7ab…
08-31 01:55:55	Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?	No	SELL	30	21¢	$6	0x53483e…
08-28 03:41:16	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america in 2026	No	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x57ecfb…
08-25 18:52:03	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xfd4430…
08-24 12:11:25	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0x29d2b3…
08-24 02:27:48	Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?	No	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x34a21c…
08-24 02:26:16	Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?	No	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xbab87e…
08-23 15:12:51	will russia enter mykolaivka by september 30 2026 20260805154948090	No	SELL	26	30¢	$8	0x3c4d89…
08-23 01:42:45	will russia enter mykolaivka by september 30 2026 20260805154948090	No	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0xa35fb7…
08-23 01:37:31	will russia enter mykolaivka by september 30 2026 20260805154948090	No	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x1decd9…
08-22 22:57:46	next white house press secretary announced by september 30 2026	No	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xf30694…
08-22 06:14:25	next white house press secretary announced by september 30 2026	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xece5db…
08-21 19:46:21	next white house press secretary announced by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0xef1bc4…
08-21 06:17:49	next white house press secretary announced by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xe8f6b0…
08-21 03:52:00	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	No	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0x009c35…
08-19 15:53:09	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x33b14d…
08-19 05:43:22	will ukraine re enter obratne or temyrivka by december 31	Yes	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xb49e00…
08-19 03:59:24	will ukraine re enter obratne or temyrivka by december 31	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4d9a39…
08-18 22:50:22	Will Yen Bailey be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?	Yes	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x3beac7…
08-18 15:02:09	will iran target a arab country on august 20 2026 20260801004719137	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x8114a4…
08-18 07:10:15	will iran target a arab country on august 20 2026 20260801004719137	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x298a7a…
08-18 07:05:12	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x8c7ec9…
08-16 12:01:18	Will Yen Bailey be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x4d915e…
08-16 10:30:30	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0x203890…
08-16 09:31:54	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xf334af…
08-15 07:58:39	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xb303e3…
08-15 04:09:30	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x000981…
08-14 16:30:39	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xd35204…
08-14 06:26:39	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x6cab53…
08-14 05:13:07	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xb98fa8…
08-14 05:07:03	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xc61b36…
08-13 13:38:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc1607e…
08-13 03:49:21	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x60f10f…
08-13 03:36:58	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x990112…
08-13 03:36:13	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	No	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x5b18ac…
08-12 10:24:36	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xa7604a…
08-12 06:55:58	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x427725…
08-12 06:44:42	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	No	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x065847…
08-12 05:59:13	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xa5fb15…
08-11 14:33:33	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x57cf0f…
08-11 02:30:15	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x3a343a…
08-11 02:25:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x291395…
08-10 14:33:37	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x57c422…
06-14 01:35:00	Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x524826…
06-11 10:52:42	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x065f0f…
03-22 11:09:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xf03b2a…
03-22 11:02:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xdc6c9a…
03-22 10:55:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x43a3f5…
03-22 10:45:33	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0xb5d321…
03-17 12:45:57	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xeea5c5…
03-13 11:28:35	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xf32b46…
03-12 12:08:35	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 13	Yes	SELL	28	35¢	$10	0x57e2cb…
03-10 15:13:37	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x74f6e1…
03-10 14:48:39	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x822247…
03-10 14:27:01	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x6c9d15…
03-10 05:38:45	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 300 319	Yes	BUY	38	27¢	$10	0x6ae7ce…
03-10 05:12:35	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 300 319	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x49fff7…
03-10 03:07:27	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x449b2d…
03-10 00:27:05	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 13	Yes	BUY	28	29¢	$8	0xa306b9…
03-09 14:19:39	elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 90 114	Yes	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0x7ffd14…
03-09 08:50:37	elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 90 114	Yes	BUY	25	72¢	$18	0xbb89fb…
03-09 08:49:51	will gas hit high 4pt50 by march 31	No	SELL	29	36¢	$11	0x934451…
03-09 08:24:17	will gas hit high 5pt00 by march 31	Yes	SELL	13	44¢	$6	0x8553b3…
03-09 00:14:57	will gas hit high 5pt00 by march 31	Yes	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0xab21e0…
03-08 13:10:33	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795	No	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xdc4ec0…
03-08 11:16:23	will iran strike israel on march 8	No	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0xf83aff…
03-08 11:11:55	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x56a25a…
03-08 10:15:39	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xf924a2…
03-08 09:34:29	will gas hit high 4pt50 by march 31	No	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x4afaeb…
03-08 09:25:43	elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 65 89	Yes	SELL	12	44¢	$5	0x3110a6…
03-08 08:44:37	will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	Yes	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x98ca0d…
03-08 08:44:05	will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	Yes	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0xa6024f…
03-08 03:45:51	will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	Yes	BUY	12	31¢	$4	0xf371f6…
03-08 01:33:05	elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 65 89	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xbc3567…
03-07 08:33:15	will iran strike israel on march 7	No	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x5cbf94…
03-07 06:44:27	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x53b9a1…
03-07 06:03:53	will iran strike israel on march 7	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x27f860…
03-07 05:08:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 05:05 UTC	Down	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0xf7ecd1…
03-07 05:07:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x5a260d…
03-07 05:02:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 05:00 UTC	Up	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x55f680…
03-07 05:02:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x3f4dcb…
03-07 04:58:07	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xd6a89f…
03-07 04:50:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xde74f1…
03-07 04:37:05	will gas hit high 3pt75 by march 31	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x252104…
03-07 03:43:31	will gas hit high 3pt75 by march 31	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x056efb…
03-07 02:37:15	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x57d62d…
03-07 01:51:11	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xf1dd9b…
03-06 14:57:57	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x2b9481…