Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

69.5%

Resolved

Trades

361

lifetime

Volume

$2.08K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$26

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 06-13 10:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

49% 50% $-2

Politics

43% — —

Tech

5% — —

Sports

2% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes		+100	$17	20¢	$20	+$3	06-10 22:01
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes		+300	$6	2¢	$6	$-1	06-13 10:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump out as president by march 31	3	$116	60	60	+0	open	—	03-03 19:30
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$90	50	50	+0	open	—	03-09 19:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	5	$90	150	150	+0	open	—	04-23 00:15
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$81	50	50	+0	open	—	03-09 19:41
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	7	$64	320	320	+0	open	—	04-11 00:43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	2	$59	30	30	+0	open	—	05-25 21:10
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$58	30	30	+0	open	—	03-24 13:30
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	1	$56	60	0	+60	open	—	03-14 12:52
Will the US strike Iran next?	18	$53	150	150	-0	open	—	01-31 10:19
will us or israel strike iran on march 5 2026	1	$49	50	0	+50	open	—	03-03 17:36
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	1	$49	50	0	+50	open	—	03-04 15:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	2	$48	100	100	+0	open	—	04-08 18:51
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	1	$47	50	0	+50	open	—	01-15 14:36
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	1	$46	50	0	+50	open	—	03-09 04:08
us strikes iran by january 29 2026 183 883 657 383 499	1	$39	40	0	+40	open	—	01-29 18:57
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	3	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-10 01:52
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	3	$38	30	30	+0	open	—	03-21 17:49
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	5	$34	90	90	+0	open	—	03-05 18:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$34	60	60	+0	open	—	04-08 19:04
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	6	$33	50	50	+0	open	—	06-09 12:20
Will Eduardo Coudet be the next permanent manager of River Plate?	7	$30	100	100	+0	open	—	02-26 14:04
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	2	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	02-06 14:08
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$28	30	0	+30	open	—	01-21 12:16
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	2	$28	30	0	+30	open	—	01-15 14:52
euroleague aviv paris 2026 03 03	7	$25	20	19	+1	open	—	03-14 12:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$24	60	60	+0	open	—	05-05 23:21
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$22	30	30	+0	open	—	03-20 12:37
euroleague kaunas olympiac 2026 02 25	6	$20	25	25	+0	open	—	02-25 19:43
highest temperature in chicago on march 26 2026 66 67f	2	$19	21	0	+21	open	—	03-26 16:32
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	06-08 16:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 10:09:39	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$6	0x1f8c6f…
06-13 03:16:52	evo morales arrested by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xe74d94…
06-11 17:29:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x049315…
06-11 11:13:06	starmer out by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x694ec3…
06-11 09:39:01	btc updown 5m 1781170500	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x719167…
06-11 09:26:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xdd9bb0…
06-10 22:01:37	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0xd25f83…
06-09 12:20:16	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0x613c1e…
06-09 05:07:28	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xf64f3f…
06-09 04:35:36	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x87e7ec…
06-09 04:23:51	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	4¢	$7	0x8cd61e…
06-08 18:38:48	starmer out by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	61	0¢	$0	0x9319a0…
06-08 18:28:24	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0xfba1b7…
06-08 16:51:01	starmer out by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x4195e4…
06-08 16:51:00	starmer out by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xe8cb4d…
06-08 16:32:40	Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x290fc9…
06-01 13:33:21	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x6e94d5…
05-29 18:50:15	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	27	43¢	$12	0xdbd374…
05-29 18:41:50	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x1ae5c9…
05-29 18:41:44	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0x408949…
05-29 18:41:44	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x3cd750…
05-29 18:41:39	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x8fa8f8…
05-29 18:17:25	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x158aa2…
05-27 14:50:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x39dbdf…
05-25 21:10:39	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x1985c6…
05-25 20:40:48	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x527403…
05-25 15:48:39	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0xbe8a12…
05-21 13:37:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x051a61…
05-20 13:43:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x99a6da…
05-16 19:51:38	Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	7¢	$4	0x320969…
05-16 17:15:26	Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x6036bc…
