Giant-Intention — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

77.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$948

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 07-11 20:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

93% 100% +$0

Other

4% 100% +$0

Politics

3% 0% $-1

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	+1	$1	98¢	$1	$-0	07-11 20:38
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	+2	$1	94¢	$1	+$0	07-11 20:39
Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	+1	$1	97¢	$1	$-0	07-11 20:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba dal mem 2026 03 12	1	$872	2,564	0	+2,564	open	—	03-12 21:34
Will Strasbourg win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	4	$13	6,360	6,360	+0	open	—	03-24 15:36
Trump out as President by May 31?	3	$12	7	5	+1	open	—	05-20 20:27
Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$8	3,837	3,837	+0	open	—	03-24 15:31
will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	03-23 18:04
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-23 18:04
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 18:04
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-23 18:04
will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-25 22:21
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-25 22:21
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-04 19:17
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	07-11 20:38
us x iran meeting by february 28 2026	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	02-15 08:08
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	07-11 20:39
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	06-07 19:09
will jessie buckley win best actress at the 98th academy awards	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-12 16:36
Will Venezuela become 51st state?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	07-11 20:39
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	07-11 20:40
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-20 20:32
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-20 20:31
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 20 39	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-25 22:21
will israel nuke iran by january 31	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-25 22:21
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-04 19:13
will xrp reach 4 in february 2026	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	02-15 08:08
highest temperature in nyc on february 16 2026 31forbelow	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	02-15 08:10
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-25 22:21
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	02-15 08:08
2026 valero texas open top10 ludvig aberg	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-04 19:13
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	02-15 08:08
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	04-04 19:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-11 20:42:43	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x01e46c…
07-11 20:40:32	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xab29f1…
07-11 20:40:05	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x27a5ec…
07-11 20:39:41	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0x62f0b7…
07-11 20:39:02	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x57c78b…
07-11 20:38:25	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4c443a…
06-07 19:09:34	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x88b48f…
05-20 20:32:30	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbc6694…
05-20 20:31:44	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0e449f…
05-20 20:27:06	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6f7022…
05-14 17:02:34	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb85c56…
05-05 17:55:52	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x596214…
04-04 19:17:53	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0x098ee3…
04-04 19:17:41	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xd5a6c0…
04-04 19:14:19	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa2ab94…
04-04 19:13:47	2026 valero texas open top10 ludvig aberg	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x44b859…
04-04 19:13:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc9594d…
04-04 19:13:09	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x73ce67…
03-24 15:36:51	Will Strasbourg win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	SELL	1,774	0¢	$2	0x7dbfb2…
03-24 15:33:03	Will Strasbourg win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	SELL	4,570	0¢	$5	0x52da29…
03-24 15:31:41	Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	3,449	0¢	$3	0xd45945…
03-24 15:28:57	Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	388	0¢	$0	0x16b329…
03-24 13:08:49	Will Strasbourg win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0xcefa23…
03-23 20:21:23	Will Strasbourg win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	BUY	6,360	0¢	$6	0x48dda0…
03-23 20:20:37	Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,837	0¢	$4	0x1c6b5c…
03-23 18:04:47	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf68cc9…
03-23 18:04:31	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x02e0b0…
03-23 18:04:23	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1a71a4…
03-23 18:04:15	will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	Yes	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x32fc6a…
03-12 21:34:29	nba dal mem 2026 03 12	Grizzlies	BUY	2,564	34¢	$872	0xabac55…
03-12 16:41:03	will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x0cf4d5…
03-12 16:40:17	will don tracy be the republican nominee for senate in illinois	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8afc79…
03-12 16:37:25	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9cb1dd…
03-12 16:36:39	will jessie buckley win best actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4236a3…
03-12 16:35:43	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x69ef5d…
02-15 08:10:11	highest temperature in nyc on february 16 2026 31forbelow	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xeb0886…
02-15 08:09:17	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdb8df5…
02-15 08:08:57	us x iran meeting by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0x1c62c2…
02-15 08:08:41	Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc0bb36…
02-15 08:08:17	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8aa177…
02-15 08:08:07	will xrp reach 4 in february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x656e55…
01-25 22:21:58	will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc87b82…
01-25 22:21:32	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x36ef4d…
01-25 22:21:24	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1c6d57…
01-25 22:21:16	will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xd10964…
01-25 22:21:12	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 20 39	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9de58a…