Chubby-Questionnaire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.0%

Resolved

Trades

342

lifetime

Volume

$1.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 05-14 22:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 65% +$1

Politics

12% 0% $-1

Other

11% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 102 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1770336000	4	$137	85	85	+1	open	—	02-06 00:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	4	$66	67	67	+0	Yes	$-1	01-24 09:29
btc updown 15m 1770368400	1	$62	103	0	+103	open	—	02-06 09:07
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	5	$54	126	126	+0	open	—	01-27 10:06
btc updown 15m 1770365700	2	$42	34	34	+1	open	—	02-06 08:19
btc updown 15m 1769560200	3	$37	21	21	+0	open	—	01-28 00:40
btc updown 15m 1770335100	4	$34	43	42	+0	open	—	02-05 23:55
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	2	$31	59	59	+0	open	—	02-06 09:15
btc updown 15m 1770138900	1	$30	33	0	+33	open	—	02-03 17:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	16	$30	19	19	+0	open	—	05-14 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	10	$28	21	21	+0	Down	$-0	05-07 19:42
will russia capture kostyantynivka by february 28	3	$26	41	41	+0	open	—	02-03 22:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	8	$24	17	16	+0	open	—	04-26 22:42
us strike on somalia by january 31 563	3	$21	42	42	+0	open	—	01-27 23:04
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	4	$20	7,534	0	+7,534	open	—	02-03 22:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	12	$20	14	14	+0	open	—	05-14 21:44
will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	2	$20	22	22	+0	open	—	02-06 09:15
btc updown 15m 1769554800	1	$18	25	0	+25	open	—	01-27 23:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	10	$18	13	13	+0	open	—	05-14 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	9	$14	12	12	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	11	$13	10	10	+0	Up	$-0	05-07 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	8	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	05-14 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	14	$12	9	9	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 16:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	6	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	05-14 20:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	8	$12	9	9	+0	Down	$-1	05-13 20:47
btc updown 15m 1770331500	2	$11	20	20	+0	open	—	02-05 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	3	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	04-26 22:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	6	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	05-14 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	6	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	05-14 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	8	$10	11	11	+0	Down	$-1	05-07 19:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 22:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x451783…
05-14 21:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xcbc4de…
05-14 21:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc09aab…
05-14 21:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0x40ba5c…
05-14 21:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xf33f45…
05-14 21:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x81f40a…
05-14 21:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0xe96c78…
05-14 21:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xd4e423…
05-14 21:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x194a9b…
05-14 21:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0xf5b97b…
05-14 21:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x671f4d…
05-14 21:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xe00e49…
05-14 21:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x334c88…
05-14 21:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xa2e262…
05-14 21:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x61ec6a…
05-14 21:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x836f55…
05-14 21:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xffb263…
05-14 21:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xfa32fb…
05-14 21:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0xe981d5…
05-14 21:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x5d2afe…
05-14 21:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x40a256…
05-14 21:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x160a32…
05-14 21:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x3f27e9…
05-14 21:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xaf3b0e…
05-14 21:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x774020…
05-14 21:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	44¢	$2	0x6b9e5a…
05-14 21:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xb90e97…
05-14 21:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xa740aa…
05-14 21:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x08fe86…
05-14 21:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x009ba3…
05-14 21:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0x8ef3aa…
05-14 21:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0x228895…
05-14 21:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xf6fb9e…
05-14 21:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x66dc1a…
05-14 21:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xa1c832…
05-14 21:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x712274…
05-14 21:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xa20cec…
05-14 21:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x59a3f6…
05-14 21:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x56c053…
05-14 21:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0xcafc6e…
05-14 21:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xd00b26…
05-14 21:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	73¢	$3	0xd578ed…
05-14 21:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x206b59…
05-14 21:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb88c2a…
05-14 21:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xa8f97d…
05-14 21:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x4dce76…
05-14 21:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	70¢	$2	0xd5831b…
05-14 21:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0x8884f9…
05-14 21:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0xac5562…
05-14 21:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x531d55…
05-14 21:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x4a875f…
05-14 21:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x3219f1…
05-14 21:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xd3841d…
05-14 21:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x75f9d9…
05-14 21:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0xd56ba1…
05-14 21:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x7b4284…
05-14 21:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0x0bfd2a…
05-14 21:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$2	0x67f2e2…
05-14 21:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x8d299d…
05-14 20:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0xefd1f8…
05-14 20:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x62bc03…
05-14 20:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xc0bbb8…
05-14 20:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0xecec76…
05-14 20:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0xa55e3a…
05-14 20:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x740111…
05-14 19:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x79d4df…
05-14 19:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x87c5a5…
05-14 19:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xf580c8…
05-14 19:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x27ccd2…
05-14 19:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x6b414e…
05-14 19:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x620453…
05-14 19:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0x36a0df…
05-14 19:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xdcf8a7…
05-14 19:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x9c4d43…
05-14 19:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x90cd1f…
05-14 19:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x2c1adc…
05-14 19:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb316e0…
05-14 19:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0xc6a4b0…
05-14 19:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xd05e6f…
05-14 19:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x599beb…
05-14 19:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	73¢	$2	0xd4f211…
05-14 19:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x110c0a…
05-14 19:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x7e35cd…
05-14 19:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x65c54e…
05-14 19:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xee733e…
05-14 19:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xd7d5de…
05-14 19:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0xec7109…
05-14 19:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$2	0xaa1273…
05-14 19:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xea30bb…
05-14 19:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0xd4d228…
05-14 19:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x3983f9…
05-14 19:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x9f5d79…
05-14 19:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xb9fe76…
05-14 19:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xae53c5…
05-14 19:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xc0888a…
05-14 19:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x7c0992…
05-14 19:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x341897…
05-13 20:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0xebd149…
05-13 20:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x55fa82…
05-13 20:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x7e6746…