Left-Spit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.0%

Resolved

Trades

265

lifetime

Volume

$9.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 07-01 00:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

60% — —

Tech

30% — —

Crypto

7% 100% +$2

Sports

2% 0% $-30

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	4	$980	575	575	+0	open	—	06-27 13:09
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	15	$859	819	819	+0	open	—	06-24 16:57
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	6	$698	743	743	+0	open	—	05-29 23:16
will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	2	$579	392	392	+0	open	—	07-01 00:50
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	5	$498	2,209	333	+1,877	open	—	06-16 19:40
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	10	$494	474	630	-155	open	—	06-14 21:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	15	$430	453	480	-27	open	—	05-28 17:18
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	10	$417	526	526	+0	open	—	06-19 01:07
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	7	$396	370	370	+0	open	—	06-20 13:24
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	9	$336	259	345	-86	open	—	06-14 21:36
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	9	$305	456	456	+0	open	—	06-19 19:34
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	4	$298	213	212	+0	open	—	06-14 17:02
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	17	$295	1,166	459	+707	open	—	06-12 20:21
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	7	$290	288	288	+0	open	—	06-18 16:14
will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	5	$218	173	173	+0	open	—	06-18 00:09
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	7	$207	149	116	+32	open	—	06-01 17:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	3	$125	130	130	+0	open	—	06-20 13:11
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	2	$107	65	65	+0	open	—	06-18 16:14
will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	2	$102	64	64	+0	open	—	06-14 18:48
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	2	$102	79	79	+0	open	—	06-18 17:12
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?	2	$102	86	86	+0	open	—	06-01 22:09
Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	1	$100	117	0	+117	open	—	05-18 16:54
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 26?	6	$79	92	88	+4	open	—	04-26 22:34
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	4	$77	349	349	+0	open	—	06-17 04:26
will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	5	$76	87	87	+0	open	—	06-14 20:41
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	10	$76	270	270	+0	open	—	06-25 19:37
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	2	$73	433	216	+216	open	—	06-13 15:33
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?	2	$68	113	113	+0	open	—	06-25 19:37
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	5	$68	124	124	+0	open	—	06-29 12:23
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	18	$61	43	48	-5	open	—	06-09 03:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 00:50:20	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	SELL	392	99¢	$389	0x6d82e7…
06-30 23:04:49	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	392	48¢	$190	0x1a6801…
06-30 22:28:32	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	Yes	SELL	179	14¢	$25	0x0f810d…
06-30 22:22:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	Yes	BUY	179	14¢	$25	0x261a72…
06-29 12:23:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	57	26¢	$15	0x2957f0…
06-29 12:21:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x3ae147…
06-29 12:00:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	38	27¢	$10	0x945bab…
06-29 12:00:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	42	19¢	$8	0x10cd23…
06-29 12:00:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	25	19¢	$5	0xa89103…
06-29 11:42:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x09961d…
06-29 11:32:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xf40239…
06-27 13:09:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	SELL	511	89¢	$454	0xf00656…
06-26 22:35:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	BUY	63	75¢	$47	0x768cd8…
06-26 21:52:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	SELL	64	75¢	$48	0x2c5cde…
06-26 18:54:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	BUY	512	84¢	$430	0x155c4a…
06-25 19:37:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	SELL	160	9¢	$14	0xffbb08…
06-25 19:37:41	Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	113	16¢	$18	0x217814…
06-25 17:46:35	Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	113	44¢	$50	0x890784…
06-25 15:36:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0xdbdd6b…
06-25 15:36:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0xad5394…
06-25 13:10:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	0	19¢	$0	0x71abb2…
06-25 13:10:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	0	19¢	$0	0x957ccc…
06-25 13:10:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	0	19¢	$0	0xfdb706…
06-25 13:10:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	0	19¢	$0	0xe524e4…
06-25 13:09:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x0ba626…
06-25 13:08:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	49	19¢	$9	0x8263ae…
06-25 13:08:13	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	219	19¢	$42	0x5c9093…
06-24 16:57:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	16	20¢	$3	0xf859a2…
06-24 16:54:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	48	42¢	$20	0x5bfc9f…
06-24 16:41:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x932280…
06-24 16:41:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	51	61¢	$31	0x935689…
06-23 12:25:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	368	26¢	$96	0xe9728c…
06-21 15:37:32	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xdce319…
