Sturdy-Clutch — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

80.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

12 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$29

$29 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$25

8 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-10 00:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

51% — —

Crypto

26% 75% $-1

Sports

23% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	-286	$-9	3¢	$-9	$-0	05-07 19:46
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	-250	$-4	2¢	$-5	$-0	05-07 19:46
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	-6	$-3	49¢	$-3	$-0	05-07 19:46
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	Yes	-5	$-2	50¢	$-2	+$0	05-07 19:46
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	-5	$-2	41¢	$-2	+$0	05-07 19:46
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	-30	$-2	5¢	$-2	+$0	05-07 19:46
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	-7	$-1	11¢	$-1	$-0	05-07 19:46
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	-10	$-1	8¢	$-1	$-0	05-07 19:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 00:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x45500e…
05-09 03:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x70b157…
05-09 00:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xaabc33…
05-08 06:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa4b96c…
05-07 19:46:32	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	286	3¢	$9	0xb5db91…
05-07 19:46:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xa78166…
05-07 19:46:23	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0xb5b94f…
05-07 19:46:16	Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$2	0x53345a…
05-07 19:46:13	Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0xc58f8e…
05-07 19:46:09	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x882fb7…
05-07 19:46:06	Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xb81202…
05-07 19:46:00	Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	250	2¢	$4	0xa83bf8…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	4	$1.08K	17	05-10 00:13
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	4	$883	78	05-10 00:15
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	4	$667	59	05-10 00:12
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	3	$1.59K	20	05-10 00:13
Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521	3	$689	17	05-09 23:11
Embellished-Reaction 0x7e5c…9554	3	$602	3	05-10 00:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$9	0	286	-286	open	—	05-07 19:46
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?	1	$4	0	250	-250	open	—	05-07 19:46
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	1	$3	0	6	-6	open	—	05-07 19:46
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	1	$2	0	5	-5	open	—	05-07 19:46
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$2	0	5	-5	open	—	05-07 19:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-09 00:24
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	1	$2	0	30	-30	open	—	05-07 19:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-10 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	$-1	05-09 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-08 06:09
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	1	$1	0	7	-7	open	—	05-07 19:46
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	1	$1	0	10	-10	open	—	05-07 19:46