Insistent-Balaclava — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$204

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.7%

Resolved

306

Trades

592

lifetime

Volume

$4.88K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 09-27 12:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 65% -$150

Sports

2% 44% -$40

Other

0% 0% -$7

Politics

0% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 22:45 UTC	2	$198	106	106	+0	Up	+$13	03-06 22:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 22:35 UTC	2	$179	94	94	+0	Up	+$7	03-06 22:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 22:30 UTC	2	$166	87	87	+0	Down	+$6	03-06 22:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 22:25 UTC	2	$136	81	81	+1	Down	+$24	03-06 22:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 22:10 UTC	2	$113	67	66	+1	Down	+$20	03-06 22:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 22:50 UTC	2	$105	56	55	+0	Up	+$5	03-06 22:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 18:35 UTC	2	$78	44	44	+0	Up	+$9	03-07 18:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 21:55 UTC	2	$73	39	39	+0	Up	+$4	03-06 22:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 07:40 UTC	5	$70	77	14	+62	Down	-$41	03-11 07:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 21:45 UTC	2	$66	35	35	+0	Up	+$2	03-06 21:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 22:15 UTC	2	$66	74	0	+74	Up	-$9	03-06 22:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 07:55 UTC	2	$63	35	35	+0	Up	+$6	03-07 08:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 07:50 UTC	2	$56	29	29	+0	Up	+$1	03-07 07:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 23:00 UTC	1	$55	108	0	+108	Up	-$55	03-06 23:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 01:50 UTC	2	$50	25	25	+0	Up	+$1	03-07 01:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 21:55 UTC	3	$50	26	26	+0	Up	+$2	03-07 21:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 07:40 UTC	2	$49	25	25	+0	Up	+$0	03-07 07:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 02:55 UTC	2	$47	28	28	+0	Down	+$8	03-08 02:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 07:00 UTC	2	$47	36	18	+18	Down	-$1	03-06 07:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 18:30 UTC	1	$43	68	0	+68	Up	-$43	03-07 18:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 01:55 UTC	2	$42	23	23	+0	Down	+$3	03-07 02:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 01:05 UTC	2	$42	22	22	+0	Down	+$2	03-07 01:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 09:20 UTC	4	$42	23	23	+0	Up	+$3	03-11 09:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 06:50 UTC	3	$41	21	21	+0	Down	+$1	03-06 06:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 06:40 UTC	2	$39	20	20	+0	Up	+$1	03-06 06:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 22:00 UTC	1	$38	47	0	+47	Up	+$9	03-06 22:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 12:15 UTC	4	$37	46	46	+0	Up	+$5	09-27 12:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 06:25 UTC	3	$37	21	21	+0	Down	+$6	03-06 06:30
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 06:35 UTC	2	$35	19	19	+0	Up	+$2	03-06 06:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 19:00 UTC	2	$35	20	19	+0	Down	+$4	03-07 19:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-27 12:30:50	Jets vs. Lions	Jets	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb56ffb…
09-27 12:27:35	nfl sea was 2026 09 27	Seahawks	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0xc86264…
09-27 12:22:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x35d3ef…
09-27 12:19:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 12:15 UTC	Up	SELL	9	96¢	$8	0xd80694…
09-27 12:19:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0xdfe544…
09-27 12:18:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 12:15 UTC	Down	SELL	37	34¢	$13	0xea0bb8…
09-27 12:16:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x515556…
09-27 12:13:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 12:10 UTC	Up	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0x2b8dc5…
09-27 12:12:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x38540e…
09-27 12:09:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 12:05 UTC	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xa2f7bf…
09-27 12:05:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x6ed9e2…
09-27 12:02:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xeb2b47…
09-27 11:56:23	nfl sea was 2026 09 27	Seahawks	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xa80709…
09-22 00:41:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x1217ec…
09-22 00:28:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x345635…
09-22 00:27:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xbe2169…
09-22 00:27:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x26bf28…
09-22 00:24:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:20 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7ca4d7…
09-22 00:22:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x417170…
09-22 00:18:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0xfa63dc…
09-22 00:17:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x10c1b5…
09-21 23:45:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xf8639c…
09-21 23:40:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 23:35 UTC	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x504f84…
09-21 23:39:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 23:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x355144…
09-21 23:36:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 23:35 UTC	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xec1646…
09-21 23:24:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 23:20 UTC	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x9ed3c5…
09-21 23:21:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xf65cdc…
09-21 23:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xeb22b6…
09-21 23:17:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xe03254…
09-21 23:08:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 23:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xcf3071…
09-21 23:06:06	mlb min sf 2026 09 21 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x4ef9e6…