06-21 14:25:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x8ccbe2…
06-20 13:24:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	195	52¢	$101	0x38fc74…
06-20 13:18:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	144	51¢	$74	0x903e67…
06-20 13:18:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	51	51¢	$26	0x0d5c18…
06-20 13:16:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	175	54¢	$95	0x561333…
06-20 13:12:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0xc8c4f7…
06-20 13:12:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	105	57¢	$60	0xaeaf05…
06-20 13:12:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x6e9614…
06-20 13:11:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	130	50¢	$65	0xa856cb…
06-19 19:46:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	87	46¢	$40	0x21dbc8…
06-19 19:34:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	167	25¢	$42	0x6928bc…
06-19 19:30:29	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	167	30¢	$50	0x1091bd…
06-19 13:36:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xe4b9cb…
06-19 01:57:10	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	225	30¢	$66	0xe71af1…
06-19 01:52:02	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0x9d5753…
06-19 01:15:49	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	136	37¢	$50	0xcc8c42…
06-19 01:12:34	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	51	62¢	$32	0xb58419…
06-19 01:07:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	Yes	SELL	290	19¢	$56	0xafc29b…
06-19 01:03:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	Yes	BUY	153	26¢	$40	0x31cbf5…
06-18 22:06:44	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	339	69¢	$234	0xce9b10…
06-18 20:04:02	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0x826f47…
06-18 19:40:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	Yes	BUY	137	37¢	$50	0xecbacb…
06-18 18:21:44	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	339	68¢	$230	0x554bf8…
06-18 17:12:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	SELL	79	66¢	$52	0x9aef76…
06-18 16:35:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	Yes	SELL	129	24¢	$31	0xf83c7d…
06-18 16:14:50	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	130	76¢	$99	0xe3e41e…
06-18 16:14:05	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	79¢	$51	0xe92376…
06-18 13:47:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x934820…
06-18 13:31:19	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x8d47b7…
06-18 12:37:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	Yes	BUY	129	77¢	$100	0x954afd…
06-18 04:46:02	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	49	36¢	$18	0x464f31…
06-18 03:03:02	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	29	41¢	$12	0x633c15…
06-18 02:10:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	Yes	SELL	37	54¢	$20	0xffc2e9…
06-18 01:14:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	86¢	$55	0x62ce5b…
06-18 01:09:43	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	SELL	101	30¢	$30	0x765f15…
06-18 00:19:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	Yes	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x45dd43…
06-18 00:09:28	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	Yes	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0x74f5e5…
06-18 00:08:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	Yes	SELL	69	73¢	$51	0x47fbd2…
06-18 00:08:16	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	165	13¢	$21	0x7b8f8b…
06-17 23:19:56	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	Yes	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0x5a6738…
06-17 23:18:35	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x366417…
06-17 23:07:41	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	No	SELL	64	6¢	$4	0x05183b…
06-17 22:57:17	will trump physically sign us x iran deal 20260615192526331	No	BUY	64	8¢	$5	0xa7ae6b…
06-17 22:42:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	Yes	BUY	59	72¢	$43	0xb0a603…
06-17 22:42:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x73dd9c…
06-17 20:58:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x74a9e8…
06-17 20:01:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x821fc7…
06-17 20:01:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x0d7d94…
06-17 19:57:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	1	41¢	$0	0x8bcf9f…
06-17 19:57:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x406350…
06-17 19:05:01	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xa7e243…
06-17 19:01:59	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x482c68…
06-17 17:29:43	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	SELL	57	19¢	$11	0x3ac7ef…
06-17 05:05:41	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	165	18¢	$30	0x660783…
06-17 04:26:50	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x112259…
06-16 19:40:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0x3cab63…
06-16 19:02:16	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xa25fd2…
06-16 16:21:43	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	319	3¢	$8	0x83a6dd…
06-16 16:21:19	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	319	3¢	$11	0x12f382…
06-16 15:58:07	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x73bab3…
06-15 18:27:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	333	96¢	$319	0xe71d82…
06-15 01:13:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	88	78¢	$69	0x9abbcb…
06-14 23:32:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	93	82¢	$76	0xec3b12…
06-14 23:32:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	29	83¢	$24	0xaf0e5d…
06-14 22:43:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xa4b163…
06-14 22:36:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xa6b74a…
06-14 21:47:27	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	SELL	127	98¢	$124	0xa2d1f1…