Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

5.8%

Resolved

Trades

551

lifetime

Volume

$9.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$40

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 06-12 16:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

56% 0% $-0

Sports

17% 0% $-1

Politics

16% 100% +$0

Crypto

11% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No		+40	$39	99¢	$40	+$1	06-03 16:50
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes		+40	$1	1¢	$0	$-1	06-02 23:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	38	$800	1,680	100	+1,580	open	—	04-05 19:42
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	32	$643	1,330	50	+1,280	open	—	04-15 13:13
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	48	$592	1,422	286	+1,136	No	$-1	04-17 12:45
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	18	$456	770	50	+720	open	—	03-18 06:57
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	12	$387	370	150	+220	open	—	03-20 12:34
Netanyahu out by April 30?	20	$383	750	110	+640	open	—	04-08 12:42
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	16	$340	680	0	+680	open	—	03-20 12:57
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	16	$329	760	120	+640	open	—	03-16 12:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	32	$297	580	77	+503	open	—	04-06 20:27
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	10	$232	490	30	+460	open	—	03-27 21:42
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	10	$223	480	40	+440	open	—	03-17 06:18
netanyahu out by march 31 854	8	$180	360	0	+360	open	—	03-19 10:39
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	8	$173	310	170	+140	open	—	03-15 07:06
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	8	$172	250	150	+100	open	—	03-23 11:11
GTA VI released before June 2026?	6	$171	260	120	+140	open	—	03-15 22:45
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	8	$163	370	50	+320	open	—	03-31 03:40
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	8	$145	220	140	+80	open	—	03-18 20:58
nba uta okc 2026 04 05	18	$141	260	18	+242	open	—	04-05 13:59
will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	14	$133	111	110	+1	open	—	06-12 10:11
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	6	$130	260	0	+260	open	—	04-06 17:03
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	4	$118	120	40	+80	open	—	06-03 16:50
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	4	$110	220	0	+220	open	—	03-15 03:37
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	4	$110	220	0	+220	open	—	03-29 21:40
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	4	$107	90	90	+0	open	—	03-19 05:42
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	2	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	03-16 09:12
will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$95	50	50	+0	open	—	03-15 13:58
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	10	$93	190	30	+160	open	—	03-27 08:23
nba mem den 2026 04 08	6	$93	180	3	+177	open	—	04-09 00:38
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	4	$90	180	0	+180	open	—	03-28 08:12
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$90	180	0	+180	open	—	03-30 22:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 19:47:42	luiz henrique 20260609165807842	Yes	SELL	22	11¢	$2	0x508464…
06-12 19:47:34	luiz henrique 20260609165807842	Yes	BUY	22	11¢	$2	0xe9ff2f…
06-12 16:41:28	world cup goals h2h neymar vspt vinicius jrpt 20260608184741820	Neymar	SELL	16	14¢	$2	0xf7566c…
06-12 16:41:13	world cup goals h2h neymar vspt vinicius jrpt 20260608184741820	Neymar	BUY	16	14¢	$2	0x59a8a6…
06-12 16:00:04	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	Yes	SELL	18	57¢	$10	0xab973b…
06-12 15:59:51	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xff4376…
06-12 14:53:18	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	SELL	22	80¢	$18	0xf109ae…
06-12 14:53:00	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	BUY	22	84¢	$18	0xc68e21…
06-12 14:07:31	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	No	SELL	23	58¢	$13	0x8a8c5e…
06-12 14:07:24	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	No	BUY	23	60¢	$14	0x605118…
06-12 13:39:01	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	SELL	24	40¢	$10	0x7073a5…
06-12 13:38:48	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x64e304…
06-12 13:04:31	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 17	No	SELL	15	46¢	$7	0xb69eec…
06-12 13:04:31	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 17	No	SELL	9	46¢	$4	0x112cec…
06-12 13:04:16	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 17	No	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x4a38b4…
06-12 13:04:15	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 17	No	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x1fdfcb…
06-12 12:59:57	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 17	Yes	SELL	24	52¢	$12	0xd3fa49…
06-12 12:59:46	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 17	Yes	BUY	24	53¢	$13	0xc5dbd3…
06-12 12:57:28	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 17	No	SELL	8	44¢	$4	0x7a4098…
06-12 12:57:18	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 17	No	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0x53f201…
06-12 12:56:24	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 17	No	SELL	8	44¢	$4	0xd52ed5…
06-12 12:56:13	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 17	No	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0xa8c5d6…
06-12 12:55:04	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 17	Yes	SELL	24	53¢	$13	0x370c5d…
06-12 12:54:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 17	Yes	BUY	24	55¢	$13	0x1fadee…
06-12 12:40:13	will lionel messi score 5 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144833284	Yes	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0xbb60cc…
06-12 12:40:03	will lionel messi score 5 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144833284	Yes	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x25cf23…
06-12 11:07:45	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	Yes	SELL	24	68¢	$16	0x7c40bd…
06-12 11:07:28	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	Yes	BUY	24	69¢	$17	0xda2c42…
06-12 10:11:18	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	No	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0xff31f6…
