Uneven-Start — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$44

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

51.4%

Resolved

Trades

176

lifetime

Volume

$1.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-02-15

last 09-29 07:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Other

62% 64% -$7

Politics

16% 78% +$9

Sports

15% 25% -$53

Tech

5% 100% +$9

Crypto

2% 80% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes		+17	$15	58¢	$10	-$5	06-26 01:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$87	55	55	+0	Yes	-$1	02-24 09:09
will mrbeasts next video get between 76 and 77 million views on day 6	4	$68	35	35	+0	No	-$2	03-27 01:54
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$56	39	22	+17	No	+$5	04-01 06:10
ucl ars lev 2026 03 17 total 1pt5	3	$50	25	25	+0	Over	+$0	03-17 21:20
ucl bay1 ata1 2026 03 18 draw	3	$48	26	26	+0	No	-$1	03-18 20:26
aus ccm bri 2026 04 10 draw	3	$47	30	30	+0	Yes	-$1	04-10 10:41
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$47	29	29	+0	Yes	+$7	02-24 05:28
nhl fla ott 2026 04 09	3	$39	21	21	+0	Senators	$0	04-09 23:37
nhl sea cbj 2026 03 21	3	$39	21	21	+0	Blue Jackets	-$1	03-21 21:31
nhl chi min 2026 03 19	4	$31	75	0	+75	Blackhawks	-$31	03-20 01:04
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	2	$30	20	16	+3	Yes	+$3	06-18 03:49
will cristiano ronaldo score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406402	2	$30	16	15	+1	Yes	+$1	06-23 17:36
itc int com 2026 04 21 com	2	$30	28	19	+9	No	$0	04-21 20:09
uel mid1 not 2026 03 19 not	2	$27	15	15	+0	Yes	+$1	03-19 18:55
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 btts	3	$25	26	0	+26	Yes	+$1	03-17 20:41
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$25	26	0	+26	No	+$1	03-26 14:32
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	2	$23	20	12	+8	No	-$6	04-10 14:57
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$22	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	02-22 16:22
col shd az 2026 04 09 total 2pt5	2	$20	11	11	+0	Over	+$1	04-09 20:44
aus auc mac 2026 03 20 mac	2	$20	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	03-21 03:23
ucl tot atm1 2026 03 18 total 3pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	03-18 21:33
ucl bay1 ata1 2026 03 18 total 4pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	03-18 21:46
sea nap tor 2026 03 06 draw	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-06 21:16
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	2	$20	11	11	+0	No	+$0	04-11 00:22
lal vil rso 2026 03 20 vil	2	$20	21	0	+21	Yes	+$1	03-20 20:23
ucl spo1 bog1 2026 03 17 spo1	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	03-17 19:05
sea gen udi 2026 03 20 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	$0	03-20 21:41
nhl car cbj 2026 03 17	2	$20	11	11	+0	Blue Jackets	$0	03-18 00:45
nhl col chi 2026 03 20	2	$20	11	11	+0	Avalanche	$0	03-21 01:05
ucl bay1 ata1 2026 03 18 bay1	2	$19	11	11	+0	Yes	$0	03-18 20:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-29 07:21:54	wta marcink frech 2026 09 29	Petra Marcinko	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x63db95…
09-29 07:13:08	wta marcink frech 2026 09 29	Petra Marcinko	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xf288c7…
09-29 06:31:39	wta marcink frech 2026 09 29	Petra Marcinko	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x5193d3…
06-28 01:33:35	Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0xcfd0c1…
06-26 23:43:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	Yes	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0xa31076…
06-26 01:57:22	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x55c98e…
06-24 11:10:41	wta sonmez bejlek 2026 06 24 first set total 10pt5	Over	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x374b75…
06-24 10:33:16	wta sonmez bejlek 2026 06 24 set totals 2pt5	Over 2.5	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x689161…
06-24 10:32:59	wta sonmez bejlek 2026 06 24 set totals 2pt5	Over 2.5	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x02df22…
06-23 17:36:01	will cristiano ronaldo score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406402	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x7f3e18…
06-23 10:05:22	wta marista ortenzi 2026 06 23	Jazmin Ortenzi	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x8edf89…
06-23 09:50:32	wta marista ortenzi 2026 06 23	Jazmin Ortenzi	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x921233…
06-23 04:11:34	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x27d573…
06-20 12:03:46	wta badosa kraus 2026 06 20	Sinja Kraus	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xefb661…
