Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$128

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

55.0%

Resolved

Trades

239

lifetime

Volume

$2.80K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$64

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-25 21:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

50% 57% +$168

Politics

45% 17% -$304

Pop-Culture

5% — —

Crypto

0% 100% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+80	$52	66¢	$53	+$1	10-25 21:53
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No		+20	$11	56¢	$11	+$0	10-05 06:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	34	$543	622	622	+0	Yes	-$181	10-23 08:42
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	4	$482	300	300	+0	Yes	+$116	09-25 08:53
Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?	12	$446	357	357	+0	Yes	+$112	09-25 08:06
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	11	$307	190	190	+0	No	+$25	10-22 23:17
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	13	$225	250	250	+0	Yes	-$3	10-22 05:34
kanye west performs in russia by october 31	10	$141	460	460	+0	open	—	09-25 11:48
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?	2	$108	90	90	+0	No	+$45	09-20 12:57
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	2	$82	50	50	+0	open	—	09-27 20:06
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	81	$81	4,584	4,584	+0	No	-$24	10-21 18:35
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	7	$79	200	200	+0	Yes	-$47	09-21 22:29
Will New People (NL) finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow?	10	$64	438	438	+0	No	-$60	09-25 08:58
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$52	80	0	+80	open	—	10-25 21:53
Will the Russian Ecological Party “The Greens” win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?	5	$52	416	250	+166	No	-$50	09-21 14:14
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	3	$39	562	0	+562	Yes	-$39	09-20 14:34
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?	3	$22	20	20	+0	No	+$2	09-30 11:01
Will New People (NL) win fewer than 35 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	6	$19	200	150	+50	Yes	-$9	09-21 09:34
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	5	$12	434	0	+434	No	-$12	09-20 17:55
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$11	20	0	+20	open	—	10-05 06:48
Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?	16	$11	185	185	+0	open	—	10-24 12:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$10	30	0	+30	Up	+$7	10-04 08:58
Will the Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?	2	$5	200	111	+89	No	-$3	09-21 14:14
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$4	96	0	+96	Yes	-$4	03-01 00:45
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$3	20	0	+20	No	-$3	01-09 01:02
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	2	$2	30	30	+0	open	—	10-21 10:23
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026?	2	$1	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	10-04 08:15
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 5, 2026?	2	$1	15	15	+0	Yes	+$1	10-05 11:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 21:53:18	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	80	65¢	$52	0x3a420b…
10-24 12:57:08	Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	85	4¢	$3	0xb09fc0…
10-23 12:22:30	Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x1ae918…
10-23 08:42:03	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	177	4¢	$7	0x2fbdde…
10-23 08:41:44	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	216	4¢	$8	0xe9bcff…
10-22 23:17:08	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xfdb448…
10-22 23:17:08	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	No	SELL	39	85¢	$33	0x4ccef1…
10-22 18:02:02	Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x9dd52c…
10-22 18:02:02	Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x476a88…
10-22 18:02:00	Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xf3e901…
10-22 18:02:00	Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xc32a6b…
10-22 18:02:00	Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x689895…
10-22 17:59:39	Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x792024…
10-22 17:59:39	Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x37af50…
10-22 17:48:57	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xec0ecf…
10-22 15:36:27	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xb7461c…
10-22 15:12:26	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	42¢	$8	0x557698…
10-22 15:12:03	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x80d1e2…
10-22 15:11:08	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x292f0f…
10-22 15:10:51	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	37	57¢	$21	0x6bf110…
10-22 12:35:14	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0xa9f703…
10-22 12:25:44	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0x22eb3d…
10-22 05:34:17	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	18¢	$3	0x557694…
10-21 23:12:50	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xe139de…
10-21 21:55:35	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x77c464…
10-21 21:20:14	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	No	SELL	95	88¢	$84	0x58bbf6…
10-21 21:20:14	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	No	SELL	35	88¢	$31	0x17b577…
10-21 18:52:47	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x72bdbc…
10-21 18:51:48	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x80270e…
10-21 18:37:20	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	18¢	$5	0xe10469…
10-21 18:35:21	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,709	0¢	$3	0x063d4f…
