Caring-Employ-Espalier — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13.0K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

Trades

514

lifetime

Volume

$7.16M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13.9K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 07-03 22:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

55% 90% +$5,650

Other

32% 100% +$4,125

Crypto

13% 100% +$3,180

Tech

0% 100% +$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	52	$914.4K	916,796	0	+916,796	Yes	+$2,417	06-17 11:31
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	45	$909.7K	912,925	0	+912,925	No	+$3,180	06-03 03:21
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	35	$906.5K	907,420	0	+907,420	No	+$907	05-12 02:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	74	$905.5K	906,452	0	+906,452	Yes	+$906	05-09 13:17
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	3	$902.5K	905,165	0	+905,165	Yes	+$2,705	05-04 04:55
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	93	$662.0K	662,710	0	+662,710	Yes	+$663	04-23 10:14
iran closes its airspace by june 15	36	$428.8K	429,241	0	+429,241	Yes	+$429	06-08 17:34
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	1	$409.5K	409,924	0	+409,924	Yes	+$410	05-30 01:48
iran closes its airspace by june 8	57	$299.4K	300,000	0	+300,000	Yes	+$600	06-08 17:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	1	$277.1K	277,368	0	+277,368	No	+$277	05-30 01:37
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	23	$133.6K	133,714	0	+133,714	Yes	+$134	04-24 03:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	1	$132.3K	132,455	0	+132,455	No	+$132	05-30 01:37
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	32	$99.4K	50,000	50,000	+0	No	-$223	06-17 09:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	1	$89.9K	90,039	0	+90,039	No	+$90	05-30 01:37
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	36	$68.1K	68,141	0	+68,141	Yes	+$68	04-23 10:09
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	7	$8.2K	4,234	4,234	+0	No	+$245	07-03 22:43
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?	1	$7.2K	7,174	0	+7,174	No	+$7	07-01 06:07
Will Perplexity have the highest private market valuation on June 30?	5	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	No	+$2	07-01 10:18
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?	1	$1.5K	1,462	0	+1,462	No	+$1	07-01 00:16
No one announced as next James Bond?	7	$1.3K	1,342	0	+1,342	Yes	+$1	07-01 06:53
anthropic openai vs meta higher valuation on june 30	3	$682	685	0	+685	Anthropic + OpenAI	+$3	07-01 13:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 22:43:14	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	4,234	100¢	$4,226	0xf82a88…
07-01 13:50:56	anthropic openai vs meta higher valuation on june 30	Anthropic + OpenAI	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x49f8a6…
07-01 13:49:10	anthropic openai vs meta higher valuation on june 30	Anthropic + OpenAI	BUY	490	100¢	$488	0x6c1ec2…
07-01 10:18:29	Will Perplexity have the highest private market valuation on June 30?	No	BUY	783	100¢	$782	0x6a8790…
07-01 10:11:46	Will Perplexity have the highest private market valuation on June 30?	No	BUY	1,700	100¢	$1,698	0xadb3d4…
07-01 06:53:04	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x01c363…
07-01 06:07:49	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?	No	BUY	7,174	100¢	$7,167	0x78f65b…
07-01 05:32:28	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x460492…
07-01 05:08:59	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x403efd…
07-01 02:19:04	Will Perplexity have the highest private market valuation on June 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6920b5…
07-01 01:47:26	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	208	100¢	$208	0x1dc1b1…
07-01 01:31:11	Will Perplexity have the highest private market valuation on June 30?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8c996a…
07-01 01:06:20	Will Perplexity have the highest private market valuation on June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x068628…
07-01 01:02:34	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1,000	93¢	$934	0xa195e0…
07-01 01:01:49	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd35cee…
07-01 00:37:19	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	200	90¢	$181	0x9741f4…
07-01 00:34:44	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	683	96¢	$653	0x6c0def…
07-01 00:34:01	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	755	95¢	$721	0x18b37c…
07-01 00:33:49	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	596	95¢	$568	0xc43a19…
07-01 00:32:04	anthropic openai vs meta higher valuation on june 30	Anthropic + OpenAI	BUY	185	100¢	$185	0x02827b…
07-01 00:18:55	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	1,007	100¢	$1,006	0xcb8c25…
07-01 00:17:32	No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xadaad4…
07-01 00:16:35	Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	1,462	100¢	$1,461	0x8b5868…
06-17 11:31:32	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	616,796	100¢	$616,179	0xac5a2e…
06-17 09:45:05	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	SELL	17,909	99¢	$17,711	0x441b3c…
06-17 09:41:31	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	SELL	32,091	99¢	$31,867	0x9ac34b…
06-16 23:15:02	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	50,166	99¢	$49,815	0xe570fd…
06-16 23:14:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x0fdcd1…
06-16 23:13:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	4,000	99¢	$3,972	0xc6cf08…
06-16 23:13:44	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	2,857	99¢	$2,837	0x888b76…
06-16 23:11:29	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	14,286	99¢	$14,186	0xbc3e99…
06-16 23:10:53	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	3,139	99¢	$3,117	0x061859…