06-18 03:49:32	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	SELL	16	91¢	$15	0xccbc0d…
06-18 02:13:20	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x175ac9…
06-17 00:25:07	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	19	64¢	$12	0x9b6b49…
06-16 00:20:25	fifwc irn nzl 2026 06 15 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x568bb7…
06-15 19:35:39	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 btts	Yes	SELL	11	81¢	$9	0xe591ac…
06-15 18:20:34	Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x78f934…
06-15 12:03:30	wta raducan pliskov 2026 06 16 first set total 8pt5	Under	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x808e34…
06-15 12:03:28	wta raducan pliskov 2026 06 16 first set total 8pt5	Under	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0xaa1656…
06-15 12:03:18	wta raducan pliskov 2026 06 16 first set total 8pt5	Under	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xec3c5e…
06-15 12:03:18	wta raducan pliskov 2026 06 16 first set total 8pt5	Under	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x1e3791…
06-15 04:10:28	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0x785692…
06-15 03:23:33	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x6963a1…
06-14 18:23:12	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3ab78a…
06-14 13:05:22	Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x242fb1…
06-14 00:52:37	atp paul munar 2026 06 15 first set winner Paul vs Munar	Munar	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xcf7707…
06-13 22:00:06	HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Jaume Munar	Jaume Munar	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x6504b8…
06-13 11:52:34	wta selekhm rakhimo 2026 06 13	Oksana Selekhmeteva	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xc6cdd7…
06-13 11:52:34	wta selekhm rakhimo 2026 06 13	Oksana Selekhmeteva	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x1355f0…
06-13 11:52:28	wta selekhm rakhimo 2026 06 13	Oksana Selekhmeteva	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xde3074…
06-13 11:52:27	wta selekhm rakhimo 2026 06 13	Oksana Selekhmeteva	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x838879…
06-13 11:52:21	wta selekhm rakhimo 2026 06 13	Oksana Selekhmeteva	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x735bf8…
06-12 06:03:39	will cristiano ronaldo score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406402	Yes	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xa6bd83…
06-10 14:37:03	dota2 carst grind 2026 06 10	Carstensz	SELL	2	22¢	$1	0xa9c8b1…
06-10 14:20:57	cs2 ursa heroa 2026 06 10	Ursa	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x7e625c…
06-10 12:55:43	dota2 carst grind 2026 06 10	Carstensz	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x62ddd2…
06-10 12:51:28	cs2 ursa heroa 2026 06 10	Ursa	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xcfc8e3…
06-10 09:41:54	ITF kiseljak: Josip Simundza vs Yannick Baluska	Yannick Baluska	BUY	11	51¢	$5	0xb683db…
06-09 13:42:03	wta stojsav kostyuk 2026 06 08 first set total 10pt5	Over	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x72d9ef…
05-28 08:18:56	Set 1 Winner: Tabilo vs Vacherot	Vacherot	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xed710a…
05-27 22:46:28	Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik	Jakub Mensik	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x1a6108…
05-27 22:31:27	Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik	Jakub Mensik	BUY	10	26¢	$2	0xa591d7…
05-27 00:12:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on May 28?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xeda678…
05-24 22:40:15	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 26?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x01fd88…
05-24 14:16:05	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x64eec9…
05-24 07:34:59	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 25?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xac1b05…
05-23 18:49:02	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	No	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0x6d14d6…
05-23 16:42:03	Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xcdb282…
04-30 04:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 1?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb98aec…
04-30 03:54:42	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 10°C on May 1?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xbedbc2…
04-30 03:08:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 1?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x8b22b2…
