Caring-Employ-Espalier — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.61K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

396

lifetime

Volume

$5.57M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14.1K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 06-08 17:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

52% 100% +$906

Other

41% 100% +$2,705

Crypto

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 141 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	35	$906.5K	907,420	+907,420	open	—	05-12 02:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	74	$905.5K	906,452	+906,452	Yes	+$906	05-09 13:17
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	3	$902.5K	905,165	+905,165	Yes	+$2,705	05-04 04:55
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	93	$662.0K	662,710	+662,710	open	—	04-23 10:14
iran closes its airspace by june 15	36	$428.8K	429,241	+429,241	open	—	06-08 17:34
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	1	$409.5K	409,924	+409,924	open	—	05-30 01:48
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	35	$354.8K	355,645	+355,645	open	—	06-03 03:21
iran closes its airspace by june 8	57	$299.4K	300,000	+300,000	open	—	06-08 17:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	1	$277.1K	277,368	+277,368	open	—	05-30 01:37
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	23	$133.6K	133,714	+133,714	open	—	04-24 03:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	1	$132.3K	132,455	+132,455	open	—	05-30 01:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	1	$89.9K	90,039	+90,039	open	—	05-30 01:37
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	36	$68.1K	68,141	+68,141	open	—	04-23 10:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 17:36:24	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	3,645	100¢	$3,637	0xfebc97…
06-08 17:35:58	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0x69fbcb…
06-08 17:34:51	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0x3d3c72…
06-08 17:34:31	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,996	0x1e3f09…
06-08 17:34:19	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xb531a0…
06-08 17:33:22	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x7c7dbb…
06-08 17:32:18	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x33b6b6…
06-08 17:31:33	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x12c610…
06-08 17:31:19	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x56749f…
06-08 17:31:19	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	3,000	100¢	$2,994	0x312422…
06-08 17:29:10	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0xd0fe70…
06-08 17:28:57	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x02b74b…
06-08 17:28:10	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x12c9e2…
06-08 17:27:03	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x48ad04…
06-08 17:23:19	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	3,000	100¢	$2,997	0x9564a4…
06-08 17:23:18	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	393	100¢	$392	0x5ff637…
06-08 17:22:48	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xbcaaa6…
06-08 17:22:30	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	11,562	100¢	$11,539	0x1d5b82…
06-08 17:17:46	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	216	100¢	$215	0x27ce08…
06-08 17:13:43	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	215	100¢	$215	0x46f015…
06-08 17:13:33	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,990	0x0a329e…
06-08 17:12:09	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x7b7fcf…
06-08 17:09:18	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0ecba1…
06-08 17:05:33	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	15,215	100¢	$15,185	0xa2c332…
06-08 17:04:27	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x673bc7…
06-08 17:03:42	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x2ae943…
06-08 17:03:37	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,495	0xfcb0ab…
06-08 16:57:42	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,996	0x4e381e…
06-08 16:57:00	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	101,000	100¢	$100,899	0x60bda4…
06-08 16:52:48	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,495	0x02016e…
06-08 16:50:57	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,990	0xdb2aab…
06-08 16:50:01	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6f3d33…
06-08 16:48:21	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x66f987…
06-08 16:46:30	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	47,500	100¢	$47,405	0x409a64…
06-08 16:45:22	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xbb85e9…
06-08 16:43:30	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x4748b3…
06-08 16:43:21	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0xb79ae4…
06-08 16:41:46	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x561f54…
06-08 16:41:19	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0x322801…
06-08 16:39:15	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	22,965	100¢	$22,919	0x069b76…
06-08 16:38:25	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xb002c1…
06-08 16:38:21	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0x3ce801…
06-08 16:38:10	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,980	0x433d87…
06-08 16:37:28	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,990	0x5cabf6…
