Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$291

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 07-12 04:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

45% 0% $-5

Politics

29% 100% +$1

Tech

14% — —

Sports

12% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	6	$29	53	30	+23	open	—	02-15 15:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$10	20	0	+20	Yes	+$1	02-09 13:21
will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	2	$10	26	0	+26	open	—	03-02 14:40
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$10	25	0	+25	open	—	02-11 00:36
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$10	29	0	+29	open	—	02-10 11:22
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-10 02:21
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 12?	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-11 23:35
will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	03-16 06:44
will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	03-03 09:46
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	03-11 15:56
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 280 299	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	03-18 21:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	04-20 08:15
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	03-19 09:33
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	02-13 13:20
will the united states win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	02-13 07:01
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	02-06 14:49
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	03-02 08:07
will apple announce the iphone 17e by february 28	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	02-14 09:54
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	02-10 17:26
will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be greater than 3pt5	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	02-12 07:39
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	02-14 15:46
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	02-13 09:51
will nepal workers peasants party win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election 685 483	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	02-28 15:32
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	02-15 01:56
will nvda reach 200 in february	1	$5	15	0	+15	open	—	02-14 01:53
will the dhs shutdown last 30 days or more 945 663	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	02-28 07:26
will russia capture sofiivka by march 31	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	03-01 23:34
nflx above 80 on february 27 2026	1	$5	23	0	+23	open	—	02-13 01:49
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	1	$5	22	0	+22	open	—	03-02 21:17
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	03-20 10:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 04:23:01	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x99699d…
07-11 16:22:56	israel closes its airspace by august 31	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x02a3df…
07-07 04:22:22	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xde6ca9…
07-06 04:21:05	will ewy dip to 180 by july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x871299…
05-30 14:46:47	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0xbfbe2f…
05-21 08:50:14	Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x38dcd4…
05-20 08:44:06	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xc55162…
05-20 00:40:27	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x78eb56…
05-16 10:35:55	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xec3be5…
05-15 18:34:54	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x8c52e9…
05-14 09:10:08	FDA approves Daiichi Sankyo & AstraZeneca's Enhertu?	No	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x1911f9…
05-14 00:48:26	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xd76eeb…
05-11 23:35:29	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc555ec…
04-21 00:45:22	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	Yes	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0xf6b5ab…
04-20 16:33:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x7a0218…
04-20 08:15:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xdf43e3…
04-09 02:42:49	will tisza win 120 129 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xa557c2…
04-08 18:39:09	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 240 259	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xcd0bb8…
04-07 23:52:25	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 40 64	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xcf4ef0…
04-07 15:50:53	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 260 279	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xb6c400…
04-07 07:48:17	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	7	34¢	$3	0x4acef4…
03-20 19:44:25	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x63da6f…
03-20 10:45:43	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x28b598…
03-19 22:38:03	houthis successfully target shipping by march 31	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xc4d44c…
03-19 09:33:59	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x82d31a…
03-18 21:11:51	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 280 299	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xd5f6ab…
03-16 06:44:57	will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x96a01f…
03-15 20:24:27	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x780eb9…
03-12 00:04:45	will the dhs shutdown last 60 days or more 988 872 151 791 415 422	Yes	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xefd89a…
03-11 15:56:45	Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x84b88d…
03-04 13:25:35	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt3 in february 312	Yes	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x6e178a…
03-04 01:55:57	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xe818f7…
03-03 17:57:49	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x9f2258…
03-03 17:52:39	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	No	BUY	8	42¢	$4	0x2068e8…
03-03 11:24:37	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xc23dd6…
03-03 09:46:57	will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xefd273…
03-02 21:17:19	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	No	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x4f271d…
03-02 14:40:27	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xf8849f…
03-02 08:07:45	deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x568c32…
03-01 23:34:01	will russia capture sofiivka by march 31	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x5804b7…
03-01 15:33:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x98bf1e…
03-01 07:33:17	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x979011…
02-28 15:32:39	will nepal workers peasants party win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election 685 483	No	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x6bf43b…
02-28 07:31:09	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	2,475	0¢	$5	0x4acbc5…
02-28 07:26:47	will the dhs shutdown last 30 days or more 945 663	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x4f14f5…
02-15 15:26:51	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0xfc99f9…
02-15 12:10:21	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	16	30¢	$5	0xd8714e…
02-15 06:18:53	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x0c1767…
02-15 01:56:01	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xcc3703…
02-14 17:54:19	elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 40 64	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x714223…
02-14 15:46:05	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x39ce89…
02-14 15:06:05	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	14	32¢	$4	0x27b022…
02-14 09:54:07	will apple announce the iphone 17e by february 28	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xc5f775…
02-14 09:31:43	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xf22031…
02-14 01:53:33	will nvda reach 200 in february	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xe4221c…
02-13 20:19:29	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x618a18…
02-13 17:52:09	will nvda dip to 168 in february	Yes	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0xb8e6f7…
02-13 13:20:07	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x5e25b8…
02-13 09:51:13	Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x05c5cf…
02-13 07:01:29	will the united states win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x5b144a…
02-13 01:49:33	nflx above 80 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xc2f759…
02-12 07:39:53	will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be greater than 3pt5	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xc35ab8…
02-11 00:36:43	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0xcb8de2…
02-10 17:26:17	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xa7ddac…
02-10 11:22:41	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x2779ac…
02-10 02:53:19	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xc6cffb…
02-10 02:21:25	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x7fc3b5…
02-09 19:38:23	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x8ec8f4…
02-09 13:21:25	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x2bca79…
02-09 06:37:59	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xd12724…
02-08 07:19:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x09d1f9…
02-06 22:20:07	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xec0e00…
02-06 14:49:37	will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x86837b…