Infamous-Equality — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$85

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.2%

Resolved

Trades

310

lifetime

Volume

$24.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$80

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 06-18 23:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

77% 100% +$15

Other

21% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-100

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	7	$1.3K	2,085	2,085	+0	open	—	04-08 11:00
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	6	$828	516	516	+0	open	—	04-12 22:19
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	2	$711	412	412	+0	open	—	04-29 21:05
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$697	790	790	+0	open	—	05-15 00:32
will iran strike israel on march 10	9	$683	458	458	+0	open	—	03-12 18:45
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	2	$631	1,034	1,034	+0	open	—	04-23 21:46
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	3	$612	1,413	1,413	+0	open	—	04-21 22:16
Iran leadership change by April 30?	6	$562	1,954	1,954	+0	open	—	04-14 16:57
will israel take military action in gaza on march 29 2026	2	$535	336	336	+0	open	—	03-29 14:31
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	4	$532	512	512	+0	open	—	04-16 06:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	4	$528	1,292	1,292	-0	open	—	06-18 23:28
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$516	317	317	+0	open	—	06-16 20:34
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$494	303	303	+0	open	—	04-12 18:43
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 1, 2026?	2	$455	257	257	+0	open	—	04-01 15:35
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	2	$454	338	338	+0	open	—	04-11 17:34
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 3, 2026?	2	$431	231	231	+0	open	—	04-03 16:41
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	2	$426	234	234	+0	open	—	04-08 22:30
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 8, 2026?	2	$422	222	222	+0	open	—	04-09 10:37
will tisza win at least 100 seats	2	$391	298	298	+0	open	—	04-07 22:36
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	2	$380	400	400	+0	open	—	03-29 18:57
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	4	$369	273	273	+0	open	—	06-09 21:57
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	4	$319	260	260	+0	open	—	04-21 15:01
iran closes its airspace by june 8	4	$316	290	290	+0	open	—	06-07 22:59
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	3	$303	185	185	+0	open	—	03-22 22:11
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 5, 2026?	2	$300	359	0	+359	open	—	04-05 11:19
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	2	$285	502	502	+0	open	—	04-15 11:05
will israel strike 2 countries in march 2026	4	$268	719	719	+0	open	—	03-09 18:24
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	3	$262	212	212	+0	open	—	03-08 23:15
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	4	$253	4,806	130	+4,676	open	—	03-23 23:45
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	2	$247	588	588	+0	open	—	04-12 22:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 23:28:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	256	32¢	$82	0x7f6813…
06-18 23:28:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	625	14¢	$88	0x517cf0…
06-18 23:28:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	173	55¢	$95	0x10c431…
06-18 23:20:43	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	No	SELL	118	95¢	$112	0xb09823…
06-18 17:14:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	625	16¢	$100	0x3827ec…
06-18 17:12:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x1c7217…
06-18 17:12:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	173	58¢	$100	0x65fb6d…
06-18 11:33:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	170	31¢	$53	0xb044b2…
06-17 16:20:07	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	SELL	111	18¢	$20	0x3b9010…
06-16 20:34:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	123	100¢	$123	0x81a485…
06-16 20:34:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	317	99¢	$316	0x03bf51…
06-15 21:59:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	109	98¢	$107	0xd7d1f8…
06-15 20:48:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	667	21¢	$140	0x4c1211…
06-14 21:46:21	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	170	59¢	$100	0xf9cf4d…
06-14 21:40:57	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x7f6591…
06-14 21:34:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	667	30¢	$200	0x13e217…
06-14 21:33:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x737810…
06-14 21:33:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x55e758…
06-14 21:33:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	317	63¢	$200	0x818138…
06-14 18:17:30	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	BUY	230	43¢	$100	0xcd0f1a…
06-13 17:20:49	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	112	50¢	$57	0x3141c9…
06-12 09:50:16	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	Yes	SELL	169	5¢	$8	0x9487be…
06-10 16:17:49	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	Yes	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x77e8f8…
06-10 16:17:31	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	Yes	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0x140d04…
06-09 21:57:46	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	141	77¢	$109	0x30eeca…
06-08 11:40:34	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	SELL	255	6¢	$15	0xde38a9…
06-08 11:08:39	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x9bd041…
06-08 08:51:27	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	255	39¢	$100	0x555f3c…
06-08 08:50:21	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	132	46¢	$61	0x184c9c…
06-08 08:24:09	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x3ecab3…
06-07 22:59:01	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	118	99¢	$117	0x9f6268…
