Colorful-Cuticle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$134

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

30.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 05-23 23:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

51% 67% +$35

Other

18% 0% $-170

Crypto

18% — —

Politics

13% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	6	$503	112,971	0	+112,971	open	—	03-04 19:13
Lightning vs. Canadiens	3	$367	469	297	+172	open	—	04-27 01:25
Oilers vs. Ducks	1	$285	288	0	+288	open	—	04-25 04:42
Lightning vs. Canadiens	1	$279	285	0	+285	open	—	04-25 02:11
Penguins vs. Flyers	1	$188	213	0	+213	open	—	04-26 02:48
Oilers vs. Ducks	1	$152	190	0	+190	open	—	04-27 02:17
eth updown 5m 1772222100	1	$146	177	0	+177	open	—	02-27 19:59
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$142	123	123	+0	open	—	04-13 01:57
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$130	5,756	0	+5,756	No	$-130	04-14 16:15
mwoh cze can 2026 02 12	1	$123	146	0	+146	open	—	02-12 14:43
Sabres vs. Canadiens	1	$105	169	0	+169	open	—	05-16 21:09
Hurricanes vs. Senators	1	$100	217	0	+217	open	—	04-25 20:22
Sabres vs. Canadiens	1	$100	233	0	+233	Sabres	$-100	05-12 23:35
Avalanche vs. Wild	1	$100	175	0	+175	Avalanche	+$75	05-12 02:29
Canadiens vs. Sabres	1	$100	114	0	+114	open	—	05-15 00:44
xrp updown 5m 1772737800	1	$95	101	0	+101	open	—	03-05 19:12
nhl mon tb 2026 04 19	3	$79	105	103	+2	open	—	04-19 21:52
nhl col cal 2026 04 14	1	$53	92	0	+92	open	—	04-14 23:44
nhl bos buf 2026 04 19	1	$52	87	0	+87	open	—	04-19 21:33
will xrp reach 2 in february 2026	1	$50	1,540	0	+1,540	open	—	02-12 00:02
mwoh can swi 2026 02 13	1	$46	52	0	+52	open	—	02-13 18:28
xrp updown 4h 1776355200	1	$40	67	0	+67	open	—	04-16 16:26
nhl ana edm 2026 04 20	1	$40	62	0	+62	open	—	04-20 23:19
will xrp reach 2pt4 in march 2026	1	$40	515	0	+515	open	—	03-01 15:04
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$40	733	0	+733	Yes	$-40	04-15 13:50
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1	$40	448	0	+448	open	—	03-01 01:08
will khamenei tweet again by march 1	1	$40	49	0	+49	open	—	02-28 19:08
netanyahu out by march 31 854	3	$40	1,077	0	+1,077	open	—	03-17 01:49
highest temperature in seattle on april 15 2026 46 47f	2	$39	51	50	+2	open	—	04-15 21:10
xrp updown 5m 1772235300	1	$30	60	0	+60	open	—	02-27 23:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 23:54:44	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x43dbcf…
05-22 01:22:28	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xa2e801…
05-16 21:09:27	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	169	62¢	$105	0x1882ca…
05-15 00:44:24	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xa1cd86…
05-14 16:00:02	Will Tommy Fleetwood finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0x4b2b6a…
05-14 15:59:34	Will Brooks Koepka finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	106	21¢	$22	0xe233c4…
05-14 01:30:44	Wild vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x870c14…
05-12 23:35:32	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0xabf094…
05-12 02:29:30	Avalanche vs. Wild	Avalanche	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x7d7081…
05-11 20:11:03	Will XRP reach $2.40 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,084	2¢	$20	0x738859…
04-27 02:17:12	Oilers vs. Ducks	Oilers	BUY	190	80¢	$152	0x5cba62…
04-27 01:25:26	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Lightning	SELL	297	52¢	$154	0x965ffc…
04-27 00:33:50	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	166	68¢	$113	0x3903ed…
04-27 00:26:52	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Lightning	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x152f1e…
04-26 02:48:48	Penguins vs. Flyers	Penguins	BUY	213	88¢	$188	0xa11128…
