Variable-Flag — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

42.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$229

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-11

last 06-09 06:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 33% $-16

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-12	$-1	5¢	$-1	+$0	06-07 16:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	4	$63	48	48	+0	Up	+$33	05-12 06:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	2	$38	91	91	+0	No	$-2	05-12 06:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 11?	2	$20	20,000	0	+20,000	Yes	$-20	05-11 16:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$20	120	0	+120	Down	$-20	05-11 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	2	$15	22	0	+22	Down	$-15	05-11 18:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 12?	1	$10	3,657	0	+3,657	Yes	$-10	05-11 16:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$10	617	0	+617	open	—	05-22 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$10	28	0	+28	Up	+$18	05-11 16:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$10	515	0	+515	open	—	06-02 10:22
btc updown 5m 1780985100	2	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	06-09 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	open	—	06-02 10:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-22 04:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	05-14 02:22
btc updown 5m 1780848000	1	$5	20	0	+20	open	—	06-07 16:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	$-1	05-11 18:30
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	1	$1	20	0	+20	open	—	05-24 16:48
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	1	$1	0	12	-12	open	—	06-07 16:01
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	1	$0	0	143	-143	open	—	06-09 06:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 06:10:43	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	143	0¢	$0	0x3c6c16…
06-09 06:05:13	btc updown 5m 1780985100	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x594806…
06-09 06:05:12	btc updown 5m 1780985100	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x0d096f…
06-07 16:02:57	btc updown 5m 1780848000	Up	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x537121…
06-07 16:01:45	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0x4acf42…
06-02 10:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x80996a…
06-02 10:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xb88ee0…
06-02 10:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x21ec65…
05-24 16:48:34	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xaa0d48…
05-22 10:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x53e243…
05-22 10:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	117	4¢	$5	0xbe2ae0…
05-22 04:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x2ea476…
05-14 02:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xf8ebe5…
05-12 06:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	48	99¢	$48	0xb85762…
05-12 06:06:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	91	20¢	$18	0xc849e7…
05-12 06:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xeb7edd…
05-12 06:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x34d049…
05-12 06:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x94895d…
05-12 04:34:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0x0f34c6…
05-11 18:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xea7993…
05-11 18:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6f0390…
05-11 18:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xddbafe…
05-11 18:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x7c1353…
05-11 18:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3deb85…
05-11 16:51:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	15,000	0¢	$15	0x1797a6…
05-11 16:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x713826…
05-11 16:01:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	3,657	0¢	$10	0x49172c…
05-11 16:00:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x77dd32…