Periodic-Imprisonment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

89.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$84

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$17

1 position

First seen

2026-04-28

last 07-04 00:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 75% +$11

Other

19% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	No		-20	$-14	86¢	$-17	$-3	06-13 11:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	2	$24	22	22	+0	open	—	05-04 19:10
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	1	$14	0	20	-20	open	—	06-13 11:28
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	2	$13	54	54	+0	Yes	+$9	05-06 19:31
mlbb onic btr1 2026 06 14	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	06-14 06:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	Up	+$3	05-05 15:46
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	07-03 00:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	05-05 19:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	Down	$-3	05-05 15:38
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	1	$1	20	0	+20	open	—	07-04 00:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 00:15:04	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe9db9b…
07-03 00:48:23	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x1bce7d…
06-14 06:07:57	mlbb onic btr1 2026 06 14	ONIC	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x0efeda…
06-13 11:28:00	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	No	SELL	20	73¢	$14	0xbdbf45…
05-06 19:31:47	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	No	SELL	54	19¢	$11	0x86901f…
05-05 19:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x5bdc49…
05-05 19:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xdecf84…
05-05 15:52:44	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	No	BUY	54	4¢	$2	0xb6c910…
05-05 15:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x5283cb…
05-05 15:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xf21484…
05-05 15:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xf18b9b…
05-04 19:10:46	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x9cab95…
04-28 16:57:48	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	No	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x3b819d…