09-21 23:02:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 23:00 UTC	Up	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0x6807f1…
09-21 23:01:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xaeffc7…
09-21 22:59:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 22:55 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf0bfd6…
09-21 22:57:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x57cf8d…
09-20 23:33:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x6fa94f…
09-20 23:30:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x31ea04…
09-20 23:28:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8eb5f8…
09-20 23:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x280b96…
09-20 23:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xb3ebb4…
09-20 23:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x64c7a5…
09-20 23:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x6487f4…
09-20 23:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x73e793…
09-20 23:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xeea0a9…
09-20 23:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x451ce1…
09-20 23:03:25	Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?	No	BUY	35	18¢	$6	0x00a458…
05-12 05:57:38	Counter-Strike: Heroic vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Heroic	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xcf35a2…
05-12 05:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x92a23c…
05-12 04:53:19	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x2f3572…
05-12 04:51:51	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	SELL	33	44¢	$15	0xde0cd3…
05-12 04:50:03	Counter-Strike: Heroic vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Heroic	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x7b0b1e…
05-12 04:49:23	San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	San Francisco Giants	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xbf49c4…
05-12 04:43:15	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	40¢	$3	0xed517f…
05-12 04:41:55	XRP Up or Down - May 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x70b90d…
05-12 04:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x72cb95…
05-12 04:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2d460b…
05-12 04:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xca1603…
05-12 04:33:15	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	33	24¢	$8	0x0f1eed…
05-02 07:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xdb8a0d…
05-02 07:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x06e52e…
05-02 07:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x31af49…
05-02 07:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	15	36¢	$5	0x1eef5b…
05-02 07:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xedb614…
05-02 07:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x1b99c9…
04-30 06:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0xc24f24…
04-25 03:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x39a25f…
04-25 03:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x49265b…
04-25 03:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x9f67df…
04-25 03:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xb323d6…
03-30 21:08:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0xa2667c…
03-30 20:23:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x375100…
03-30 20:22:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdef93e…
03-30 20:21:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x7ae681…
03-30 20:20:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 20:15 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xf58ac5…
03-30 20:18:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x2c302b…
03-30 20:12:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x8a8f83…
03-30 20:05:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x3480b6…
03-30 20:04:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 20:00 UTC	Up	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0x090a3a…
03-30 20:03:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x56e127…
03-30 20:02:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0xbee2fe…
03-30 20:02:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x782545…
03-30 19:59:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x833cbf…
03-30 05:55:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 05:50 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1e7a2e…
03-30 05:54:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 05:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7d939f…
03-30 05:51:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 05:50 UTC	Up	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0xfcf8b7…
03-30 05:51:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	13	27¢	$3	0x6832cc…
03-30 05:48:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xc3d5bf…
03-30 05:44:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x9d2ce5…
03-30 05:43:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xa02bc1…
03-30 05:39:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 05:35 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa2b49f…
03-30 05:39:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb19dad…
03-30 05:35:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 05:30 UTC	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x09bd54…
03-30 05:34:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x980ca2…
03-30 05:30:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 05:25 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6c3e07…
03-30 05:29:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x0d59fc…
03-30 05:20:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 05:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	86¢	$5	0xdf2f9d…
03-30 05:18:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x55d853…
03-30 05:14:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 05:10 UTC	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x539de9…
03-30 05:13:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xa34278…
03-30 05:12:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 05:10 UTC	Up	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0x4b26f5…