Damp-Fluke — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

55.8%

Resolved

Trades

843

lifetime

Volume

$11.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$12

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-18 18:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

52% 57% $-3

Politics

34% — —

Crypto

7% — —

Sports

7% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No		+65	$18	18¢	$12	$-6	06-18 18:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	45	$1.3K	2,087	3,300	-1,213	open	—	03-27 03:10
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	13	$631	848	848	+0	open	—	03-08 02:47
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	23	$489	904	904	+0	open	—	05-14 10:31
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	15	$440	568	568	+0	open	—	03-07 20:55
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	4	$376	900	900	+0	open	—	05-10 13:39
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	14	$354	1,200	600	+600	open	—	03-31 15:01
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	4	$337	400	600	-200	open	—	04-16 15:53
iran leadership change by march 31	15	$307	601	601	+0	open	—	03-14 02:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	4	$304	800	800	+0	open	—	04-22 17:03
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	4	$302	900	900	+0	open	—	04-30 21:13
will the virginia redistricting referendum pass	7	$300	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-21 16:14
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	16	$274	160	510	-350	open	—	03-11 02:43
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	10	$270	600	600	+0	open	—	04-12 02:55
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	4	$260	676	676	+0	open	—	03-03 04:31
dota2 glyph rnx 2026 04 13	3	$242	250	250	+0	open	—	04-13 14:23
miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	2	$222	800	800	+0	open	—	03-18 04:26
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 360 379	11	$222	300	300	+0	open	—	03-23 21:02
will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	4	$221	300	300	+0	open	—	03-24 21:17
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	7	$218	350	350	+0	open	—	03-20 15:22
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$214	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-30 01:31
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?	3	$210	200	200	+0	open	—	05-25 02:01
will 35 39 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	2	$204	350	350	+0	open	—	03-20 22:06
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	4	$203	200	195	+5	open	—	05-22 01:06
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	4	$189	270	270	+0	open	—	05-19 18:50
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	7	$187	550	550	+0	open	—	03-04 19:27
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$178	500	500	+0	open	—	03-04 01:55
Iran leadership change by March 13?	7	$176	750	750	-0	open	—	03-09 04:44
will the us invade iran by march 31	7	$126	576	576	+0	open	—	03-28 04:44
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 90 114	10	$112	140	140	+0	open	—	03-09 03:10
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	4	$110	61	61	+0	open	—	01-08 18:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 18:04:16	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	65	17¢	$11	0x6874d3…
06-18 14:29:41	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x03db35…
06-18 14:29:28	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 btts	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x23601c…
06-18 14:29:17	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x64637f…
06-18 14:28:43	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 spread home 1pt5	Canada	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x1682b5…
06-18 14:27:52	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x649aec…
06-18 14:27:43	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xea65b7…
06-18 14:05:37	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x287359…
06-18 13:57:25	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x909500…
06-18 13:57:14	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xe1405f…
06-18 13:55:32	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x861d37…
06-18 13:55:19	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xc8f544…
06-18 13:55:11	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x8ae77a…
06-17 15:11:32	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 team total home 1pt5	Under	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x0fb579…
06-17 15:10:13	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x5dc505…
06-17 15:09:55	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xf0b675…
06-17 15:09:32	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 spread away 1pt5	Colombia	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x1d3260…
06-17 15:07:28	fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x247f4a…
06-17 15:07:17	fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xa62f07…
06-17 15:07:02	fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x0beeae…
06-17 15:06:41	fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x742df2…
06-17 15:05:37	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x11f8f9…
06-17 15:05:25	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x3d42ed…
06-17 15:05:10	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x5fc72c…
06-17 15:03:32	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x00a10b…
06-17 15:03:25	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x1bc187…
06-17 15:02:44	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xd377ab…
06-17 15:01:35	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	Portugal	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x1af7f1…
06-16 18:05:16	fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x00b311…
06-16 18:05:04	fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 btts	No	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x49ccaa…
06-16 18:01:44	fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	Austria	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x51cd35…
06-16 17:59:23	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x5be193…
06-16 17:58:52	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 btts	No	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xa8b0d7…
06-16 17:58:31	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x0cb7d3…
06-16 17:55:53	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 spread home 1pt5	Senegal	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xad07a3…
06-16 17:55:05	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xa22e0f…
06-15 15:10:31	fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 spread away 1pt5	Saudi Arabia	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x427e89…
