Great-Cesspool — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$9.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$194

Open exposure

$80

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-14 10:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

91% 100% +$3

Other

7% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No		+81	$80	98¢	$80	$-0	07-14 10:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba nyk sas 2025 12 31	10	$5.8K	2,903	2,903	+0	open	—	01-01 03:19
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$1.6K	0	1,650	-1,650	open	—	01-01 02:30
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$1.3K	0	1,254	-1,254	open	—	01-01 02:30
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 0 19	2	$86	86	0	+86	open	—	01-31 07:24
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	2	$80	81	0	+81	open	—	07-14 10:52
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$70	71	0	+71	open	—	02-23 06:36
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 100 119	1	$70	70	0	+70	open	—	01-01 05:05
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$57	57	0	+57	open	—	04-27 07:31
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 580plus	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	03-03 09:26
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 580plus	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	04-04 06:57
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 120 139	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	01-01 07:40
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 580plus	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	03-20 12:33
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	05-07 09:49
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	02-23 06:36
will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	07-13 09:32
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	02-23 06:37
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 40 59	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-04 06:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	05-07 09:49
will solana reach 160 in july 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	07-13 09:32
will a minecraft movie be the top grossing movie of 2025	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	01-01 04:52
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 740plus	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	01-31 07:21
will solana reach 200 in february 2026	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	02-23 06:36
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	1	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	03-03 09:25
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 580plus	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	03-20 12:33
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 580plus	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	04-04 06:56
will solana dip to 10 in july 2026	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	07-13 09:32
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 80 99	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-20 12:33
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-27 07:30
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 20 39	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	01-31 07:21
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 40 59	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	01-31 07:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 10:52:07	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x016022…
07-13 15:38:01	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	59	99¢	$58	0x59123e…
07-13 09:32:47	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x5372aa…
07-13 09:32:31	will solana dip to 10 in july 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5e2767…
07-13 09:32:25	will solana reach 160 in july 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5b0b16…
05-07 09:50:41	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x60ddca…
05-07 09:50:32	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x63b99f…
05-07 09:49:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8c56ed…
05-07 09:49:24	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x710483…
04-27 07:31:02	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$57	0x858ce9…
04-27 07:30:52	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6de145…
04-04 06:57:07	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 580plus	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x08aea2…
04-04 06:56:59	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 40 59	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd1dcdf…
04-04 06:56:51	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 580plus	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x553646…
03-20 12:33:41	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 580plus	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xb7ad2e…
03-20 12:33:19	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 80 99	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1c9964…
03-20 12:33:05	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 580plus	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5265a1…
03-03 09:26:11	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 580plus	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x7b32d6…
03-03 09:25:53	nba okc chi 2026 03 03	Thunder	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x66f214…
03-03 09:25:43	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 180 199	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xa52d48…
03-03 09:25:27	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x5177d4…
02-23 06:37:14	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x168edf…
02-23 06:36:48	will solana reach 200 in february 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xba1d0a…
02-23 06:36:32	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0x835dc0…
02-23 06:36:08	will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x50db77…
02-04 12:09:56	nba bos hou 2026 02 04	Rockets	BUY	2	66¢	$2	0xe32ec3…
02-04 12:09:46	nba okc sas 2026 02 04	Spurs	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x1ddd30…
01-31 07:24:12	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 0 19	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x5e0c30…
01-31 07:23:56	nba sas cha 2026 01 31	Spurs	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x5dfb22…
01-31 07:23:48	nba nop phi 2026 01 31	76ers	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x60b16f…
01-31 07:23:28	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 40 59	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7aad65…
01-31 07:21:46	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 740plus	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc70d6d…
01-31 07:21:24	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 0 19	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6149f3…
01-31 07:21:08	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 20 39	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8e0eea…
01-01 07:40:57	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 120 139	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x8eef28…
01-01 05:05:43	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 100 119	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xdeae8f…
01-01 04:52:11	will a minecraft movie be the top grossing movie of 2025	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb5458a…
01-01 03:19:35	nba nyk sas 2025 12 31	Spurs	SELL	2,903	100¢	$2,900	0x5daaa1…
01-01 02:52:03	nba nyk sas 2025 12 31	Spurs	BUY	1,206	99¢	$1,194	0x570f36…
01-01 02:51:55	nba nyk sas 2025 12 31	Spurs	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xc8a70d…
01-01 02:51:47	nba nyk sas 2025 12 31	Spurs	BUY	122	99¢	$121	0x3dd8e9…
01-01 02:51:45	nba nyk sas 2025 12 31	Spurs	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x6eaf8e…
01-01 02:51:45	nba nyk sas 2025 12 31	Spurs	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x6cb5c6…
01-01 02:51:45	nba nyk sas 2025 12 31	Spurs	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0x091672…
01-01 02:51:33	nba nyk sas 2025 12 31	Spurs	BUY	587	99¢	$581	0x34396b…
01-01 02:51:31	nba nyk sas 2025 12 31	Spurs	BUY	210	99¢	$208	0x87ac88…
01-01 02:45:19	nba nyk sas 2025 12 31	Spurs	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x32daf4…
01-01 02:30:27	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1,650	100¢	$1,647	0x5329d5…
01-01 02:30:19	Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1,254	100¢	$1,251	0xa8a18d…