Weighty-Testing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.8%

Resolved

Trades

108

lifetime

Volume

$274

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 05-16 22:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 48% $-22

Sports

10% — —

Other

7% 50% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians	10	$14	17	17	+0	open	—	05-16 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	1	$11	16	0	+16	Down	$-11	05-13 09:45
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays	8	$9	9	9	+0	open	—	05-16 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$9	13	0	+13	Down	+$4	05-13 09:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$7	11	0	+11	Up	+$4	05-13 09:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$6	10	0	+10	Up	+$4	05-13 09:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Down	$-5	05-13 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	$-5	05-13 07:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	2	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-15 07:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	$-5	05-13 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-13 09:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-14 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 01:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 00:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	$-4	05-13 10:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-14 16:46
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-14 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 01:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-14 20:21
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-14 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 03:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 06:18
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov	2	$4	11	11	+0	Casper Ruud	+$1	05-13 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	Up	+$2	05-13 09:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-14 17:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	$-4	05-13 10:46
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-14 18:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-14 17:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-14 16:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-14 10:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 22:54:07	Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cincinnati Reds	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x0c12d7…
05-16 22:49:41	Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0xaa72df…
05-16 22:49:20	Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Miami Marlins	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x624a2b…
05-16 22:49:12	Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Miami Marlins	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3f487a…
05-16 22:47:39	Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Miami Marlins	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x92ada2…
05-16 22:44:18	Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Miami Marlins	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x242085…
05-16 22:43:09	Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cincinnati Reds	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0x77e76f…
05-16 22:40:56	Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x0313eb…
05-16 22:40:06	Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x99bb7f…
05-16 22:38:15	Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xfc80e3…
05-16 22:37:35	Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cincinnati Reds	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0x795f0f…
05-16 22:31:17	Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x804458…
05-16 22:31:05	Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xdb621c…
05-16 22:23:46	Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xab1407…
05-16 22:22:15	Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x78dc2e…
05-16 22:21:12	Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xa8c596…
05-16 22:20:12	Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x372f7f…
05-16 22:19:42	Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Miami Marlins	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x72e1f4…
05-16 22:17:43	Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Miami Marlins	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x000b44…
05-16 22:17:33	Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x4192a8…
05-16 22:12:32	Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x7a6420…
05-16 22:12:09	Zagreb: Jan Choinski vs Arthur Fery	Jan Choinski	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x4c6c96…
05-16 19:22:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x9700af…
05-16 19:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa6c218…
05-15 17:33:23	Zagreb: Jan Choinski vs Arthur Fery	Jan Choinski	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x3d62d6…
05-15 15:08:24	Valencia: Adolfo Vallejo vs Zizou Bergs	Zizou Bergs	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0xfce982…
05-15 11:09:00	Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)	magic	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x225c97…
05-15 11:06:51	Valencia: Alejandro Tabilo vs Dusan Lajovic	Alejandro Tabilo	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x54706b…
05-15 08:39:09	Ethereum Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	23	8¢	$2	0x37f947…
05-15 08:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0x547051…
05-15 07:55:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x00736c…
05-15 07:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb6d921…
05-15 07:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xdf056b…
05-15 07:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	46¢	$1	0x2d4547…
05-15 07:32:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xeef0db…
05-15 06:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x826e0f…
05-15 05:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x980234…
05-15 03:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x1b3fab…
05-15 01:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x473c7b…
05-15 01:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xaa33d5…
05-15 00:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xdaea28…
05-14 22:02:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xeddca8…
05-14 20:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x039be2…
05-14 18:11:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x7012ce…
05-14 17:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xc62058…
05-14 17:27:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x9477c1…
05-14 17:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x444c07…
05-14 17:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x8b4473…
05-14 16:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x8796e7…
05-14 16:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xf3a1f7…
05-14 16:11:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xb59abf…
05-14 16:07:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xea9113…
05-14 16:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x6b95df…
05-14 16:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xcc0f9e…
05-14 15:36:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xeb5227…
05-14 15:26:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa296ff…
05-14 15:17:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x83f3f4…
05-14 15:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x231be6…
05-14 14:56:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x6d6e48…
05-14 14:21:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xe479f8…
05-14 14:17:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x277602…
05-14 13:56:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xbe97ac…
05-14 13:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x076a31…
05-14 13:46:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xed4c17…
05-14 12:17:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x25376a…
05-14 12:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xa0de91…
05-14 11:56:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xfd1681…
05-14 11:46:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x10515e…
05-14 11:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xc88d42…
05-14 11:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$0	0x6b16d0…
05-14 10:27:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xd33f1c…
05-14 07:46:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xb79993…
05-14 07:41:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xb9aa9b…
05-14 06:52:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xb412cc…
05-13 21:11:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xb9a83e…
05-13 18:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x00a9c1…
05-13 16:28:28	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov	Karen Khachanov	SELL	11	23¢	$3	0xb5d214…
05-13 15:27:55	Parma: Alycia Parks vs Susan Bandecchi	Susan Bandecchi	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x554a6f…
05-13 14:56:44	Bordeaux: Pierre Delage vs Roman Andres Burruchaga	Pierre Delage	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x4f4c67…
05-13 14:56:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xb3bec2…
05-13 14:51:36	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x8ebd26…
05-13 14:17:27	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov	Karen Khachanov	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xb9789c…
05-13 14:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x476496…
05-13 14:11:05	Oeiras 4: Vilius Gaubas vs Petr Brunclik	Petr Brunclik	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0x9589c5…
05-13 13:57:33	Oeiras 4: Vilius Gaubas vs Petr Brunclik	Petr Brunclik	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x88be37…
05-13 12:58:14	Parma: Lucia Bronzetti vs Camila Osorio	Lucia Bronzetti	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x10ffab…
05-13 12:29:51	Parma: Lucia Bronzetti vs Camila Osorio	Lucia Bronzetti	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x857aa3…
05-13 12:26:35	Tunis: Guy Den Ouden vs Dali Blanch	Guy Den Ouden	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xe8a27e…
05-13 11:39:08	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x7f6c53…
05-13 11:27:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0x39d6c8…
05-13 11:27:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x87959f…
05-13 10:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xe939bc…
05-13 10:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x8766de…
05-13 10:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x63f7ee…
05-13 10:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x9fa6a7…
05-13 10:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x868c5b…
05-13 10:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xdf1bf7…
05-13 09:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x542ccc…
05-13 09:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0x75234c…
05-13 09:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0x76723e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5	76	$44.7K	3,570	05-17 00:54
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	70	$47.5K	2,060	05-17 07:01
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	66	$13.5K	1,954	05-16 22:06
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	65	$7.68K	777	05-16 19:23
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	65	$6.78K	3,323	05-16 19:23
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	64	$9.57K	1,478	05-16 19:22
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	64	$8.58K	540	05-16 19:21
Favorable-Dawn 0x444f…1469	64	$555	102	05-16 19:24