Peaceful-Anteater — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-16 01:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

67% 64% +$4

Politics

19% 86% +$2

Crypto

9% 80% +$1

Tech

4% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump cut off trade with spain	4	$102	52	52	+0	No	+$1	03-23 13:55
Will Google reach $400 in April?	2	$99	50	50	+0	No	$-0	04-24 02:08
Will Lexi Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?	2	$78	40	40	+0	No	$-1	05-28 01:39
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?	2	$76	40	40	+0	open	—	06-03 01:43
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	2	$75	40	40	+0	No	$-1	06-09 02:08
will the bank of korea increase the base rate after the april meeting	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$-0	04-05 13:31
will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	03-31 16:20
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	03-31 16:20
Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	04-22 02:00
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	$-0	04-09 01:52
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	04-27 02:05
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$1	03-28 15:12
will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	2	$58	30	30	+0	No	+$0	04-02 02:30
deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	3	$57	30	30	+0	No	+$1	03-28 15:12
Will Chris Tungseth win American Idol Season 24?	1	$52	52	0	+52	No	+$0	04-27 02:06
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	2	$51	26	26	+0	No	$-0	04-07 14:04
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	2	$48	24	24	+0	No	+$0	02-09 01:43
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	2	$46	24	24	+0	Yes	+$1	03-18 10:47
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	2	$44	22	22	+0	No	+$0	02-09 01:43
cilia flores released from custody by january 9 2026	2	$42	21	21	+0	No	+$0	01-10 02:52
will xai have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	3	$42	21	21	+0	No	+$0	03-31 16:21
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	02-20 02:29
Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	$-0	04-12 13:42
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	3	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	04-20 01:42
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	$-0	04-02 02:30
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1?	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	$-0	04-16 11:05
Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by April 30, 2026?	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$0	04-20 01:42
Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	3	$38	20	20	+0	Yes	$-1	04-16 11:06
fact check maduro capture staged	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	03-31 16:22
pltr above 154 on april 3 2026	2	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-02 07:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 01:40:07	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 16	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x7e8b84…
06-09 02:08:40	Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0xd7f4e7…
06-03 01:43:54	Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xfa6681…
06-03 01:43:12	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0xea93f7…
05-28 01:41:23	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0xd928c2…
05-28 01:39:33	Will Lexi Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x151edd…
05-27 01:36:33	Will Lexi Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x76d055…
04-27 02:06:00	Will Chris Tungseth win American Idol Season 24?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xe6ba35…
04-27 02:05:00	US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0xac3a0b…
04-24 02:09:14	US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xd66034…
04-24 02:08:04	Will Google reach $400 in April?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xb9e822…
04-22 02:01:20	Will Google reach $400 in April?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x34dee2…
04-22 02:00:38	Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$30	0x01c7e3…
04-20 01:43:28	Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xe6b5f0…
04-20 01:42:26	Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x88970d…
04-20 01:42:20	Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x0c5ddb…
04-16 16:35:38	Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x887e8c…
04-16 11:06:48	Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x84e447…
04-16 11:06:32	Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xba76f3…
04-16 11:06:04	Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x814446…
04-16 11:05:54	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x79934b…
04-14 05:06:15	Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x49a794…
04-14 01:53:51	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xe7bf4b…
04-14 01:53:31	Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0x264da6…
04-12 13:42:29	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x96b2d0…
04-12 13:42:21	Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x17304f…
04-09 01:53:25	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xef57f9…
04-09 01:53:03	Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb36279…
04-09 01:52:41	will wti reach 130 by april 6 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x330487…
04-09 01:52:13	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0xf4cf41…
04-07 14:06:11	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x2069dd…
04-07 14:04:03	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	No	SELL	26	97¢	$25	0x37741a…
04-05 13:32:31	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0xa3b507…
04-05 13:31:01	will the bank of korea increase the base rate after the april meeting	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x9ce36c…
04-02 07:49:11	pltr above 154 on april 3 2026	No	BUY	30	99¢	$29	0x9c2c12…
04-02 02:31:53	will googl dip to 250 by march 30 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x614fbe…
04-02 02:31:35	pltr above 154 on april 3 2026	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x583a08…
04-02 02:31:21	will the bank of korea increase the base rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xd5d898…
04-02 02:30:43	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xca31d0…
04-02 02:30:37	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x803221…
03-31 16:23:09	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x561a8a…
03-31 16:22:53	fact check maduro capture staged	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf0790b…
03-31 16:22:27	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x0b7dac…
03-31 16:21:07	will xai have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x8d9930…
03-31 16:20:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x92095b…
03-31 16:20:53	will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xf68401…
03-28 15:14:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xa03ce4…
03-28 15:14:27	will xai have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x2b3ca1…
03-28 15:14:11	will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xd10a14…
03-28 15:13:25	will xai have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0628c8…
03-28 15:12:57	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x235552…
03-28 15:12:49	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	No	SELL	30	98¢	$30	0xf0b845…
03-24 07:27:31	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x0996cb…
03-23 13:56:53	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x7cff05…
03-23 13:56:33	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x55e984…
03-23 13:55:09	will trump cut off trade with spain	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x3f882d…
03-18 10:58:21	Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x2fe1b2…
03-18 10:48:13	Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x46bba7…
03-18 10:47:51	will powell say inflation 40 times during march press conference	Yes	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x0b9f8f…
03-18 10:47:15	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	24	96¢	$23	0x7b6d9f…
03-11 15:37:37	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	24	94¢	$23	0x7dcd7a…
03-11 15:36:55	will trump cut off trade with spain	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x175fc9…
03-11 15:36:33	will trump cut off trade with spain	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x1e3ac1…
03-05 01:35:33	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on march 5	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0xdf4a60…
03-05 01:35:19	will trump cut off trade with spain	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xb0181f…
02-27 03:35:04	will bitcoin reach 76k february 23 march 1	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x03d7c7…
02-27 01:49:12	will bitcoin reach 76k february 23 march 1	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x142161…
02-20 02:31:06	will ethereum reach 2700 february 16 22	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x0923f2…
02-20 02:29:26	will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xb7a1d4…
02-09 01:43:51	us strikes iran by february 8 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4fdf9c…
02-09 01:43:37	will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x23ae1a…
02-09 01:43:13	Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x7eb2a0…
02-09 01:43:07	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	24	98¢	$24	0xdaaf03…
02-02 02:47:34	Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x6e7b89…
02-02 02:46:04	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	24	97¢	$24	0x903d5e…
01-23 01:50:50	us forces in venezuela again by january 31 2026	No	BUY	22	98¢	$21	0xc10969…
01-23 01:50:06	will bayern munich finish first in ucl league phase	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xa1bc7d…
01-18 13:46:18	will han duck soo be sentenced to no prison time	No	SELL	28	92¢	$26	0x43a54a…
01-10 02:52:50	cilia flores released from custody by january 9 2026	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x6a8084…
01-05 02:02:29	cilia flores released from custody by january 9 2026	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xda74fc…