Corny-Millstone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

661

lifetime

Volume

$18.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$25

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 06-12 04:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

51% 0% $-1

Politics

22% 0% $-0

Crypto

13% — —

Sports

13% 0% $-1

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No		+25	$23	96¢	$24	+$1	06-02 23:12
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		+25	$2	4¢	$1	$-1	06-02 23:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	26	$1.3K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	03-10 06:41
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	24	$1.1K	1,740	160	+1,580	open	—	03-15 12:43
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	32	$961	1,920	0	+1,920	open	—	03-17 19:39
GTA VI released before June 2026?	30	$910	1,640	220	+1,420	open	—	03-17 00:21
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	26	$788	1,370	110	+1,260	open	—	03-19 03:18
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	12	$551	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	03-08 05:39
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	18	$551	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	03-03 04:47
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	8	$518	460	200	+260	open	—	03-13 03:25
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	18	$505	850	170	+680	open	—	03-16 07:56
netanyahu out by march 31 854	12	$480	960	0	+960	open	—	03-19 10:09
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	12	$407	600	100	+500	open	—	03-18 05:51
will robert macintyre win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$397	470	110	+360	open	—	03-05 16:26
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$337	410	90	+320	open	—	03-15 05:06
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	6	$320	640	0	+640	open	—	02-26 15:19
trump out as president by march 31	8	$255	570	70	+500	open	—	03-06 10:43
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	8	$230	370	110	+260	open	—	03-18 16:35
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	10	$228	400	20	+380	Yes	$-0	04-17 22:27
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	8	$223	480	40	+440	No	$-0	03-10 21:00
will shane lowry win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$217	110	110	+0	open	—	03-09 23:57
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	8	$210	420	0	+420	open	—	03-18 14:21
bitcoin above 64k on march 3	2	$206	110	110	+0	open	—	03-03 10:42
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	12	$201	220	180	+40	open	—	03-22 21:29
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	2	$198	100	100	+0	open	—	03-05 11:54
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$190	380	0	+380	open	—	03-11 08:36
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	6	$180	360	0	+360	open	—	03-08 11:39
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	4	$180	360	0	+360	open	—	03-05 02:53
will jason day win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$178	140	140	+0	open	—	03-10 02:23
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	6	$173	155	115	+40	No	$-0	03-02 18:24
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$170	340	0	+340	open	—	04-12 14:33
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	4	$170	340	0	+340	open	—	03-10 02:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 04:10:19	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	SELL	45	51¢	$23	0x2c0f7d…
06-11 12:37:27	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	No	BUY	23	19¢	$4	0x142394…
06-11 12:36:36	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	No	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0xdaf5b1…
06-11 12:27:52	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x49582c…
06-11 12:27:43	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	BUY	28	78¢	$22	0x56138a…
06-11 12:27:34	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	BUY	29	78¢	$22	0xa351d6…
06-11 12:27:25	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	Yes	BUY	28	78¢	$22	0x33a1f3…
06-11 12:23:49	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	No	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x4c0cfe…
06-11 12:23:39	will iran close its airspace by december 31 20260609184136058	No	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0xd4ede2…
06-04 00:07:21	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	36	65¢	$23	0x047108…
06-04 00:07:00	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	24	35¢	$9	0x78c2c2…
06-04 00:06:57	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	26	65¢	$17	0xa92144…
06-04 00:06:55	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0xc60ce7…
06-04 00:06:55	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x0d7fdd…
06-03 05:59:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4?	No	SELL	12	60¢	$7	0x9fa0d2…
06-03 05:59:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	35	40¢	$14	0x20a642…
06-03 05:59:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4?	No	BUY	47	62¢	$29	0x297c24…
06-03 03:52:13	New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners	New York Mets	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0xa170c1…
06-03 03:51:52	New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners	New York Mets	BUY	67	4¢	$3	0x2c7123…
06-03 03:51:46	New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x5df7b3…
06-02 23:12:34	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xb79397…
06-02 23:12:13	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x8a96b1…
06-02 23:12:09	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	25	94¢	$23	0x16403c…
06-01 07:48:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	50	5¢	$3	0x16f172…
06-01 07:48:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x0ba4d2…
05-11 13:51:31	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Alexei Popyrin	Jannik Sinner	BUY	40	96¢	$39	0xa845e6…
05-11 13:51:31	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Alexei Popyrin	Alexei Popyrin	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x1d96f8…
