Overlooked-Hug — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.07K

Unrealized P&L

-$761

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

220

lifetime

Volume

$234.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.07K

Open exposure

$9.06K

1 position

First seen

2026-02-22

last 06-16 18:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

71% 100% +$100

Other

29% 100% +$971

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US recession by end of 2026?	No		-10,062	$-8,295	90¢	$-9056	$-761	06-16 18:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	4	$99.9K	100,000	0	+100,000	Yes	+$100	05-09 18:59
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	143	$59.3K	46,041	14,551	+31,490	No	+$971	04-24 04:46
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	1	$35.9K	36,000	0	+36,000	open	—	04-30 00:18
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	14	$30.4K	31,477	0	+31,477	open	—	02-24 05:05
US recession by end of 2026?	25	$8.3K	0	10,062	-10,062	open	—	06-16 18:27
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	33	$943	1,843	12	+1,832	open	—	03-25 00:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 18:27:17	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	873	87¢	$760	0xc4f07d…
06-04 14:18:31	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	695	82¢	$570	0xecf9fe…
06-04 14:18:09	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	3,027	82¢	$2,482	0xe5f0b6…
06-04 13:06:15	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	40	82¢	$33	0xff933c…
06-04 06:37:39	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x1766e7…
06-04 05:50:03	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	32	82¢	$26	0xd4dbb9…
05-31 15:16:51	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x33a0dc…
05-31 06:12:20	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	43	82¢	$36	0xc6def1…
05-30 03:55:19	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1,054	82¢	$864	0x2163eb…
05-29 22:23:58	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x9aecca…
05-29 22:23:51	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x1122d7…
05-29 21:54:53	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x09b57f…
05-29 19:35:03	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1,120	82¢	$918	0x625df9…
05-29 18:29:21	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x5314bd…
05-29 18:24:11	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	279	82¢	$229	0x90f3b5…
05-29 18:21:14	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	941	82¢	$772	0xfd0b96…
05-28 07:10:37	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	30	82¢	$25	0xb554dc…
05-28 03:27:02	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x9ce23c…
05-28 02:19:11	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	250	82¢	$205	0x2a2509…
05-28 02:11:57	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xfeee27…
05-28 00:52:27	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	9	82¢	$8	0x506368…
05-28 00:03:53	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	38	82¢	$31	0xabc6bb…
05-27 23:07:58	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	490	82¢	$402	0xc5def7…
05-27 23:06:24	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	82¢	$820	0xaaa638…
05-27 22:50:09	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	109	82¢	$89	0xdcf3ee…
05-09 18:59:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85,787	100¢	$85,701	0xda957f…
05-09 18:59:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,000	100¢	$5,994	0x972dd8…
05-09 18:59:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,000	100¢	$3,996	0x34ef9c…
05-09 18:59:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,213	100¢	$4,209	0xf28422…
04-30 00:18:06	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	36,000	100¢	$35,892	0x2c612c…
04-24 04:46:56	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	528	99¢	$522	0x97e0ed…
04-24 04:46:54	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	237	99¢	$234	0xc2b3a0…
04-24 04:46:54	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	4,126	99¢	$4,076	0x30df57…
04-24 04:22:10	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	77	99¢	$76	0xae3b24…
04-24 04:17:10	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	4,211	99¢	$4,160	0xc069fa…
04-23 23:13:46	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	64	99¢	$63	0xea9ea9…
04-23 22:50:14	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	642	99¢	$634	0x675766…
04-23 19:10:56	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xe8eef5…
04-23 19:10:54	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x0a25b5…
04-23 19:10:30	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	2,372	99¢	$2,339	0x708385…
04-23 19:10:02	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	2,179	99¢	$2,152	0xf5ebd9…
03-25 05:27:47	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	9,000	98¢	$8,829	0x430d43…
03-25 00:31:51	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x4d4804…
03-24 11:26:05	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	3,830	98¢	$3,753	0x49e892…
03-24 11:04:55	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	1,617	98¢	$1,585	0xeebdae…
03-24 10:20:05	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0x6746a3…
03-24 09:51:41	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x215f6c…
03-24 09:30:55	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	67	98¢	$66	0x3211c4…
03-24 08:43:05	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xe1b758…
03-24 08:29:25	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1936d3…
03-24 07:45:53	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	87	98¢	$85	0x4cdfb2…
03-24 07:32:47	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5a2000…
03-24 07:07:01	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x6569c8…
03-24 07:02:41	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x9c7f41…
03-24 06:12:27	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xb6c0c0…
03-24 04:57:15	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x8210b2…
03-24 03:16:29	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xfe3fac…
03-24 02:34:53	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	SELL	7	51¢	$3	0xd17bfe…
03-24 02:33:51	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0xa68052…
03-24 02:33:35	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	216	51¢	$110	0xa6f23e…
03-24 02:19:05	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0xf8929b…
03-24 01:54:09	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	1,072	98¢	$1,050	0xec9e6e…
03-23 12:20:27	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x97ee88…
03-23 11:49:53	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x742c45…
03-23 11:42:13	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xbcf745…
03-23 10:10:11	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xc2f3f6…
03-23 08:56:27	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0x63324f…
03-23 08:38:21	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x9d8d1f…
03-23 08:19:43	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x18f8a7…
03-23 07:38:15	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0xa0e42c…
03-23 07:01:11	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x0dc165…
03-23 06:40:45	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xb230d8…
03-23 06:40:25	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xdcd531…
03-23 06:22:53	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xb8f02d…
03-23 06:11:15	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0x938ea7…
03-23 05:00:23	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x0ee847…
03-23 04:59:57	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x755701…
03-23 04:59:25	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3e6419…
03-23 04:37:39	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x8f009c…
03-23 04:30:35	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	91	98¢	$89	0xd04e9b…
03-23 04:13:19	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xdda095…
03-23 03:58:23	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	4,575	98¢	$4,488	0x024a3c…
03-23 03:52:17	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	107	46¢	$49	0x2875e0…
03-22 21:04:15	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	65	41¢	$27	0x9e2cbb…
03-22 21:04:13	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0xc71a0b…
03-22 21:04:13	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x8ba818…
03-22 21:03:47	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xe87962…
03-22 21:03:43	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xc097ad…
03-22 21:03:43	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x69cb0e…
03-22 21:02:53	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	11	41¢	$4	0xe11d6d…
03-21 19:25:19	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x30e6bd…
03-21 19:25:19	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x29a266…
03-21 19:25:19	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x1e83c1…
03-21 09:45:49	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x76d067…
03-20 23:56:27	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x8fe3f3…
03-20 23:53:37	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x657398…
03-20 23:47:13	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0xdb806a…
03-20 23:39:27	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0xea7e5a…
03-20 23:23:29	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x4cc4c4…
03-20 16:51:45	Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x2e5b87…