06-15 15:09:33	fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x33d0c7…
06-15 15:08:36	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x4a66d5…
06-15 15:08:01	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 btts	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd98e35…
06-14 21:28:33	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0xdeddd6…
06-14 21:24:01	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 total 3pt5	Under	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0x5c2430…
06-14 20:53:34	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 btts	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xa9bfe9…
06-14 20:53:21	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x22117a…
06-14 20:53:12	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xe8c1c3…
06-14 20:52:07	fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 btts	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x49217f…
06-14 20:51:54	fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x3ae59f…
06-14 20:51:45	fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x914ca5…
06-14 19:42:06	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x0b68ba…
06-14 19:39:15	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0x8e1309…
06-14 19:38:36	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0x96b9a9…
06-14 19:38:16	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x5aabb4…
06-14 19:12:09	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 btts	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x7492fb…
06-14 19:11:58	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xcd2b10…
06-14 16:06:36	lol red los 2026 06 14	LOS	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x86f0db…
06-12 21:36:57	lol vks los 2026 06 13	LOS	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xf0967b…
06-11 14:58:45	lol lll los 2026 06 11	LOS	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x785c43…
06-10 19:38:10	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	53	6¢	$3	0x8b81ff…
06-09 20:22:28	lol we blg 2026 06 13	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xc307ba…
06-09 20:22:21	lol tl2 c9 2026 06 13	Cloud9	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xb86bab…
06-09 20:22:10	lol vks red 2026 06 11	RED Canids	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x52fd00…
06-09 20:22:01	lol fxw7 lll 2026 06 10	Fluxo W7M	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xa90555…
06-09 20:21:54	lol los png1 2026 06 10	LOS	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x66b3a0…
06-07 17:42:48	lol al blg 2026 06 08	Anyone's Legend	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xcffd3e…
06-07 17:42:27	lol gen kt 2026 06 13	KT Rolster	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x316641…
06-05 18:40:40	lol dcg gam 2026 06 06	GAM Esports	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x307c2a…
06-04 17:03:27	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xbf277d…
06-04 17:03:19	lol al lgd 2026 06 05	Anyone's Legend	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x6edf73…
06-04 17:02:58	lol red lev 2026 06 07	RED Canids	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x711c8d…
06-04 02:48:12	lol lll vks 2026 06 07	Vivo Keyd Stars	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x9e7e46…
06-03 08:55:55	LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs	paiN Gaming	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x9d4c36…
06-03 05:31:45	LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffs	GAM Esports	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x2fd340…
06-03 04:08:38	LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Top Esports	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xd0aadc…
06-03 04:08:26	LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xa56708…
06-03 04:08:05	LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	Karmine Corp	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x59c6bd…
06-03 04:07:51	LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs	Cloud9	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x29b09f…
06-03 04:07:40	LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs	FlyQuest	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x90ce89…
06-03 04:07:05	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI	T1	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x560a59…
06-03 04:06:42	LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI	Dplus KIA	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x7e2fdf…
06-02 21:05:13	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x2c767f…
06-02 21:00:44	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa3fa4b…
06-02 20:58:08	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x06e9c1…
06-02 20:56:04	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x686558…
06-02 20:53:31	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x211d44…
06-02 20:47:47	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	SELL	20	52¢	$11	0x12a794…
06-02 20:31:46	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x66b6d2…
05-30 14:39:28	LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	LGD Gaming	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x68b799…
05-30 14:39:21	LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	JD Gaming	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xa7a78d…
05-30 14:39:02	LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs	KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x662a70…
05-29 16:41:48	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Joao Fonseca	SELL	55	26¢	$14	0x2895d3…
05-29 16:26:40	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Joao Fonseca	BUY	55	20¢	$11	0xb8a82a…
05-29 16:26:05	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	SELL	12	80¢	$10	0x399b1b…
05-29 15:09:09	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xadac58…
05-29 14:57:51	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xbaf6b9…
05-28 16:10:26	LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Playoffs	⁠Movistar KOI Fénix	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xfe74f6…
05-27 13:51:12	LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs	GAM Esports	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf8c5af…
05-27 13:51:09	LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffs	Team Secret Whales	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xffb0ef…
05-27 13:51:02	LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	Dplus KIA Challengers	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf07bec…
05-27 13:50:57	LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	Gen.G Global Academy	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xed4ae5…
05-27 13:50:50	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	HANJIN BRION Challengers	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xbc6556…