05-11 09:04:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x7eaf2a…
05-11 09:04:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x370a22…
05-10 23:56:46	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	90	4¢	$4	0xe1efb6…
05-10 23:56:37	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	90	4¢	$4	0xcb10fd…
05-10 04:42:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	4¢	$1	0x6335ce…
05-10 04:41:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	4¢	$4	0xa7d632…
05-10 04:41:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	80	96¢	$77	0xef8cf2…
05-09 21:05:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	13¢	$4	0x4968f5…
05-09 21:05:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	14¢	$2	0xe7252a…
05-09 21:05:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x6b8168…
05-09 21:05:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x251b7d…
05-09 12:02:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	12¢	$10	0x159751…
05-09 12:01:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	12¢	$10	0x7bf28b…
05-09 07:21:12	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0xa5b0c2…
05-09 07:21:03	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x44b4f9…
05-09 07:21:03	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0x409d0f…
05-09 02:09:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	79	18¢	$14	0x37d328…
05-09 02:08:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xf2b550…
05-09 02:08:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0xa6f144…
05-09 02:05:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xfff360…
05-09 02:03:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	18¢	$11	0xfc4f6c…
05-09 02:00:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x6c2931…
05-09 00:34:54	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xd0f0e0…
05-09 00:34:44	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x72e5f9…
05-08 23:25:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x770776…
05-08 23:25:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xfd10ef…
05-08 22:08:05	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	80	2¢	$1	0xc63fc3…
05-08 22:07:56	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0x3d7d8b…
05-08 18:09:11	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xde8032…
05-08 18:08:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$1	0x0ede7e…
05-08 16:35:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	70	2¢	$1	0x5e4355…
05-08 16:35:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	70	2¢	$2	0xb7ecd5…
04-28 09:13:18	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0xd9cc03…
04-28 09:13:10	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x68b310…
04-28 03:46:40	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xd5eda9…
04-28 03:46:20	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	40	18¢	$7	0x91f097…
04-28 03:46:18	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0xe30e84…
04-27 20:39:04	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xeb3b22…
04-27 20:38:56	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0xc74586…
04-27 20:38:56	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0x018c86…
04-27 15:33:18	Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$1	0x25c1f7…
04-27 15:32:56	Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	75	3¢	$3	0xbaf491…
04-27 15:32:52	Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x90fd58…
04-27 06:22:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	2¢	$2	0x0d612a…
04-27 06:21:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0x66ea5b…
04-27 03:07:18	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	60	3¢	$2	0x7dc5ce…
04-27 03:07:08	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x0783fc…
04-26 19:11:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	2¢	$2	0xbb8bfe…
04-26 19:11:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	2¢	$2	0x4f1ec2…
04-24 13:02:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x02caab…
04-24 13:01:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x9382ea…
04-24 11:09:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	70	3¢	$2	0x71d930…
04-24 11:09:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	70	3¢	$2	0x13f297…
04-23 11:36:12	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	SELL	70	43¢	$30	0x1d6fe9…
04-23 11:36:04	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	BUY	70	44¢	$31	0x9becf1…
04-23 10:49:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	60	3¢	$2	0xeb64d8…
04-23 10:48:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0xa5d761…
04-23 00:15:06	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	70	3¢	$2	0x0c8eda…
04-23 00:14:58	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	70	3¢	$2	0xd6c7ec…
04-22 22:16:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	Yes	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0x47dc5e…
04-22 22:16:38	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xd09121…
04-22 19:46:46	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	No	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x785af1…
04-22 19:46:30	Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7799a1…
04-22 14:34:34	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xc7709b…
04-22 14:34:24	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	BUY	2	30¢	$0	0xb51ee7…
04-22 14:34:10	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x65aa13…
04-22 00:59:02	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 65 89	Yes	SELL	49	5¢	$2	0x3510d1…
04-22 00:58:54	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 65 89	Yes	BUY	14	5¢	$1	0x735089…
04-22 00:58:44	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 65 89	Yes	BUY	36	5¢	$2	0x8df05a…
04-19 05:26:22	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0xe9c691…
04-19 05:26:02	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	101	5¢	$5	0xbb6443…
04-19 05:25:56	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	90	95¢	$86	0x09ef6e…
04-17 22:27:58	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	90	95¢	$85	0x74af16…