06-16 23:09:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	2,857	99¢	$2,837	0x911316…
06-16 23:08:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x1d47d2…
06-16 23:08:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x781fe2…
06-16 23:08:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x7df27e…
06-16 23:07:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xa0bd3e…
06-16 23:07:08	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x7c12b8…
06-16 23:06:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	4,133	99¢	$4,104	0x961013…
06-16 23:05:47	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	4,286	99¢	$4,256	0x51641d…
06-16 23:04:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	13,990	99¢	$13,892	0x4fb072…
06-16 21:33:29	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	7,898	100¢	$7,867	0x09c48c…
06-16 21:20:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	325	100¢	$324	0x5f4268…
06-16 21:19:53	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	1,519	100¢	$1,513	0xc3cc84…
06-16 21:08:13	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0xede20e…
06-16 21:03:31	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	1,250	100¢	$1,245	0x37bb20…
06-16 21:01:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	10,752	99¢	$10,687	0x420318…
06-16 20:59:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$497	0x15de8f…
06-16 20:59:32	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	20,000	99¢	$19,880	0xf8f0f4…
06-16 20:59:20	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	833	99¢	$828	0xff7f82…
06-16 20:58:50	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	624	99¢	$620	0xd565e0…
06-16 20:58:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	12,500	100¢	$12,450	0x36eaf0…
06-16 20:58:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	833	99¢	$828	0xc224fc…
06-16 20:58:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	33,333	99¢	$33,133	0x6d8ea5…
06-16 20:58:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,667	99¢	$1,657	0x115e62…
06-16 20:58:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0x556453…
06-16 20:58:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x88d544…
06-16 20:58:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,000	99¢	$994	0x434951…
06-16 20:58:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	19,333	99¢	$19,217	0xd3e3d3…
06-16 20:57:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	667	99¢	$663	0xb076d5…
06-16 20:56:37	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0xf1f063…
06-16 20:56:05	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	833	99¢	$828	0x0178f1…
06-16 20:55:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	6,602	99¢	$6,562	0xb2e1a0…
06-16 20:55:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	2,048	99¢	$2,036	0xf9ef5d…
06-16 20:55:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	800	99¢	$795	0xcbc042…
06-16 20:53:44	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,960	0x6c418a…
06-16 20:49:04	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,490	0x4dbb38…
06-16 20:37:26	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,490	0x7cf78f…
06-16 20:32:31	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	1,250	100¢	$1,245	0x1d25ea…
06-16 20:17:04	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	185	100¢	$184	0xe93316…
06-16 20:13:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,369	100¢	$1,363	0x30198d…
06-16 20:12:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	900	100¢	$896	0x5cf099…
06-16 20:11:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	836	100¢	$832	0xde6153…
06-16 20:11:44	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x1516a9…
06-16 20:11:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	218	100¢	$217	0xe5848c…
06-16 20:10:47	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	3,450	100¢	$3,436	0xee0cd6…
06-16 20:10:11	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	410	100¢	$408	0x70f54d…
06-16 20:09:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	2,900	100¢	$2,886	0x1c98d4…
06-16 20:08:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$995	0xfeff3a…
06-16 20:07:58	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	248	100¢	$247	0x507bb5…
06-16 20:07:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$995	0x656984…
06-16 20:06:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	50,000	100¢	$49,750	0x02467b…
06-16 20:06:29	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x4aab1a…
06-16 20:05:17	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xd07391…
06-16 20:05:17	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0xb1a2aa…
06-16 20:05:17	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	13,000	100¢	$12,935	0x9ad9ff…
06-16 20:05:17	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x2dd008…
06-16 20:05:17	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x070a9a…
06-16 20:04:53	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	2,350	100¢	$2,338	0xcaa01d…
06-16 20:04:35	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,990	0xfd2a82…
06-16 20:04:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	23,117	99¢	$23,001	0x2b5312…
06-16 19:56:31	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	1,250	100¢	$1,245	0xe1b18b…
06-16 19:52:37	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x24ae32…
06-16 19:51:10	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x3c60a4…
06-16 19:47:25	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcca2f1…
06-16 19:47:13	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xdad80b…
06-16 19:47:13	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xb8fdd2…
06-16 19:47:13	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0xb70605…
06-16 19:47:13	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8861a4…
06-16 19:47:13	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6f8562…