06-07 22:58:40	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0x297422…
06-07 22:58:30	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	115	100¢	$114	0xef29ee…
06-07 22:57:51	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0xe5b91d…
06-07 21:15:16	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xd3e675…
06-07 20:51:16	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xbfcefb…
06-07 20:50:43	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xc00f41…
06-07 20:30:19	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	172	52¢	$89	0x7efabc…
06-07 14:39:36	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	172	6¢	$10	0xbded97…
06-01 16:52:07	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	167	90¢	$150	0x3a381d…
05-28 06:31:48	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0xf49078…
05-26 20:55:57	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x96a297…
05-24 18:29:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	131	91¢	$119	0x7023f7…
05-24 18:29:03	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	132	35¢	$46	0xf808e2…
05-24 16:16:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	182	13¢	$24	0x5ea033…
05-23 20:45:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x504067…
05-23 17:25:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	131	76¢	$100	0x26c7a2…
05-23 17:24:53	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x7b5e1b…
05-15 00:32:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	294	36¢	$106	0x4351d4…
05-12 20:46:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	294	4¢	$12	0x082e73…
05-08 00:00:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	294	17¢	$50	0x75c201…
05-07 23:59:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0xdb1149…
05-04 17:30:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	370	31¢	$115	0x5def10…
05-04 17:29:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	496	59¢	$291	0xf67407…
05-04 15:19:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0xe901e4…
05-02 23:43:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	496	40¢	$200	0xd5c304…
04-29 21:05:18	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	412	100¢	$411	0xc127dd…
04-25 21:50:30	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xe911dd…
04-24 07:43:16	Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	No	SELL	122	99¢	$121	0xc85496…
04-23 21:46:32	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	1,034	32¢	$331	0xfca268…
04-23 21:41:46	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	1,034	29¢	$300	0x0dc52e…
04-22 02:05:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	119	100¢	$118	0x92fbff…
04-21 22:16:54	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,413	15¢	$212	0x3751be…
04-21 15:01:42	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0x264bee…
04-19 16:33:42	Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x182ac4…
04-18 21:36:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	88	24¢	$21	0x17e2cc…
04-17 13:57:18	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	229	63¢	$144	0xd63da3…
04-17 13:07:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0xafc071…
04-16 18:10:50	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	723	28¢	$200	0x57f7e5…
04-16 18:09:30	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	229	44¢	$100	0xb4fbc4…
04-16 18:08:38	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	690	29¢	$200	0xe0be3b…
04-16 17:30:14	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x706d85…
04-16 15:42:04	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	SELL	1,123	6¢	$67	0x8a3654…
04-16 15:41:16	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	No	BUY	1,123	9¢	$100	0x08edd4…
04-16 06:05:30	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	SELL	159	100¢	$159	0x588582…
04-15 21:10:44	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	412	73¢	$300	0x2e1dcb…
04-15 18:07:52	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0xea6293…
04-15 14:29:54	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	SELL	353	49¢	$174	0x70281f…
04-15 13:31:50	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	353	28¢	$100	0x1838f2…
04-15 11:05:40	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	502	17¢	$85	0x06ce38…
04-14 20:51:14	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	140	71¢	$100	0x58098c…
04-14 17:01:20	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,493	3¢	$100	0xc09418…
04-14 16:57:56	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1,017	7¢	$71	0x5d4719…
04-14 16:57:32	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	120	24¢	$29	0x6a399e…
04-14 16:57:10	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	53	20¢	$11	0x185a6b…
04-12 22:20:01	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	Yes	SELL	588	25¢	$147	0xd024cf…
04-12 22:19:11	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	516	95¢	$488	0x7fb7e5…
04-12 18:43:45	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	303	97¢	$294	0x877cdf…
04-12 13:09:51	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xa40ce9…
04-12 13:02:25	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	120	42¢	$50	0xb02704…
04-12 12:35:23	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	502	40¢	$200	0xe10f3d…
04-12 12:24:09	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	Yes	BUY	588	17¢	$100	0x8220b6…
04-12 02:05:19	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x1fdf95…
04-12 01:24:55	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xd18f81…
04-12 01:17:27	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0xbac346…
04-11 17:34:53	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	338	75¢	$254	0xe953b1…
04-10 13:34:53	Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x53d04d…
04-09 21:56:45	Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on April 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x784e8a…
04-09 18:15:33	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	338	59¢	$200	0xe19615…
04-09 17:12:17	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	113	89¢	$100	0xd7c6f8…