Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

93.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$252

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$12

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-17

last 10-28 17:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

71% 75% -$2

Politics

24% 71% +$8

Crypto

4% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+20	$11	57¢	$11	+$0	10-28 17:16
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+11	$1	8¢	$1	$0	10-28 17:24
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No	+50	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	10-28 17:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	4	$52	28	28	+0	No	+$0	10-26 21:55
odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 20 in february 158	2	$31	16	16	+0	Yes	+$1	02-18 11:44
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$27	20	20	+0	Yes	+$3	10-26 20:17
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$22	15	15	+0	No	+$2	10-26 20:17
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	1	$16	40	0	+40	open	—	10-28 17:22
trump out as president by march 31	2	$15	7	7	+0	No	+$0	03-11 11:55
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$11	20	0	+20	open	—	10-28 17:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 00:05 UTC	1	$11	15	0	+15	Up	+$4	02-18 00:08
mwoh swe lat 2026 02 17	2	$10	5	5	+0	Sweden	+$0	02-18 00:07
spx up or down on february 17 2026	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	02-18 00:07
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	2	$10	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	02-18 15:45
russia x ukraine ceasefire before us x iran ceasefire	1	$8	10	0	+10	No	+$1	03-25 16:12
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	1	$7	10	0	+10	Yes	+$3	03-25 16:09
meta up or down on february 17 2026	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	-$5	02-17 19:42
ndx up or down on february 17 2026	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	-$5	02-17 19:42
will israel strike gaza on february 18 2026	1	$4	15	0	+15	No	-$4	02-18 11:48
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$4	12	0	+12	Yes	+$8	02-18 15:45
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	1	$1	50	0	+50	open	—	10-28 17:19
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$1	11	0	+11	open	—	10-28 17:24
will israel strike gaza on february 16 2026	1	$1	93	0	+93	No	-$1	02-18 15:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 17:24:34	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x20a3b3…
10-28 17:22:46	Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	39¢	$16	0x703186…
10-28 17:19:11	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe83883…
10-28 17:16:37	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x58d7d4…
10-26 21:55:12	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0x62fd98…
10-26 21:55:09	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xf15b68…
10-26 21:55:09	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0x073fd3…
10-26 20:18:09	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	28	93¢	$26	0x69a0d0…
10-26 20:17:33	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0xe20985…
10-26 20:17:02	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	15	82¢	$12	0x3f7cb5…
10-26 15:03:09	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x7cdb6f…
10-26 15:00:57	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x5f0036…
03-25 16:12:15	russia x ukraine ceasefire before us x iran ceasefire	No	BUY	10	88¢	$8	0x842cf1…
03-25 16:09:59	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xc62d6a…
03-11 11:55:47	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x34c918…
02-18 15:45:54	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0x3e3b0b…
02-18 15:45:34	will israel strike gaza on february 16 2026	Yes	BUY	93	1¢	$1	0x9a8ce4…
02-18 15:45:20	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0xa13f39…
02-18 11:53:06	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xa9d62d…
02-18 11:52:16	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x846c33…
02-18 11:48:00	will israel strike gaza on february 18 2026	Yes	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0xff528b…
02-18 11:44:24	odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 20 in february 158	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x8cde21…
02-18 10:23:04	odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 20 in february 158	Yes	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x48186d…
02-18 00:08:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0x823c0b…
02-18 00:07:43	mwoh swe lat 2026 02 17	Sweden	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x628afd…
02-18 00:07:27	spx up or down on february 17 2026	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x02b8f4…
02-17 19:42:31	meta up or down on february 17 2026	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x81bf85…
02-17 19:42:03	ndx up or down on february 17 2026	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xd681e7…
02-17 19:41:03	spx up or down on february 17 2026	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3f4cb0…
02-17 19:39:57	mwoh swe lat 2026 02 17	Sweden	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x6ff3fa…