Exalted-Gammaray — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.4%

Resolved

Trades

188

lifetime

Volume

$926

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 05-12 17:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 56% +$12

Politics

4% 0% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1773927300	2	$54	34	34	+1	open	—	03-19 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	3	$45	25	25	+0	Down	+$5	05-05 16:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	4	$41	25	25	+0	Up	+$9	05-12 13:10
btc updown 5m 1773848700	6	$40	25	25	+0	open	—	03-18 15:50
btc updown 5m 1773942300	2	$38	30	30	+0	open	—	03-19 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	3	$38	20	20	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 16:20
btc updown 5m 1774983000	2	$35	77	73	+4	open	—	03-31 18:54
btc updown 5m 1776969600	3	$34	28	27	+1	open	—	04-23 18:44
btc updown 5m 1775595000	4	$33	19	19	+0	open	—	04-07 20:55
btc updown 5m 1773918300	3	$32	29	26	+3	open	—	03-19 11:08
btc updown 5m 1772722500	6	$32	30	30	+0	open	—	03-05 14:58
btc updown 5m 1772748300	4	$32	21	21	+0	open	—	03-05 22:10
btc updown 5m 1772555100	2	$30	25	25	+0	open	—	03-03 16:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$27	39	39	+0	Yes	$-3	05-05 14:51
btc updown 5m 1774983300	2	$26	17	16	+1	open	—	03-31 19:00
btc updown 5m 1772719200	2	$26	16	16	+0	open	—	03-05 14:05
btc updown 5m 1772647500	6	$20	22	11	+10	open	—	03-04 18:08
btc updown 5m 1774291800	2	$20	18	17	+0	open	—	03-23 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	3	$17	17	13	+4	Down	+$3	05-05 18:23
btc updown 5m 1772722800	5	$14	16	16	+0	open	—	03-05 15:03
btc updown 5m 1772549100	4	$14	12	12	+0	open	—	03-03 14:49
btc updown 5m 1773840000	3	$13	107	7	+100	open	—	03-18 13:25
btc updown 5m 1773513000	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	03-14 18:35
btc updown 5m 1772556300	3	$12	15	8	+7	open	—	03-03 16:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	4	$12	209	9	+200	Up	$-0	05-05 16:04
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$12	38	38	+0	open	—	01-16 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	5	$12	33	8	+25	Up	+$2	05-05 18:29
btc updown 5m 1774305300	1	$11	44	0	+44	open	—	03-23 22:36
btc updown 5m 1773777000	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	03-17 19:56
btc updown 5m 1773870000	3	$11	9	9	+0	open	—	03-18 21:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 17:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xdc45c6…
05-12 16:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xb28c48…
05-12 16:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0xf931bc…
05-12 16:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x861b8e…
05-12 13:10:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x99414b…
05-12 13:08:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x78723c…
05-12 13:06:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x52493a…
05-12 13:06:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3c4465…
05-06 07:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x5690de…
05-05 18:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x8c23de…
05-05 18:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	91¢	$4	0xf046f0…
05-05 18:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xf0db03…
05-05 18:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0x663c08…
05-05 18:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x3de8e1…
05-05 18:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x5b0205…
05-05 18:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0x41407d…
05-05 18:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x2ac35f…
05-05 16:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xea1b6c…
05-05 16:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	9	66¢	$6	0x32133e…
05-05 16:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xbd52f6…
05-05 16:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xdf6c38…
05-05 16:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xb84fcc…
05-05 15:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x731c62…
05-05 15:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x712725…
05-05 15:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x4761e7…
05-05 14:51:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	31¢	$12	0x6ee65f…
05-03 15:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x8a89e8…
05-03 14:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xb717cd…
04-28 21:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x221824…
04-28 21:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x610e2c…
04-23 18:44:26	btc updown 5m 1776969600	Down	SELL	27	75¢	$20	0x94a742…
04-23 18:43:50	btc updown 5m 1776969600	Down	BUY	18	52¢	$10	0x3adcce…
04-23 18:40:30	btc updown 5m 1776969600	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x37f24e…
04-23 18:39:24	btc updown 5m 1776969300	Down	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x48493e…
04-23 18:37:40	btc updown 5m 1776969300	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x7db956…
04-07 21:01:45	btc updown 5m 1775595600	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x334e21…
04-07 21:00:35	btc updown 5m 1775595600	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3342a9…
04-07 20:59:05	btc updown 5m 1775595300	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2d2c9a…
04-07 20:55:25	btc updown 5m 1775595000	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xe2d53e…
04-07 20:54:09	btc updown 5m 1775595000	Down	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x9e8595…
04-07 20:54:03	btc updown 5m 1775595000	Up	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0x478e69…
04-07 20:53:13	btc updown 5m 1775595000	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x315e04…
