Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

56.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$267

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$12

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 07-15 17:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

61% 100% +$3

Politics

36% 0% $-3

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No		+8	$3	82¢	$7	+$4	05-29 22:31
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes		+27	$6	20¢	$5	$-1	07-10 05:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	1	$6	8	+8	open	—	04-21 16:55
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?	1	$6	8	+8	open	—	04-20 16:43
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 90 114	1	$6	8	+8	open	—	03-12 08:53
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	1	$6	27	+27	open	—	07-10 05:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	1	$6	8	+8	open	—	04-22 17:16
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	1	$6	8	+8	open	—	04-21 00:44
will the dhs shutdown last 60 days or more 988 872 151 791 415 422	1	$6	8	+8	open	—	03-04 01:47
military action against iran ends by may 31 2026	1	$6	11	+11	open	—	04-07 07:25
will tisza win 120 129 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	1	$6	8	+8	open	—	04-07 23:32
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	1	$6	11	+11	open	—	03-05 01:59
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 65 89	1	$6	8	+8	open	—	03-14 20:58
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 260 279	1	$6	8	+8	open	—	03-18 19:24
spy up or down on april 21 2026	1	$6	9	+9	open	—	04-21 08:45
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	1	$6	19	+19	open	—	03-01 23:40
russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 2 2026	1	$6	10	+10	open	—	02-28 15:36
will us or israel strike iran on march 5 2026	1	$6	28	+28	open	—	03-01 07:37
Will Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	1	$6	20	+20	open	—	03-01 15:38
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?	1	$6	8	+8	open	—	05-28 00:43
will steve jurvetson be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212490	1	$6	8	+8	open	—	06-11 09:32
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	1	$6	8	+8	open	—	03-23 17:04
moscow air traffic suspended by july 17 20260708152920012	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	07-11 05:02
msft above 410 on march 6 2026	1	$5	8	+8	open	—	03-05 10:07
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	05-28 08:44
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	03-05 18:15
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 260 279	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	04-08 07:34
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	03-04 09:51
trump approval up or down this week 857	1	$5	8	+8	open	—	03-14 02:58
will trump visit china by march 31	1	$5	9	+9	open	—	03-03 17:44
will donna miller be the democratic nominee for il 02 628	1	$5	9	+9	open	—	03-12 00:33
houthis successfully target shipping by march 31	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	03-19 22:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 17:03:41	israel closes its airspace by august 31	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0xd414a4…
07-15 05:03:34	will trump say make america great again during speech to the nation 20260713200621430	Yes	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x373907…
07-11 05:02:32	moscow air traffic suspended by july 17 20260708152920012	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xae5244…
07-10 05:01:07	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	27	22¢	$6	0x54d743…
07-07 04:51:59	will spy dip to 745 by july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x3bb4bb…
07-06 04:51:52	will spy dip to 730 by july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0xfc17cf…
06-11 09:32:07	will steve jurvetson be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212490	No	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x844987…
05-29 22:31:03	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	8	30¢	$3	0x4c70a7…
05-28 08:44:39	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xdeb4fc…
05-28 00:43:54	Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x177836…
05-27 16:40:12	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0xda6f0d…
05-18 13:47:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x19bc30…
05-11 10:20:42	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $112 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xa977f3…
04-25 08:57:58	Will Amanda De Ryk win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x467835…
04-24 08:28:30	will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xd8473a…
04-23 06:20:12	Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	No	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0x1adbc6…
04-22 17:16:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xf9d611…
04-22 08:59:16	Will Encore Medical’s market cap be less than $45M at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x0cf047…
04-22 00:56:30	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x2523f4…
04-21 16:55:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xc75f13…
04-21 08:45:08	spy up or down on april 21 2026	Up	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x01cbf9…
04-21 00:44:56	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	No	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0xb97583…
04-20 16:43:32	Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xc56795…
04-11 19:37:21	will bernard drainville be the next premier of quebec following the 2026 caq leadership elections	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xd3917d…
04-08 23:58:03	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x0bf6cc…
04-08 15:34:31	Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	Yes	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0xaebb44…
04-08 07:34:01	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 260 279	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x192475…
04-07 23:32:07	will tisza win 120 129 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	No	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x57e9d5…
04-07 15:29:27	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	9	29¢	$3	0x979aa8…
04-07 07:25:11	military action against iran ends by may 31 2026	Yes	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x530ce6…
03-24 11:53:27	will tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in q1 2026	Yes	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0xdb1490…
03-23 17:04:13	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0xc342a0…
03-23 08:08:03	will iran strike safaniya field by march 31	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xc6ea4c…
03-20 09:04:01	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 90 114	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x9704eb…
03-19 22:38:01	houthis successfully target shipping by march 31	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x0879a9…
03-19 12:39:39	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0x9ca63e…
03-18 19:24:01	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 260 279	No	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x48da61…
03-17 03:41:55	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x34a27d…
03-16 02:47:31	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	No	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xb93704…
03-15 16:49:11	will the us tariff rate on china be between 5 and 15 on march 31	No	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0xc5b2cf…
03-15 07:35:03	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 300 319	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$1	0x06657c…
03-14 20:58:15	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 65 89	No	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x412906…
03-14 11:43:25	Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	No	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x0355a2…
03-14 02:58:43	trump approval up or down this week 857	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xcaa146…
03-13 01:18:23	will russia capture sofiivka by march 31	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xcdfba3…
03-12 16:56:23	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xc5e860…
03-12 08:53:35	elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 90 114	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x065b42…
03-12 00:33:49	will donna miller be the democratic nominee for il 02 628	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x2dcfaf…
03-11 08:21:19	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xab066d…
03-07 02:31:17	amzn close above 215 on march 9 2026	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x81268b…
03-06 18:30:35	djia up or down on march 9 2026	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb4a26a…
03-06 10:25:31	hood up or down on march 6 2026	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x32d676…
03-06 02:18:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x1f62d9…
03-05 18:15:51	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xecbdfb…
03-05 10:07:57	msft above 410 on march 6 2026	No	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x7d89ef…
03-05 01:59:07	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	Yes	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0xbe5b58…
03-04 17:58:05	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x4d173f…
03-04 09:51:27	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x25872c…
03-04 01:47:19	will the dhs shutdown last 60 days or more 988 872 151 791 415 422	No	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x290ef9…
03-03 17:44:37	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0x984628…
03-03 09:44:09	will annual inflation increase by 2pt4 in february 763 544 382 181	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xba6cf9…
03-01 23:40:51	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	No	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0x7578a3…
03-01 15:38:17	Will Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x30bb3b…
03-01 07:37:03	will us or israel strike iran on march 5 2026	No	BUY	28	21¢	$6	0xad08b2…
02-28 15:36:03	russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 2 2026	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x84cdf6…