Celebrated-Reliability — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$73

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$25.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$449

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 10-07 04:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 75% +$72

Other

0% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	2	$18.2K	9,117	9,117	+0	No	-$9	03-26 04:23
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 1am et	23	$4.5K	4,589	0	+4,589	Up	+$65	03-25 05:58
bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 11pm et	4	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Up	+$2	03-25 03:57
bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 7am et	12	$825	840	0	+840	Up	+$15	03-25 11:58
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$4	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	04-08 00:48
Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-09 00:22
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	05-06 01:28
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	06-04 00:59
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	05-06 01:29
Will the People's Bank of China not change rates in April?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	04-08 00:49
will anthropic have the 2 ai model at the end of march 2026	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	03-22 00:24
highest temperature in kuala lumpur on april 9 2026 26corbelow	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	04-08 00:50
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	07-12 05:46
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on May 7?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-06 01:30
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	10-07 04:34
Will Moonshot be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	09-10 04:06
Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-04 01:00
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	06-04 01:01
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	08-04 00:13
Will "The Great Divide - Noah Kahan" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of May 16?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	05-09 00:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-07 04:34:56	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb99e0c…
09-10 04:06:06	Will Moonshot be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1ab6f8…
08-04 00:13:47	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x15c74f…
07-12 05:46:55	Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd2c2e8…
06-04 01:01:39	Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf0bd37…
06-04 01:00:07	Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x70b057…
06-04 00:59:54	Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdc7348…
05-09 00:23:09	Will "The Great Divide - Noah Kahan" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of May 16?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3fbd71…
05-09 00:22:48	Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x5e518f…
05-06 01:30:16	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on May 7?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbd77cd…
05-06 01:29:10	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x59b059…
05-06 01:28:44	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x63955c…
04-08 00:50:49	highest temperature in kuala lumpur on april 9 2026 26corbelow	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc98d66…
04-08 00:49:59	Will the People's Bank of China not change rates in April?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x6f1bed…
04-08 00:48:59	Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$4	0xf31233…
03-26 04:23:59	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	SELL	9,117	100¢	$9,099	0x1d6b3f…
03-25 14:47:57	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	BUY	9,117	100¢	$9,108	0x638474…
03-25 11:58:13	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x023b2b…
03-25 11:57:27	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x8d56e8…
03-25 11:57:25	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xf3b956…
03-25 11:47:39	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	86	98¢	$84	0x4ce263…
03-25 11:47:37	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x726db3…
03-25 11:47:35	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	64	98¢	$63	0x617503…
03-25 11:47:33	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	249	99¢	$245	0xa96b1d…
03-25 11:47:17	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xb50023…
03-25 11:47:03	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xeb7c07…
03-25 11:46:59	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	105	98¢	$103	0xe7721d…
03-25 11:46:11	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	193	98¢	$189	0x34c6af…
03-25 11:45:53	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xde2d40…
03-25 05:58:11	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x68599b…
03-25 05:57:07	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	450	99¢	$446	0x0a6ad2…
03-25 05:55:27	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	300	100¢	$298	0x0f46e2…
03-25 05:55:05	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	300	99¢	$298	0xdbb432…
03-25 05:54:01	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	520	99¢	$514	0x11a448…
03-25 05:53:27	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	519	99¢	$513	0xc61fac…
03-25 05:52:43	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	204	99¢	$202	0x250f04…
03-25 05:52:41	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x56f637…
03-25 05:52:35	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa8abaf…
03-25 05:51:59	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	300	98¢	$296	0xe36fe2…
03-25 05:48:41	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	154	96¢	$148	0xb7bdcb…
03-25 05:48:39	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x591441…
03-25 05:48:21	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xba3a37…
03-25 05:47:43	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xc2e346…
03-25 05:47:01	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	58	97¢	$56	0x42f24e…
03-25 05:46:59	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	12	97¢	$11	0x996930…
03-25 05:46:19	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	233	98¢	$230	0x27fb4f…
03-25 05:46:13	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0xf576cb…
03-25 05:45:27	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	192	97¢	$187	0x420e96…
03-25 05:45:07	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0x03f8bf…
03-25 05:44:01	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x02dd2e…
03-25 05:43:57	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xa3d954…
03-25 05:43:57	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	197	98¢	$192	0x8605d7…
03-25 03:57:31	bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x33f8c6…
03-25 03:56:09	bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x807f6d…
03-25 03:55:47	bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xa184d3…
03-25 03:55:31	bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x0086f6…
03-22 00:24:07	will anthropic have the 2 ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0441d1…