04-25 20:22:14	Hurricanes vs. Senators	Senators	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0xa2e918…
04-25 04:42:34	Oilers vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	288	99¢	$285	0x27a536…
04-25 02:11:12	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	285	98¢	$279	0x86c6dc…
04-21 13:42:54	xrp updown 15m 1776778200	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xbf48cb…
04-21 03:00:56	nhl ott car 2026 04 20	Senators	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x90362f…
04-21 02:57:32	nhl ana edm 2026 04 22	Oilers	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x604554…
04-20 23:19:28	nhl ana edm 2026 04 20	Oilers	BUY	62	64¢	$40	0x5c9e72…
04-20 23:03:58	xrp updown 15m 1776726000	Up	BUY	160	12¢	$20	0xf690a8…
04-19 22:03:34	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	614	3¢	$20	0x729b47…
04-19 21:52:46	nhl mon tb 2026 04 19	Canadiens	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0xbcf46e…
04-19 21:33:56	nhl bos buf 2026 04 19	Sabres	BUY	87	60¢	$52	0x8780e3…
04-19 21:31:22	nhl mon tb 2026 04 19	Canadiens	SELL	103	38¢	$39	0x6935a0…
04-19 19:28:06	nhl mon tb 2026 04 19	Canadiens	BUY	105	38¢	$40	0x59b564…
04-17 21:40:50	xrp updown 5m 1776462000	Down	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0xeccc75…
04-16 17:32:02	nhl van edm 2026 04 16	Canucks	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x1e36db…
04-16 16:26:56	xrp updown 4h 1776355200	Up	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0x33db27…
04-16 15:50:00	xrp updown 5m 1776354300	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf4bb6d…
04-15 21:10:04	highest temperature in seattle on april 15 2026 46 47f	Yes	SELL	50	38¢	$19	0x99e280…
04-15 15:06:08	xrp updown 5m 1776265500	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x4ff42d…
04-15 14:26:38	will xrp reach 1pt4 on april 15	Yes	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0xb3b0f8…
04-15 13:50:28	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	376	5¢	$20	0x8d4014…
04-14 23:44:32	nhl col cal 2026 04 14	Avalanche	BUY	92	58¢	$53	0x63fde3…
04-14 23:44:18	nhl mon phi 2026 04 14	Canadiens	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x8a0fe2…
04-14 20:24:10	Will XRP reach $2.60 in April?	Yes	BUY	3,456	1¢	$20	0x7451b0…
04-14 16:15:45	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1,418	1¢	$20	0x6eda88…
04-14 15:03:49	highest temperature in seattle on april 15 2026 46 47f	Yes	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x93a624…
04-13 01:57:11	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	123	100¢	$123	0xe9357c…
04-11 22:06:23	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	23	36¢	$8	0x4ed1d0…
04-09 01:50:07	xrp updown 5m 1775699400	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xda108c…
04-09 01:50:07	xrp updown 5m 1775699400	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x99879c…
04-09 01:48:59	xrp updown 5m 1775699400	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd8757a…
03-19 23:02:11	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	2,859	2¢	$70	0x013133…
03-17 01:49:01	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	455	4¢	$20	0x05a8e0…
03-16 19:10:17	xrp updown 5m 1773688200	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xf1ab56…
03-16 01:31:15	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	278	4¢	$10	0x39fdb2…
03-15 19:30:01	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	345	3¢	$10	0x458f4a…
03-09 20:07:15	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	833	2¢	$20	0x95a857…
03-05 19:12:51	xrp updown 5m 1772737800	Down	BUY	101	94¢	$95	0xa5b761…
03-05 18:59:39	2026 arnold palmer invitational presented by mastercard winner rory mcilroy win	Yes	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0x83b5f9…
03-05 18:53:43	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xf09723…