06-08 16:37:06	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	40,000	100¢	$39,960	0xcf597e…
06-08 16:35:51	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	25,000	100¢	$24,950	0xcb3e67…
06-08 16:34:43	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,990	0x8a3ee5…
06-08 16:33:49	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	25,000	100¢	$24,950	0xaac5d1…
06-08 16:33:03	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	34,455	100¢	$34,386	0xefb4df…
06-08 16:31:21	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	740	100¢	$739	0x272faf…
06-08 16:31:00	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3e52d3…
06-08 16:29:43	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,495	0x671127…
06-08 16:29:15	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0xe5404c…
06-08 16:28:22	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0x4c2479…
06-08 16:27:09	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	10,710	100¢	$10,699	0x9f8c6e…
06-08 16:26:30	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1,500	100¢	$1,497	0xc92e19…
06-08 16:24:49	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	20,000	100¢	$19,980	0xaa27a0…
06-08 16:24:45	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	7,500	100¢	$7,485	0x3c4b6b…
06-08 16:24:31	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x67a0c9…
06-08 16:22:40	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,495	0xb4ca7f…
06-08 16:22:10	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	100,000	100¢	$99,900	0x6d4421…
06-08 16:20:13	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,990	0x3ca418…
06-08 16:19:04	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x352994…
06-08 16:17:01	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0xf6483d…
06-08 16:15:00	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	8,000	100¢	$7,992	0x6a62ae…
06-08 16:14:46	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xda29ae…
06-08 16:13:46	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	16,500	100¢	$16,467	0x7cae45…
06-08 16:13:33	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xcaa461…
06-08 16:13:22	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,495	0xaac74c…
06-08 16:13:07	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa720ed…
06-08 16:12:42	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xfeabc6…
06-08 16:12:06	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	14,000	100¢	$13,986	0xd16a87…
06-08 16:10:30	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	3,500	100¢	$3,493	0x99125a…
06-08 16:09:42	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,996	0xb0dbd7…
06-08 16:09:30	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0xc86992…
06-08 16:08:30	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	3,000	100¢	$2,997	0x54de0c…
06-08 16:08:24	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x459330…
06-08 16:07:51	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xacb7a5…
06-08 16:07:46	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	608	100¢	$607	0x8dbf46…
06-08 16:07:06	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xb1798b…
06-08 16:04:13	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	6,500	100¢	$6,487	0xeb0328…
06-08 16:03:51	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	30,000	100¢	$29,970	0x2e2d28…
06-08 16:02:28	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	50,000	100¢	$49,950	0x958187…
06-08 16:01:58	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0x013af0…
06-08 16:01:55	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0x004ba5…
06-08 16:01:45	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	7,500	100¢	$7,485	0x2c7f60…
06-08 15:59:25	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x93cb47…
06-08 15:59:18	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1,650	100¢	$1,646	0x0146f8…
06-08 15:53:34	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x2cdcc3…
06-08 15:51:12	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xb6476f…
06-08 15:23:25	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x3344d5…
06-08 15:23:06	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x43c960…
06-08 15:16:27	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x8b015f…
06-03 03:21:39	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xbd616b…
06-02 02:04:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	222,973	100¢	$222,527	0x526e46…
06-02 01:58:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10,758	100¢	$10,725	0xedb308…
06-02 01:58:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7,000	100¢	$6,979	0x026815…
06-02 01:57:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,667	100¢	$1,662	0x6b9054…
06-02 01:57:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	667	100¢	$665	0xf9c43d…
06-02 01:57:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$997	0x7cd667…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	13	$5.40M	4,790	06-08 06:18
Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e	13	$154.9K	2,045	06-08 23:58
Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935	12	$225.4K	620	06-08 15:54
Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b	12	$202.7K	524	06-07 16:03
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	12	$164.9K	11,075	06-07 22:50
(anonymous) 0x22f1…6415	12	$42.1K	5,925	06-07 22:39
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	12	$37.7K	134	06-08 20:17
Darling-Log 0x6e49…f1af	12	$35.5K	679	06-08 08:31