Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-09

last 11-03 06:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Other

86% 79% +$56

Politics

11% 50% +$0

Sports

3% 0% -$59

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	5	$245	126	126	+0	Yes	+$8	11-03 04:06
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	4	$194	98	98	+0	Yes	+$2	10-31 05:37
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	2	$160	80	80	+0	Yes	$0	10-25 20:54
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	3	$142	76	76	+0	Yes	+$10	10-28 14:29
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$91	95	0	+95	Yes	+$4	10-28 16:39
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$79	83	0	+83	Yes	+$4	10-31 14:32
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	6	$72	88	0	+88	Yes	+$16	10-23 10:26
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 28?	3	$71	37	37	+0	Yes	+$3	10-28 12:22
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	2	$70	80	0	+80	Yes	+$10	07-14 20:37
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$59	64	0	+64	No	-$59	07-19 21:34
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 30?	2	$54	28	28	+0	Yes	+$0	10-30 17:39
Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	3	$54	57	0	+57	open	—	11-01 15:16
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 29?	3	$45	60	0	+60	Yes	+$15	10-29 06:36
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 30?	3	$45	47	0	+47	Yes	+$2	10-30 05:45
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 28?	3	$44	23	23	+0	Yes	+$1	10-28 06:00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 28?	4	$39	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	10-28 16:15
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	2	$34	18	18	+0	Yes	+$1	10-23 06:25
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 28?	3	$31	16	16	+0	Yes	+$1	10-28 16:15
Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	3	$21	22	0	+22	Yes	+$1	10-26 19:00
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 29?	3	$20	22	22	+0	No	-$20	10-29 03:28
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 30?	2	$18	11	11	+0	No	-$2	10-30 05:46
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 31?	2	$16	10	10	+0	Yes	-$4	10-31 06:54
Will "Surviving Hurricane Otis" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	11-03 06:04
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	1	$11	17	0	+17	Yes	+$7	07-09 20:49
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 27?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	10-28 01:44
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 26?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	10-26 07:47
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 29?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	10-29 12:59
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 26?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	10-26 07:47
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C on October 31?	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	+$1	10-31 06:23
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on November 1?	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	-$10	11-01 05:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 06:04:46	Will "Surviving Hurricane Otis" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xe8e94c…
11-03 04:06:51	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	126	100¢	$126	0x610431…
11-02 04:44:04	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	45	94¢	$42	0x270c83…
11-01 18:31:40	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x48b358…
11-01 18:31:36	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x1f5f5b…
11-01 16:02:43	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x1e233c…
11-01 15:16:55	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xe01a2f…
11-01 13:57:30	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xc7f4f9…
11-01 13:56:30	Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x8fb327…
11-01 09:50:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x516257…
11-01 07:53:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x94c576…
11-01 06:29:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x78081c…
11-01 05:35:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1d899d…
11-01 05:23:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1a2d59…
10-31 14:32:16	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$29	0x3f2a49…
10-31 06:57:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 31?	Yes	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0x902375…
10-31 06:54:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 31?	Yes	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0x79481c…
10-31 06:53:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xa8e3c3…
10-31 06:23:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 12°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x04d7b3…
10-31 06:15:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x69038e…
10-31 05:55:30	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x89bc54…
10-31 05:37:06	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0xce1ac7…
10-30 19:07:06	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	99¢	$67	0x5c8fd2…
10-30 17:57:31	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x1f80bc…
10-30 17:57:30	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0xd3260f…
10-30 17:39:03	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$27	0x6416da…
10-30 11:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0xa84aa4…
10-30 06:29:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x40a86a…
10-30 05:46:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	11	74¢	$8	0xe1363d…
10-30 05:46:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb570a1…
10-30 05:45:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x4de213…
10-30 05:28:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x116000…
10-30 05:13:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x8ae95b…
10-30 05:12:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x597e02…
10-30 04:59:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x831a73…
10-29 12:59:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x77f6cf…
10-29 12:48:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x93917a…
10-29 06:36:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x4a0d13…
10-29 06:36:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	30	75¢	$23	0x086016…
10-29 06:36:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x002db6…
10-29 05:37:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa2d724…
10-29 05:24:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x444b9d…
10-29 03:35:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x45c253…
10-29 03:28:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	22	2¢	$0	0xe052ee…
10-29 01:55:28	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x7a4ba0…
10-29 01:54:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x2c10e2…
10-28 16:39:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	95	95¢	$91	0x2a5113…
10-28 16:15:43	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x1398c6…
10-28 16:15:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x4192d7…
10-28 14:36:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x7b2d44…
10-28 14:36:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6f099a…
10-28 14:36:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2fa579…
10-28 14:29:59	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x3000d7…
10-28 12:42:50	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	29	90¢	$26	0x396f74…
10-28 12:29:35	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x22ba4c…
10-28 12:25:29	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3b11e5…
10-28 12:22:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x688910…
10-28 12:18:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0x40d111…
10-28 06:28:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xfc3a78…
10-28 06:00:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	28	93¢	$26	0x5470e3…
10-28 06:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	23	99¢	$22	0x60f002…
10-28 05:12:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x5f3066…
10-28 04:52:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x5fed8c…
10-28 03:31:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xa4342d…
10-28 03:28:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x398d69…
10-28 01:44:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x244621…
10-27 20:08:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x51f128…
10-27 12:20:39	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0x38b385…
10-27 05:41:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf80194…
10-27 05:39:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x8976ff…
10-27 05:28:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x8ce8d6…
10-26 19:00:06	Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xe31fe5…
10-26 16:33:39	Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x1dcd63…
10-26 16:26:11	Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x21ce56…
10-26 07:47:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe06f6c…
10-26 07:47:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x43e2b2…
10-26 05:40:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x78a7c0…
10-26 05:39:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x025747…
10-25 20:54:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	80	99¢	$80	0x9eff1d…
10-24 20:41:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x0f8ef6…
10-23 10:26:08	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xb3801a…
10-23 10:24:30	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	82¢	$3	0x0ccfc5…
10-23 10:21:00	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0xf67435…
10-23 10:21:00	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$9	0x484b5b…
10-23 08:55:11	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0xd04546…
10-23 07:45:20	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	19	86¢	$16	0x011f36…
10-23 06:25:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	18	98¢	$17	0x1c4566…
10-22 07:46:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0x32db2d…
07-19 21:34:28	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	42	92¢	$38	0x282148…
07-19 21:34:28	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x226300…
07-14 20:37:52	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	3	88¢	$2	0x5d27e9…
07-14 20:37:50	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	77	87¢	$68	0x7e33b8…
07-09 20:49:23	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	17	61¢	$11	0x6e6e40…