Slight-Precipitation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.8%

Resolved

Trades

331

lifetime

Volume

$3.98K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 05-16 04:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

68% 50% +$0

Crypto

22% 100% +$0

Sports

5% 0% $-0

Politics

4% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Enrique Valderrama finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$62	31	31	+0	open	—	04-12 23:44
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$59	30	30	+0	open	—	02-04 06:42
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 4?	2	$58	29	29	+0	open	—	05-04 13:57
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 5 2026 15c	1	$58	58	0	+58	open	—	04-05 07:41
will gold gc hit high 5600 by end of march	1	$55	56	0	+56	open	—	03-30 04:42
ethereum above 2600 on april 20	2	$54	27	27	+0	open	—	04-20 05:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 16?	2	$51	25	25	+0	open	—	05-16 04:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 16?	2	$49	25	25	+0	open	—	05-15 22:56
highest temperature in singapore on april 22 2026 28c	2	$49	24	24	+0	open	—	04-22 03:05
highest temperature in madrid on april 4 2026 20c	1	$48	49	0	+49	open	—	04-04 02:47
highest temperature in busan on april 18 2026 16c	2	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	04-17 23:25
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on April 26?	2	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	04-26 08:28
Will Germany strike Iran by April 30?	4	$47	24	24	+0	open	—	04-29 00:01
highest temperature in taipei on april 24 2026 21c	2	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	04-24 10:22
highest temperature in dallas on april 20 2026 84 85f	5	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	04-20 00:51
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	6	$45	23	23	+0	open	—	04-27 01:47
will the price of solana be between 100 110 on april 22	4	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	04-22 03:47
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 1?	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	05-01 22:37
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 3 2026 19c	1	$43	43	0	+43	open	—	04-03 04:24
highest temperature in helsinki on april 24 2026 15c	7	$43	21	21	+0	open	—	04-24 10:04
highest temperature in paris on april 21 2026 11c	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	04-21 06:17
highest temperature in london on april 24 2026 22c	3	$41	20	20	+0	open	—	04-24 11:07
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by April 30?	2	$41	20	20	+0	open	—	04-30 06:49
will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on april 7	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	04-07 03:14
highest temperature in beijing on april 19 2026 29corhigher	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-19 19:04
will paul hounkp be the next president of benin	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-17 22:07
highest temperature in nyc on april 11 2026 70 71f	1	$39	39	0	+39	open	—	04-11 04:22
Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	4	$38	19	19	+0	No	+$0	05-06 11:08
israel military action against fordow nuclear facility by april 15	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-16 00:34
highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 11c	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-22 03:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 04:43:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 16?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xfd0cd1…
05-15 23:54:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xb6d438…
05-15 22:56:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 16?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xfbd782…
05-15 14:59:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xde52c2…
05-15 13:14:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 11 2026?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x02ac8e…
05-15 06:33:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa31280…
05-14 01:01:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 14?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x09a2ac…
05-11 03:07:34	Will XRP dip to $1.20 May 4-10?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x9256c0…
05-10 22:56:51	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8c2430…
05-10 15:50:23	Will XRP dip to $1.20 May 4-10?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xaceeb4…
05-10 13:20:52	Will XRP dip to $1.20 May 4-10?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5b38b0…
05-10 08:21:56	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x487ff7…
05-10 06:30:45	Will XRP dip to $1.20 May 4-10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x25d16f…
05-09 02:04:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 9?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x05c46d…
05-08 16:39:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfeadb6…
05-07 01:38:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x77a4fd…
05-06 19:22:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 7?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x4e727b…
05-06 15:19:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 7?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x51abb7…
05-06 11:08:20	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x56b45e…
05-05 23:59:18	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1f070f…
05-05 23:51:54	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe1f3a2…
05-05 23:39:42	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 6?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x82a3ab…
05-05 23:13:50	Will the price of Solana be above $70 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x76049d…
05-05 20:58:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3af633…
05-05 20:06:54	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 6?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x0ada04…
05-05 17:02:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x289a46…
05-05 14:10:58	Uber # of trips above 5B in Q1?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xbaa008…
05-05 13:57:32	Will the price of Solana be above $70 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x80e9b5…
05-05 11:30:04	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xcc8fc1…
05-05 02:04:42	Uber # of trips above 5B in Q1?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd12bf7…
05-04 13:57:08	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 4?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x45a1d0…
05-03 19:20:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 4?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xfa345f…
05-03 17:30:04	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 4?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x3a755c…
05-03 10:22:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0a5ef1…
05-01 22:37:34	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of April 27 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xfb54f8…
05-01 22:37:18	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 1?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x1221dc…
05-01 12:06:14	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xf9f3e1…
05-01 08:45:30	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of April 27 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x727f59…