10-21 18:31:17	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	28	18¢	$5	0xcab295…
10-21 17:56:36	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x08df88…
10-21 15:55:30	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xd6451a…
10-21 15:55:30	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	230	0¢	$0	0x843950…
10-21 15:55:30	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	162	0¢	$0	0x418d9d…
10-21 15:15:38	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x0e7eeb…
10-21 15:10:33	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	20¢	$5	0x2f29e3…
10-21 14:53:14	Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	16	4¢	$1	0x2a69ce…
10-21 14:22:35	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0xb5b49d…
10-21 14:17:32	Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0xd761a0…
10-21 14:11:45	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	41	0¢	$0	0xc371fc…
10-21 14:11:45	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0xbf63d4…
10-21 14:11:45	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	79	0¢	$0	0xa052e0…
10-21 14:11:41	Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xdeb1fd…
10-21 14:11:41	Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x2bdf33…
10-21 14:11:39	Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	33	4¢	$1	0x951381…
10-21 13:46:00	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x741c55…
10-21 11:33:15	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf15b94…
10-21 11:33:14	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x60e12d…
10-21 10:48:38	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	105	0¢	$0	0x2aebdc…
10-21 10:48:35	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	38	0¢	$0	0x424870…
10-21 10:48:30	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xdcc9c8…
10-21 10:48:30	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xa4e59d…
10-21 10:48:30	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa1acea…
10-21 10:48:30	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x5f9a11…
10-21 10:48:29	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	84	0¢	$0	0x6de87d…
10-21 10:23:08	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0xabac12…
10-21 06:40:32	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	189	0¢	$0	0x7d890f…
10-21 06:30:24	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xe5bdb1…
10-21 06:30:24	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xccc54a…
10-20 11:01:03	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	SELL	300	2¢	$6	0x41a4d5…
10-20 10:00:57	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x013b6f…
10-20 09:56:38	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	SELL	199	1¢	$2	0x636c85…
10-20 09:55:44	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0x1a88e4…
10-20 08:47:41	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0x0e897f…
10-20 08:47:32	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$3	0xdc8492…
10-19 16:33:39	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$3	0xf2c178…
10-19 13:13:36	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xc2c15a…
10-19 13:13:32	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xfa0da7…
10-19 13:13:32	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x9fdcc4…
10-19 13:13:32	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	36	0¢	$0	0x9efa4c…
10-19 13:13:23	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	88	0¢	$0	0x7adb86…
10-19 13:13:23	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0x765d8b…
10-19 05:54:50	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x9cf464…
10-19 04:07:21	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	139	0¢	$0	0xdf7ef2…
10-19 04:06:53	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	29	0¢	$0	0x0a0ec5…
10-18 23:47:15	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xfd435f…
10-18 23:47:15	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x3ead24…
10-18 23:25:35	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	106	0¢	$0	0x3a6442…
10-17 20:42:03	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x5bb33c…
10-17 15:39:41	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x0f9415…
10-15 16:21:52	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	106	82¢	$87	0x802d25…
10-15 10:31:11	Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xb34c02…
10-14 16:24:58	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	SELL	353	1¢	$2	0x33b9e6…
10-14 14:34:54	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xef0712…
10-14 14:34:54	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xe02722…
10-14 09:31:02	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x8c3558…
10-14 05:03:43	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0x613037…
10-13 16:08:10	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	190	1¢	$1	0x42ef46…
10-13 15:10:35	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x0c8353…
10-13 12:46:25	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe8351c…
10-13 12:46:25	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x4111d3…
10-13 12:46:25	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x2abf16…
10-13 12:46:25	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x0d6f23…
10-13 05:03:08	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xcda072…
10-13 05:03:05	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa86175…
10-12 18:32:29	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$4	0xba537f…
10-12 18:32:00	Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	149	2¢	$3	0xdd9b24…
10-12 18:22:41	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	31	71¢	$22	0x858664…