03-05 16:06:27	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	645	3¢	$20	0xf2e446…
03-05 16:06:19	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	357	6¢	$20	0xbd7043…
03-04 19:13:53	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	25,000	0¢	$25	0xb3dce9…
03-04 18:32:33	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	77,958	0¢	$100	0x815c14…
03-01 15:04:39	will xrp reach 2pt4 in march 2026	Yes	BUY	515	8¢	$40	0xc98eae…
03-01 05:02:59	xrp updown 5m 1772341200	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xc79500…
03-01 05:02:15	xrp updown 15m 1772341200	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x0e2dda…
03-01 02:05:33	xrp updown 15m 1772331300	Up	BUY	48	50¢	$24	0xccbd66…
03-01 01:57:01	xrp updown 5m 1772330100	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x9451e6…
03-01 01:08:21	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	448	9¢	$40	0x1de10c…
02-28 23:16:03	nhl edm sj 2026 02 28	Oilers	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x89a27f…
02-28 22:57:05	2026 cognizant classic in the palm beaches winner shane lowry win	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xf6193b…
02-28 19:08:49	will khamenei tweet again by march 1	No	BUY	49	81¢	$40	0xa377cf…
02-28 19:07:13	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x8e27c9…
02-28 17:45:25	xrp updown 15m 1772300700	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x21ee38…
02-28 17:06:07	xrp updown 15m 1772298000	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb95ebd…
02-28 16:25:23	xrp up or down on february 28	Up	BUY	962	1¢	$10	0x76d029…
02-28 15:23:37	nuclear weapon detonation by march 31	Yes	BUY	176	11¢	$20	0xc04242…
02-27 23:37:07	xrp updown 5m 1772235300	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x5ec261…
02-27 20:28:03	US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xf532c3…
02-27 20:11:01	ethereum up or down on february 28	Down	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xc3028c…
02-27 19:59:25	eth updown 5m 1772222100	Down	BUY	177	83¢	$146	0x8d9093…
02-27 19:50:23	xrp updown 5m 1772221800	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x61d1e0…
02-27 18:57:15	xrp updown 15m 1772217900	Up	BUY	925	1¢	$10	0x167579…
02-27 18:47:49	xrp updown 5m 1772217900	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x0ce066…
02-27 18:35:39	xrp updown 5m 1772217300	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x5a090b…
02-27 18:24:53	xrp updown 5m 1772216400	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x6b435b…
02-27 18:24:53	xrp updown 5m 1772216400	Up	BUY	7	77¢	$6	0x57594e…
02-27 18:10:47	xrp updown 5m 1772215800	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xa44765…
02-27 17:37:39	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	3,613	4¢	$153	0xc0e6e2…
02-15 16:30:45	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,667	3¢	$52	0xd022f8…
02-13 18:28:03	mwoh can swi 2026 02 13	Canada	BUY	52	90¢	$46	0xf10624…
02-12 21:12:05	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2,381	4¢	$100	0x665495…
02-12 14:43:03	mwoh cze can 2026 02 12	Canada	BUY	146	84¢	$123	0xd2e74d…
02-12 00:02:45	will xrp reach 2 in february 2026	Yes	BUY	1,540	3¢	$50	0x9a811a…
02-09 23:33:45	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2,353	3¢	$73	0x19f51d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	30	$99.5K	844	05-24 01:47
Vicious-Patrol 0xbe53…2dba	29	$1.07K	44	05-24 02:08
(anonymous) 0x383d…87ea	28	$6.31K	490	05-23 23:29
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	25	$377.9K	2,938	05-24 01:55
Lean-Attraction 0xbad2…5296	25	$97.0K	299	05-23 21:46
Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37	24	$168.1K	1,247	05-22 02:24
Smug-Snowman 0x0547…fb35	24	$1.44K	80	05-24 01:01
(anonymous) 0xec8d…453d	24	$824	89	05-23 23:21