05-01 06:28:46	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe93062…
04-30 20:41:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xab8e36…
04-30 09:40:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0xe4c13a…
04-30 06:49:16	Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by April 30?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x48a0a8…
04-29 21:36:36	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x56d71d…
04-29 16:29:20	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x9c6256…
04-29 15:40:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 29?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x5c409a…
04-29 06:09:14	Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by April 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2da195…
04-29 00:28:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x3d55c8…
04-29 00:01:18	Will Germany strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x47ef2e…
04-29 00:00:50	Will Germany strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xe41ace…
04-28 22:50:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xbca42e…
04-28 22:46:18	Will Germany strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x1cd66e…
04-28 22:26:20	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xbe48d1…
04-28 20:00:16	Will Germany strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0xb5f1e4…
04-28 16:52:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4e08df…
04-27 16:17:22	Will Khamenei post 55-59 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9b02ac…
04-27 15:12:12	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 38°C or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xee5f5d…
04-27 14:34:48	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on April 27?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x24e88f…
04-27 14:34:40	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on April 27?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x512450…
04-27 14:23:26	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 94°F or higher on April 27?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc04d9c…
04-27 14:23:24	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 94°F or higher on April 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xcfff6a…
04-27 14:16:42	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 94°F or higher on April 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9ddd10…
04-27 14:16:42	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 94°F or higher on April 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3e24e6…
04-27 09:44:14	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on April 27?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x782b08…
04-27 09:04:24	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 94°F or higher on April 27?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf63565…
04-27 07:20:56	Will "Apex" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1f673e…
04-27 05:55:40	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x744123…
04-27 03:22:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa14e3f…
04-27 02:59:20	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x81be29…
04-27 02:53:24	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on April 27?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe434dc…
04-27 01:47:24	Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x538820…
04-27 01:12:14	Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf36271…
04-26 23:53:32	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on April 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1898c8…
04-26 23:52:16	Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6b5391…
04-26 23:52:16	Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2efc00…
04-26 23:48:56	Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xa64d2b…
04-26 22:21:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or below on April 27?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x7bbe71…
04-26 22:20:10	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on April 27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x737197…
04-26 22:20:08	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on April 27?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x208844…
04-26 22:19:58	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on April 27?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xb265aa…
04-26 22:19:54	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on April 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x722214…
04-26 22:19:54	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on April 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x54715c…
04-26 20:43:28	Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$22	0x8d2cc8…
04-26 19:26:22	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on April 27?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xcf6214…
04-26 17:57:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or below on April 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xde21a5…
04-26 14:18:38	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb0a1c9…
04-26 10:29:42	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 35°F or below on April 26?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x70f9d6…
04-26 09:21:20	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 10°C on April 26?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x059b54…
04-26 08:34:02	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 47°F or below on April 26?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xdff5f5…
04-26 08:32:46	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 2°C on April 26?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x6e0de9…
04-26 08:28:54	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on April 26?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xcd5ddf…
04-26 02:57:38	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 10°C on April 26?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0xfc1803…
04-25 23:20:38	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 47°F or below on April 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4bcb9e…
04-25 20:10:34	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 35°F or below on April 26?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x36262f…
04-25 18:37:02	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 2°C on April 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8b3836…
04-25 14:44:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on April 26?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x5a1602…
04-25 12:38:30	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on April 26?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x5c492d…
04-25 12:38:30	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on April 26?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x0a675a…
04-25 11:27:50	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on April 26?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8f79ba…
04-25 04:41:58	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on April 25?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xfd329c…
04-25 00:48:08	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on April 25?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xcf6456…