04-07 16:07:17	btc updown 5m 1775577900	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x176c51…
04-07 15:44:45	btc updown 5m 1775576400	Up	SELL	4	66¢	$2	0x88f130…
04-07 15:43:47	btc updown 5m 1775576400	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x73e746…
03-31 19:00:59	btc updown 5m 1774983600	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa4ff30…
03-31 19:00:19	btc updown 5m 1774983300	Up	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x9ddf75…
03-31 18:55:13	btc updown 5m 1774983300	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x2bff2c…
03-31 18:54:11	btc updown 5m 1774983000	Up	SELL	73	21¢	$15	0xed8c82…
03-31 18:52:21	btc updown 5m 1774983000	Up	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x883fa4…
03-31 18:29:09	btc updown 5m 1774981500	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x82293a…
03-23 22:36:15	btc updown 5m 1774305300	Down	BUY	44	25¢	$11	0x7cae0b…
03-23 21:27:05	btc updown 5m 1774301100	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x429302…
03-23 19:37:29	btc updown 5m 1774294500	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x5df112…
03-23 19:25:17	btc updown 5m 1774293600	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1d73ea…
03-23 19:23:55	btc updown 5m 1774293600	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc519f1…
03-23 18:50:57	btc updown 5m 1774291800	Down	SELL	17	58¢	$10	0x551b5c…
03-23 18:50:23	btc updown 5m 1774291800	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xfe6814…
03-22 10:09:25	btc updown 5m 1774173900	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x85185d…
03-19 18:44:59	btc updown 5m 1773945600	Down	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xa9539c…
03-19 18:43:33	btc updown 5m 1773945600	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9c6824…
03-19 17:48:13	btc updown 5m 1773942300	Up	SELL	30	79¢	$23	0x8389a5…
03-19 17:47:35	btc updown 5m 1773942300	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x4fa285…
03-19 14:13:53	btc updown 5m 1773929400	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x0b2560…
03-19 13:40:19	btc updown 5m 1773927300	Down	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0xec13d6…
03-19 13:36:01	btc updown 5m 1773927300	Down	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xefc49c…
03-19 12:07:57	btc updown 5m 1773921900	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x605d38…
03-19 11:08:15	btc updown 5m 1773918300	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd957e6…
03-19 11:07:47	btc updown 5m 1773918300	Down	SELL	26	61¢	$16	0xafb845…
03-19 11:06:45	btc updown 5m 1773918300	Down	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x55ed39…
03-19 11:04:45	btc updown 5m 1773918000	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xc55b32…
03-19 11:03:51	btc updown 5m 1773918000	Down	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x69dd1e…
03-19 11:03:43	btc updown 5m 1773918000	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x4f0dfe…
03-18 22:41:57	btc updown 5m 1773873600	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x62ad56…
03-18 22:40:23	btc updown 5m 1773873300	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x4c4309…
03-18 22:40:01	btc updown 5m 1773873300	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4e415e…
03-18 22:29:53	btc updown 5m 1773872700	Up	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x09ac59…
03-18 22:28:15	btc updown 5m 1773872700	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x8d1bba…
03-18 21:44:47	btc updown 5m 1773870000	Down	SELL	9	81¢	$7	0xb33df9…
03-18 21:44:29	btc updown 5m 1773870000	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xccaf4a…
03-18 21:42:59	btc updown 5m 1773870000	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x0f579f…
03-18 16:21:11	btc updown 5m 1773850800	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xdd980a…
03-18 15:53:15	btc updown 5m 1773849000	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xe1be08…
03-18 15:50:15	btc updown 5m 1773848700	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x726506…
03-18 15:49:13	btc updown 5m 1773848700	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x603711…
03-18 15:47:53	btc updown 5m 1773848700	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x60eb12…
03-18 15:47:23	btc updown 5m 1773848700	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x5031e1…
03-18 15:46:59	btc updown 5m 1773848700	Down	SELL	9	80¢	$7	0x39e20b…
03-18 15:46:07	btc updown 5m 1773848700	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xa8c153…
03-18 13:25:21	btc updown 5m 1773840000	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xb316e9…
03-18 13:23:33	btc updown 5m 1773840000	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x677f8c…
03-18 13:20:57	btc updown 5m 1773840000	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xf343be…
03-17 21:21:17	btc updown 5m 1773782400	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xb6f35a…
03-17 21:20:37	btc updown 5m 1773782100	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd068a7…
03-17 21:19:55	btc updown 5m 1773782100	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1108a5…
03-17 19:56:13	btc updown 5m 1773777000	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x0814fc…
03-17 19:51:47	btc updown 5m 1773777000	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x66f258…
03-14 21:55:23	btc updown 5m 1773525300	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x35e2ea…
03-14 18:35:27	btc updown 5m 1773513000	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x6f2c3d…
03-14 18:30:51	btc updown 5m 1773513000	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x81e163…