04-29 10:07:10	Cagliari: Rei Sakamoto vs Gianluca Cadenasso	Gianluca Cadenasso	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x350208…
04-29 08:43:12	Luca Van Assche vs. Dusan Lajovic: Total Sets O/U 2.5	Over 2.5	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x2995af…
04-29 08:43:12	Aix en Provence: Luca Van Assche vs Dusan Lajovic	Dusan Lajovic	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x20d36e…
04-23 12:38:34	Madrid Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Tyra Caterina Grant	Tyra Caterina Grant	BUY	62	24¢	$15	0x17e2a4…
04-21 20:09:06	itc int com 2026 04 21 com	Yes	SELL	19	76¢	$15	0xd01495…
04-21 20:08:14	itc int com 2026 04 21 com	Yes	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x21567c…
04-11 19:47:33	cs2 furia pssnua 2026 04 13	FURIA	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x3eafd8…
04-11 00:22:39	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x58c65d…
04-10 17:37:27	fl1 pfc asm 2026 04 10 draw	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x4b9008…
04-10 17:36:57	fl1 pfc asm 2026 04 10 draw	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x127c89…
04-10 16:02:39	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x07947f…
04-10 14:57:57	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	Yes	SELL	12	71¢	$8	0xeefe30…
04-10 14:46:05	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xac6003…
04-10 10:41:09	aus ccm bri 2026 04 10 bri	Yes	SELL	11	69¢	$8	0x2f3ceb…
04-10 10:41:01	aus ccm bri 2026 04 10 draw	No	SELL	30	78¢	$23	0x3cf45c…
04-10 10:40:19	aus ccm bri 2026 04 10 draw	No	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0xa05ebe…
04-10 10:40:19	aus ccm bri 2026 04 10 draw	No	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x9d66b7…
04-10 10:40:19	aus ccm bri 2026 04 10 bri	Yes	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0x322ad7…
04-09 23:37:23	nhl fla ott 2026 04 09	Senators	SELL	21	92¢	$20	0xdde635…
04-09 23:36:57	nhl fla ott 2026 04 09	Senators	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xb0b621…
04-09 23:36:57	nhl fla ott 2026 04 09	Senators	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x702720…
04-09 20:44:55	col shd az 2026 04 09 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0xf228a4…
04-09 20:44:37	col shd az 2026 04 09 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x402b59…
04-03 12:30:49	will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt3	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x77b77e…
04-03 01:34:21	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x929c87…
04-01 06:10:37	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x1ffe05…
03-27 01:54:07	will mrbeasts next video get between 76 and 77 million views on day 6	No	SELL	35	93¢	$33	0xb98008…
03-26 23:36:19	will mrbeasts next video get between 76 and 77 million views on day 6	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x41283d…
03-26 23:35:43	will mrbeasts next video get between 76 and 77 million views on day 6	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf2e3e2…
03-26 23:35:43	will mrbeasts next video get between 76 and 77 million views on day 6	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x31279d…
03-26 21:37:19	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x038e3b…
03-26 21:08:39	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x1f6485…
03-26 21:08:23	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x0b87f1…
03-26 19:00:11	will the bank of mexico announce no change at the march meeting	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf37c4d…
03-26 14:32:41	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xa85a9e…
03-26 14:32:41	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x5a35a1…
03-22 00:04:37	nhl stl van 2026 03 21	Blues	SELL	13	55¢	$7	0x6d63da…
03-22 00:04:21	nhl stl van 2026 03 21	Blues	BUY	13	56¢	$7	0x6e0432…
03-21 21:31:53	nhl sea cbj 2026 03 21	Blue Jackets	SELL	21	89¢	$19	0x8656df…
03-21 21:31:13	nhl sea cbj 2026 03 21	Blue Jackets	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xa9af39…
03-21 21:31:11	nhl sea cbj 2026 03 21	Blue Jackets	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xad9c21…
03-21 20:49:15	nhl dal min 2026 03 21	Stars	BUY	8	69¢	$5	0xad246a…
03-21 20:00:01	sea juv sas 2026 03 21 draw	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1ce399…
03-21 03:23:27	aus auc mac 2026 03 20 mac	Yes	SELL	12	88¢	$10	0x457501…
03-21 03:14:59	aus auc mac 2026 03 20 mac	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xf9d8a7…
03-21 01:05:09	nhl col chi 2026 03 20	Avalanche	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x234c76…