06-12 10:11:18	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	No	SELL	16	65¢	$10	0x01fd92…
06-12 10:11:07	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	No	BUY	16	65¢	$10	0x40441a…
06-12 10:11:07	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	No	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x14b191…
06-12 10:10:46	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	No	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x62fc1a…
06-12 10:10:46	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	No	SELL	16	66¢	$11	0x200007…
06-12 10:10:36	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	No	BUY	16	66¢	$11	0xcd3b40…
06-12 10:10:36	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xb7c3ce…
06-12 10:10:25	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	No	SELL	24	66¢	$16	0xd7ff9e…
06-12 10:10:13	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	No	BUY	24	67¢	$16	0x33bfb6…
06-12 10:06:10	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	Yes	SELL	14	32¢	$4	0x1e17c1…
06-12 10:06:01	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x03d8bc…
06-12 09:43:18	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	SELL	8	55¢	$4	0xcb756c…
06-12 09:43:07	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x2c41d9…
06-12 08:29:06	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	No	SELL	28	61¢	$17	0xa6ee24…
06-12 08:28:55	will iran close its airspace by july 31 20260609184136056	No	BUY	28	62¢	$17	0x016d6a…
06-12 07:39:21	will iran close its airspace by august 31 20260609184136057	Yes	SELL	28	44¢	$12	0x606396…
06-12 07:39:10	will iran close its airspace by august 31 20260609184136057	Yes	BUY	28	45¢	$13	0xcdf583…
06-12 07:34:03	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 18	Yes	SELL	24	47¢	$11	0xfe9f53…
06-12 07:34:03	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 18	Yes	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0x8a6ae8…
06-12 07:33:51	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 18	Yes	BUY	24	47¢	$11	0x7b8a88…
06-12 07:33:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 18	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x2a99df…
06-11 23:40:37	will mark juncosa be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212484	Yes	SELL	43	27¢	$12	0x4dd6b0…
06-11 23:40:27	will mark juncosa be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212484	Yes	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x2b5573…
06-11 15:35:21	will iran close its airspace by june 12 20260609184136050	No	SELL	44	62¢	$27	0x735b88…
06-11 15:35:04	will iran close its airspace by june 12 20260609184136050	No	BUY	44	66¢	$29	0x313d8e…
06-04 10:21:58	bitcoin above 66k on june 4 2026	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x265719…
06-04 10:21:37	bitcoin above 66k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	49	4¢	$2	0x5262a2…
06-04 10:21:34	bitcoin above 66k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xd1cec3…
06-03 22:16:27	bitcoin above 62k on june 4 2026	Yes	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0xf82dbc…
06-03 22:16:04	bitcoin above 62k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x89e919…
06-03 22:15:57	bitcoin above 62k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xf0b192…
06-03 16:50:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x80fab6…
06-03 15:07:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x248931…
06-02 23:19:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x560b41…
06-02 23:18:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xb22f9d…
06-01 20:28:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0x95c851…
06-01 19:21:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0xf2edb7…
06-01 19:21:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0x09933b…
06-01 19:20:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0x9391e4…
06-01 19:20:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	49	4¢	$2	0x7549c6…
06-01 19:20:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0xe45976…
05-26 22:53:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x333f97…
05-26 22:53:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x5e994b…
05-25 08:16:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x8131e3…
05-25 08:16:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0x2cb997…
05-25 08:16:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x9a1500…
05-11 09:59:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x3bc495…
05-11 09:59:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xd9b3df…
05-11 05:24:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xecd539…
05-11 05:24:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x519c71…
05-10 07:03:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x7969d1…
05-10 07:03:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x41f856…
04-27 09:05:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x7ce19f…
04-27 09:04:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0x5f63a3…
04-27 09:04:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xf7c288…
04-27 04:23:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x5250cf…
04-27 04:23:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf88914…
04-24 05:50:36	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	No	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0xcf76ee…
04-24 05:50:16	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x8d2b03…
04-24 05:50:14	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x580e48…
04-24 02:21:32	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$2	0xfcd7a4…
04-24 02:21:24	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0xa32291…
04-23 05:51:36	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	3¢	$0	0x887cbf…
04-23 05:51:16	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	3¢	$2	0x8667a2…
04-23 05:51:12	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0xa37aa1…
04-19 23:33:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xce0771…
04-19 23:33:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x963a05…
04-19 18:43:50	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0x649a83…
04-19 18:43:38	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0xf42cdb…
04-19 11:09:00	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0xff5c8d…
04-19 11:08:52	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x75eb3c…