Sturdy-Clutch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.7%

Resolved

Trades

242

lifetime

Volume

$4.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 05-20 17:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

87% — —

Crypto

13% 82% $-3

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$1.7K	860	860	+0	open	—	04-16 17:46
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	20	$1.2K	1,800	1,800	+0	open	—	04-22 00:15
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	4	$746	436	436	+0	open	—	04-22 17:32
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?	2	$170	100	100	+0	open	—	04-22 17:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	2	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	05-04 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	2	$40	46	0	+46	open	—	04-30 05:59
btc updown 5m 1776438600	2	$37	20	20	+0	open	—	04-17 15:16
btc updown 5m 1776792600	2	$28	20	19	+1	open	—	04-21 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	1	$25	544	0	+544	open	—	04-30 05:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	4	$15	18	0	+18	open	—	05-04 02:02
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	1	$12	20	0	+20	open	—	04-27 06:47
btc updown 5m 1776792900	1	$12	30	0	+30	open	—	04-21 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	3	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	04-30 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$11	12	0	+12	open	—	05-03 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	5	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-04 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	4	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	05-04 02:19
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	04-21 17:17
Utah vs. Golden Knights	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	04-30 06:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$8	11	11	+0	open	—	04-30 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	3	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	05-04 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	05-04 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	2	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	05-04 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	6	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	04-30 07:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-30 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-04 00:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-30 05:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-30 05:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-04 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 16:20
Bruins vs. Sabres	1	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	04-28 21:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 17:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x091bb0…
05-19 04:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa8f69a…
05-19 04:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x793f30…
05-18 20:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9849f3…
05-18 14:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xde376f…
05-18 00:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdedd01…
05-15 14:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa00587…
05-15 03:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8e4bc6…
05-12 16:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x173b83…
05-12 16:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x967c21…
05-12 16:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x320e00…
05-11 17:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x79fef0…
05-11 17:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x8e2fea…
05-11 16:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x8ad5e2…
05-11 16:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xf1f6ab…
05-11 16:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x65b036…
05-11 16:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x712a99…
05-11 16:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xb02431…
05-11 16:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x2198a2…
05-11 16:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xf45e35…
05-11 16:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x164fd5…
05-11 15:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdda00f…
05-10 01:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xf28dda…
05-10 00:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x45500e…
05-09 03:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x70b157…
05-09 00:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xaabc33…
05-08 22:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9ef20a…
05-08 22:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x73bca1…
05-08 19:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x5b40e9…
05-08 17:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x643975…
05-08 06:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa4b96c…
05-04 16:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xc3846a…
05-04 16:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x1f3244…
05-04 16:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x3e67f7…
05-04 16:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4fdbcd…
05-04 16:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x6e046d…
05-04 16:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa2083d…
05-04 16:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x214a6b…
05-04 16:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x9e35c5…
05-04 15:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x17a4c0…
05-04 15:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x671228…
05-04 15:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb03518…
05-04 15:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x002f98…
05-04 04:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x94d2a6…
05-04 04:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x104940…
05-04 04:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x8fe02a…
05-04 03:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x52fd92…
05-04 03:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb001aa…
05-04 03:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf52394…
05-04 03:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x204b08…
05-04 03:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x0c36ac…
05-04 03:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4a04a1…
05-04 03:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x8b1fdf…
05-04 03:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdd75df…
05-04 03:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x02db49…
05-04 03:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x6fff6c…
05-04 03:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xadcc5b…
05-04 03:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6a8eac…
05-04 03:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x867b93…
05-04 03:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x38de0b…
05-04 03:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x1b1e9f…
05-04 03:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x03d3b8…
05-04 02:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x960871…
05-04 02:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x6ab2bd…
05-04 02:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdfe244…
05-04 02:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xaab609…
05-04 02:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc23c71…
05-04 02:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xbc24f2…
05-04 02:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xb62fd6…
05-04 02:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0xd783a7…
05-04 02:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xc4151e…
05-04 02:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x03e572…
05-04 02:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xf498ee…
05-04 02:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x8d92b8…
05-04 02:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x238b61…
05-04 02:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x6aecaf…
05-04 02:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xae63cd…
05-04 02:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xae954a…
05-04 02:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x3b4ede…
05-04 01:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb75dc6…
05-04 01:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x811617…
05-04 01:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x8084ff…
05-04 01:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x218260…
05-04 01:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x97cd18…
05-04 01:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x4f2fd1…
05-04 01:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa706a3…
05-04 01:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x748844…
05-04 01:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x3de198…
05-04 01:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x00b066…
05-04 01:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x2fca08…
05-04 01:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc839b6…
05-04 01:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x763582…
05-04 00:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9a2bbc…
05-04 00:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x727893…
05-04 00:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x48220f…
05-04 00:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x679994…
05-04 00:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xcdffc8…
05-04 00:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xa224ec…
05-04 00:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xda9377…
05-04 00:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x0e4bdb…