05-12 10:19:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	110	0¢	$1	0x75a3c5…
05-10 21:35:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x1d95cb…
05-09 00:56:49	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	30	8¢	$3	0x64c818…
05-08 07:39:52	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x168b1f…
05-06 12:50:28	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x8e0782…
05-06 11:40:22	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	23	5¢	$1	0x11d3a8…
05-06 10:17:10	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x286991…
05-05 23:21:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	22¢	$13	0x07a3bc…
05-04 14:07:52	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x24efd6…
05-04 10:04:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	18¢	$11	0xfcd35b…
05-03 20:08:44	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xddadd3…
05-01 13:45:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0x6751ae…
04-30 20:07:20	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x81f7e3…
04-29 00:30:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0xab1b75…
04-28 19:01:22	Fenerbahce vs. Zalgiris Kaunas	Zalgiris Kaunas	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0xe34973…
04-28 18:30:40	Fenerbahce vs. Zalgiris Kaunas	Zalgiris Kaunas	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0xe07572…
04-28 18:29:32	Fenerbahce vs. Zalgiris Kaunas	Zalgiris Kaunas	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0xf0f151…
04-28 18:11:24	Fenerbahce vs. Zalgiris Kaunas	Zalgiris Kaunas	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xfd0f6e…
04-27 18:24:14	Fenerbahce vs. Zalgiris Kaunas	Zalgiris Kaunas	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x35d8c3…
04-27 00:22:18	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xd37552…
04-26 20:03:18	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x7862a8…
04-26 19:56:38	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	86	5¢	$4	0xa93398…
04-26 19:45:40	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x92a654…
04-26 19:45:18	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	116	5¢	$6	0x26d338…
04-26 02:35:44	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	110	4¢	$5	0x5b0b53…
04-26 00:36:24	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xc53465…
04-25 18:37:02	Fenerbahce vs. Zalgiris Kaunas	Zalgiris Kaunas	BUY	8	30¢	$3	0x745354…
04-25 15:21:20	Fenerbahce vs. Zalgiris Kaunas	Zalgiris Kaunas	BUY	2	30¢	$0	0x69c476…
04-24 22:21:40	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0xd141f5…
04-24 21:19:02	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x0869ca…
04-24 20:55:42	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x7ce7b2…
04-24 19:33:26	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xf941d0…
04-24 19:31:38	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x2fa94b…
04-24 19:31:14	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	82	3¢	$3	0x7383fc…
04-24 19:27:06	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x835930…
04-24 18:17:36	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x866b86…
04-24 16:38:28	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	72	6¢	$4	0x4f0926…
04-24 16:34:00	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	5¢	$1	0x8e161a…
04-24 15:54:04	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$1	0xc2112c…
04-23 19:44:06	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	1¢	$1	0xfb51cf…
04-23 19:30:24	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0xf0d587…
04-23 19:23:46	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0xb727ad…
04-23 19:23:30	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xf52b3f…
04-23 17:23:24	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x114ba5…
04-23 00:15:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0xfd92e8…
04-21 17:15:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	SELL	50	38¢	$19	0x1fdfc6…
04-21 08:08:50	Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x377d3a…
04-21 07:45:10	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x321de8…
04-20 17:10:58	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x30f78d…
04-20 10:11:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xb97d57…
04-20 05:20:46	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd572f6…
04-19 22:52:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xd5b933…
04-19 20:48:30	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0xd37e60…
04-19 20:32:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x4165ea…
04-19 19:19:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0x7037cc…
04-19 18:26:34	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	96	3¢	$3	0x252ff9…
04-19 18:12:02	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x1e201e…
04-19 12:40:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xea209c…
04-17 18:12:58	euroleague kaunas paris 2026 04 17	Zalgiris Kaunas	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x2bea99…
04-17 13:39:00	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	SELL	35	2¢	$1	0x589989…
04-17 13:38:52	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x7b2995…
04-17 13:38:28	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xdde61c…
04-17 13:38:10	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	SELL	34	2¢	$1	0x8460d7…
04-17 10:49:48	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	110	2¢	$2	0x805923…
04-13 08:19:07	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x11af76…
04-12 08:02:41	Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x56964d…
04-12 08:02:41	Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	18	2¢	$0	0x1d31fc…
04-11 07:26:13	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x23ea85…
04-11 00:43:57	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xc4098c…